Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 22, 2022
Venue: Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Purdue +2.5, Wisconsin -2.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Purdue +2, Wisconsin -2; Over/Under: 52.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Purdue +2.5, Wisconsin -2.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Season Record
Purdue Boilermakers: 5-2 (3-1) (2nd place, Big Ten West)
Wisconsin Badgers: 3-4 (1-3) (7th place, Big Ten West)
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Purdue Boilermakers: won their last game at home against the Nebraska Cornhuskers 43-37.
Wisconsin Badgers: lost their last game on the road against the Michigan State Spartans 34-28 in overtime.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Badgers Preview and Analysis
Purdue is entering this game with a 5-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 2-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 5th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 3-1. They won against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in their last game at home 43-37. Aidan O'Connell started that game at QB and he completed 35/54 passes for 391 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Devin Mockobee led the team in rushing with 178 yards and 1 TD on 30 rushing attempts. Charlie Jones led the team in receiving with 132 yards and 2 TDs on 12 receptions. Jalen Graham led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Jalen Graham, Branson Deen, Kydran Jenkins and Jack Sullivan each led the defense in sacks with 1 while Clyde Washington and Reese Taylor each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Wisconsin is entering this game with a 3-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th home game of the season as they are 2-2 in their home games this year. This will also be the 5th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-3. They lost against the MSU Spartans in their last game on the road 34-28 in OT. Graham Mertz started that game at QB and he completed 14/25 passes for 131 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Braelon Allen led the team in rushing with 123 yards and 2 TDs on 29 carries. Chimere Dike led the team in receiving with 45 yards and 1 TD on 4 receptions. Kamo'i Latu led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles. CJ Goetz and Nick Herbig each led the defense in sacks with 1 while John Torchio came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Purdue vs Wisconsin Prediction
The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 2.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has played in some close games this year and this could be another one as they look to beat a Wisconsin team that just fired their coach recently and are coming off a loss to MSU in a game they were favored in. Purdue had to hold off Nebraska in their last game but they led for a good majority of the game and they have also played some really close games against some good teams this year. Wisconsin has been a mess all year and even had to fire their head coach midseason. They are at home here but Purdue has been playing great and they are live to win this game outright. Purdue does have a good defense but they also have a good offense that can put up a lot of points while Wisconsin has a great defense but a very bad offense and they will struggle to come back in this game if they have to play from behind here. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game.
Purdue Wisconsin Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 22, 2022 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Purdue 31 Wisconsin 21.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Purdue Boilermakers: 10-22 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 7-12 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite. 37-21 OVER when the line is +3 to -3.
Wisconsin Badgers: 17-10 ATS in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. 18-9 OVER in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. 23-13 OVER after a loss by 6 or less points.
Key Injuries
Purdue Boilermakers: T. Denson (CB) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. D. Lewis (DT) out for season - Ankle. G. Miller (TE) out for season - Knee.
Wisconsin Badgers: C. Cundiff (TE) out for season - Leg. T. Blaylock (S) out for season - Leg. C. Wolf (QB) out for season - Knee.
Notable Quotes
"He (O'Connell) probably had five or six throws that I don't think anyone could make — throws that were just off the charts. We thought we had a decent plan to get him (Mockobee) on the edge, get him in space and, of course, he runs hard. He doesn't care who he plays, he runs hard." - Jeff Brohm after his team’s win against Nebraska in their last game.
"It will probably be more of a bye week evaluation of seeing how long-term the injury is going to be. He's definitely going to be out this week." - Jim Leonhard on Mellusi coming into this game.
Starting Lineups
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Jones, Charlie
WR Rice, Mershawn
WR Sheffield, TJ
TE Durham, Payne
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Doerue, King
FB Furtney, Ben
Wisconsin Badgers
WR Dike, Chimere
WR Bell, Skyler
TE Eschenbach, Jack
QB Mertz, Graham
RB Allen, Braelon
FB Acker, Jackson
Statistical Leaders
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: A. O'Connell (1941)
Rushing: D. Mockobee (453)
Receiving: C. Jones (735)
Touchdowns: C. Jones (9)
Wisconsin Badgers
Passing: G. Mertz (1427)
Rushing: B. Allen (757)
Receiving: C. Dike (487)
Touchdowns: B. Allen (8)
Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Jeff Brohm (6th season)
Wisconsin Badgers: Jim Leonhard (Interim)