Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/23/2025

Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Thursday, January 23, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  NBCS-CA

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +7.5, Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under:  240 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +7.5, Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under:  240 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +7.5, Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under:  240.5 points

Sacramento Kings:  22-20 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  27-16 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Sacramento Kings:  9-1 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  8-2 last 10

The Kings are entering this game with a 22-20 record overall this season and they are 10-8 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Houston Rockets and the Washington Wizards, but this is also the 2nd game of a back-to-back for them with their game against the Golden State Warriors still to be played on Wednesday night. In their game against the Wizards, Domantas Sabonis led the team in points in that game with 29 while DeMar DeRozan was next on the team with 24 points. De'Aaron Fox led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 18. They were 48.4% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 79.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.9 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 16-22-4 this season and their O/U record is 21-19-2.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 27-16 record overall this season and they are 13-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Miami Heat, the Orlando Magic, and the Philadelphia 76ers. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 27 while Julian Strawther was next on the team with 23 points. Nikola Jokić led the team in assists in that game with 10 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 61.2% from the field, 51.6% from 3-point range, and 96% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.4 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 22-20-1 this season and their O/U record is 27-16.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 27-16 record overall which has them right near the top of the West. They have looked good on their home court too with their 13-8 home record, but this was a team that started the season really slow out of the gate and is starting to roll now. Meanwhile, the Kings have looked good in their games this season with their 22-20 record overall which has them right in the middle of the West. They have been a decent road team too with their 10-8 road record. The Kings have had a really up and down season as they were terrible to start the year and even fired their head coach, but they have been rolling teams since making the coaching change. They are really hot coming into this one, going 9-1 in their last 10 games, and they have won 2 games in a row now with some momentum on their side. This isn't a great situation for them though since they have to play this game on the road on a back-to-back with a game against the Warriors on Wednesday night. This isn't an easy situation for them to play in as hot as they have been, and the Nuggets have been starting to get hot themselves as they are 8-2 in their last 10 games. The Nuggets also have their own momentum with 3 wins in a row now and they are going to carry that into this game as they will be able to take advantage of the Kings in a bad situation here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Thursday, January 23, 2025 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 114 Kings 102.

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Sacramento Kings: 11-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points. 46-26 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 42-27 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less. 34-17 UNDER as a road underdog. 23-15 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less.

Denver Nuggets: 8-19 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 3-9 ATS after a game where they made 60% of their shots or better. 26-19 UNDER in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 20-11 UNDER after a blowout win by 20 points or more.

Sacramento Kings:  D. Carter (PG) Day To Day - Wrist.

Denver Nuggets:  V. Čančar (PF) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

“That was the first time I ever dealt with the firing of a coach in the middle of the season. It’s new for a lot of the guys who played for him for multiple years. It’s much different from my standpoint of still being new having to adjust to that. It’s hard to process it when you’re still going through it.” - DeMar DeRozan on the current situation with the head coach. 

"We're not where we're supposed to be, but we're trying to find the rhythm." - Nikola Jokic after their win against the 76ers in their game on Tuesday.

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Malik Monk

SF DeMar DeRozan

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: D. Fox (25.9)

APG: D. Sabonis (6.3)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (14.2)

PPG: N. Jokić (30.1)

APG: N. Jokić (9.9)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (13.2)

Coaches:

Sacramento Kings: Doug Christie (Interim)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)