Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/05/2023

Game Time: 8:30 pm ET, Wednesday, April 5, 2023

Venue:  American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Where to Watch:  BSSW

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Kings +3.5, Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under:  244 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Kings +3.5, Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under:  244 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Kings +3.5, Mavericks -3.5; Over/Under:  244 points

Sacramento Kings:  47-31 (1st place, Pacific Division)

Dallas Mavericks:  37-42 (3rd place, Southwest Division)

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Sacramento Kings:  6-4 last 10

Dallas Mavericks:  3-7 last 10

The Kings are coming into this game with a 47-31 record overall and they are 24-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They still have a game against the New Orleans Pelicans on Tuesday that needs to be played first as this is the 2nd leg of a back-to-back for them on Wednesday. They are entering this game off of a loss against the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. De'Aaron Fox led the team in points in that game with 28 while Domantas Sabonis was next on the team with 26 points. Domantas Sabonis led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Domantas Sabonis led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 47.6% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 78.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 118.3 PPG against them. The Kings have an ATS record of 43-34-1 this season and their O/U record is 40-37-1.

The Mavericks are coming into this game with a 37-42 record overall and they are 22-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak with losses coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Miami Heat, and the Atlanta Hawks in their last game. Kyrie Irving led the team in points in that game with 41 while Luka Dončić was next on the team with 22 points. Luka Dončić led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Christian Wood led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 51.6% from the field, 26.3% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.8 PPG against them. The Mavericks have an ATS record of 30-46-3 this season and their O/U record is 41-37-1.

The current betting odds have the Mavericks listed as a 3.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Mavericks have been terrible this season with their losing 37-42 record overall and they are outside of a play-in spot for the playoffs too. They have been a better home team all season though with their 22-16 home record and they will be looking to snap their 3 game losing skid here at home as they desperately need to win this game to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Kings have been great this season as they are 47-31 overall and they have been great in their road games too with a 24-14 road record. They haven't been playing a lot of good teams lately though and they just lost a bad game to the Spurs who are one of the worst teams in the league. The Kings are also in a worse situation here being on a back-to-back and on the road for both games, but they also have nothing left to play for as they have already clinched their playoff spot and should be focused on getting to the playoffs healthy. The best way to place a bet here is on the Mavericks to cover the spread in this game. 

Kings Mavericks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, April 5, 2023 (8:30 pm ET start time) is Mavericks 125 Kings 115.

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Sacramento Kings: 25-13 ATS in road games. 22-9 ATS in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230. 18-10 OVER in the second half of the season.

Dallas Mavericks: 16-32 ATS as a favorite. 13-22 ATS in home games. 6-0 OVER after playing 4 consecutive road games.

Sacramento Kings:  M. Monk (SG) Ques Tues - Leg. M. Dellavedova (PG) Out indefinitely - Finger.

Dallas Mavericks:  None.

“We have not been good defensively at home. The reality of it is we play sort of soft at home. I hate to say it, but that’s it’s what it is. It’s factual. We have trouble stopping people on our home floor." - Mike Brown after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Sunday.

“We know the position we’re in. We’re playing catch-up. We’ve got to find a way to win and right now we’re coming up short.” - Jason Kidd after his team’s loss against the Hawks in their game on Sunday.

PG De'Aaron Fox

SG Kevin Huerter

SF Harrison Barnes

PF Keegan Murray

C Domantas Sabonis

PG Luka Doncic

SG Kyrie Irving 

SF Tim Hardaway Jr.

PF Reggie Bullock

C Dwight Powell

PPG: D. Fox (25.2)

APG: D. Sabonis (7.2)

Reb/G: D. Sabonis (12.4)

PPG: L. Doncic (32.8)

APG: L. Doncic (8.1)

Reb/G: L. Doncic (8.7)

Coaches:

Sacramento Kings: Mike Brown (1st season)

Dallas Mavericks: Jason Kidd (2nd season)