Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 03/01/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Monday, Feb 28, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 1, 2022
Venue:  Kohl Center, Madison, WI 
Where to Watch:  ESPN

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue -3, Wisconsin +3; Over/Under:  NL points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue -2.5, Wisconsin +2.5; Over/Under:  NL points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue -2.5, Wisconsin +2.5; Over/Under:  NL points
 

Season Record

Purdue Boilermakers:  24-5 (2nd place, Big Ten)
Wisconsin Badgers:  23-5 (1st place, Big Ten)
 
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Purdue Boilermakers vs Wisconsin Badgers Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Purdue Boilermakers:  3-2 last 5
Wisconsin Badgers:  4-1 last 5
 
 
 

Purdue Boilermakers Analysis

Purdue is coming into this game with a 24-5 record overall and they are 5-4 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 19th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 13-5 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. Their 3 wins in that span were against the Maryland Terrapins, the Northwestern Wildcats, and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights while their loss came against the Michigan State Spartans in their last game. Zach Edey led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jaden Ivey was next on the team with 17 points. Sasha Stefanovic led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Mason Gillis led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 52.1% from the field, 11.1% from 3-point range, and 73.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 13-15-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-12.
 
 

Wisconsin Badgers Analysis

Wisconsin is coming into this game with a 23-5 record overall and they are 11-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 19th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 14-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 6 of their last 7 games and are coming into this one on a 4 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights while their 4 wins since then have come against the Indiana Hoosiers, the Michigan Wolverines, the Minnesota Golden Gophers, and Rutgers in their last game. Jonathan Davis led the team in points in that game with 19 while Brad Davison was next on the team with 14 points. Chucky Hepburn led the team in assists in that game with 5 while Tyler Wahl led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 42.6% from the field, 45% from 3-point range, and 64.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 70.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 66.2 PPG against them. Wisconsin has an ATS record of 16-12 this season and their O/U record is 17-10-1.
 

 

Purdue vs Wisconsin Prediction

Purdue is coming into this game having a great season but with few games left on the schedule now, they really have not been playing their best recently. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but 2 of those wins were by single digits and were very close games in the end. They have also lost 2 of their last 3 games on the road and they have only been 5-4 on the road this season. They are going up against a Wisconsin side that is 11-3 at home this season and currently leading the Big Ten conference over Purdue by 1 game. Purdue needs a win here to tie Wisconsin in conference record but they have not been playing well on the road recently and Wisconsin has been very good at home this season, also picking up some steam in their recent games. They have won 4 straight games and 3 of those wins came on the road as well. They have won 3 of their last 4 games at home and they should be able to win this game as well. This is still a game between two very good teams here so this is going to be a very close game that is likely decided by just a few points but Wisconsin should be the victors here.
 
Purdue Wisconsin Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, March 1, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Wisconsin 81 Purdue 78.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Purdue Boilermakers: 12-18 ATS in road games. 6-18 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 11-3 UNDER as a road favorite or pick.
Wisconsin Badgers: 15-8 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 17-10 ATS as an underdog. 33-16 UNDER after playing 2 consecutive road games.
 

Key Injuries

 
Purdue Boilermakers:  B. Waddell (F) out for season - Knee injury.
Wisconsin Badgers:  L. Bowman II (G) Ques Mon - Illness.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He could've went a lot of places, and he didn't. A lot people around here forget his first two seasons, but they stuck by him and he took off from there." - Matt Painter on his team’s loss against MSU.
 
 
"This group has had a Big Ten championship in their sights since we started in the offseason. This is a group that's stayed the course and continued to take it one day at a time." - Greg Gard after his team’s win against Rutgers.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey 
C. Furst 
J. Ivey 
Sasha Stefanovic 
I. Thompson
 
Wisconsin Badgers
S. Crowl 
Johnny Davis 
Brad Davison 
C. Hepburn 
T. Wahl
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: J. Ivey (17.3)
APG: S. Stefanovic (3.4)
Reb/G: T. Williams (7.4)
 
Wisconsin Badgers
PPG: J. Davis (20.5)
APG: J. Davis (2.3)
Reb/G: J. Davis (8.3)
 
Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (17th season)
Wisconsin Badgers: Greg Gard (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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