Purdue Boilermakers vs Oregon Ducks Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 01/18/2025

Game Time: 3:00 pm ET, Saturday, January 18, 2025

Venue:  Matthew Knight Arena, Eugene, OR 

Where to Watch:  NBC

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue +2.5, Oregon -2.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue +2.5, Oregon -2.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue +2.5, Oregon -2.5; Over/Under:  148.5 points

Purdue Boilermakers:  14-4 (6-1) (2nd place, Big Ten)

Oregon Ducks:  15-2 (4-2) (5th place, Big Ten)

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Purdue Boilermakers:  5-0  last 5

Oregon Ducks:  4-1  last 5

Purdue is entering this game with a 14-4 record overall, a 6-1 record in conference games, and they are 3-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Washington Huskies in their last game. Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in points per game in that game with 19 while Braden Smith was next on the team with 17. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Trey Kaufman-Renn, Caleb Furst, and Braden Smith each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 50% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.9 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 10-8 this season and their O/U record is 10-8.

Oregon is entering this game with a 15-2 record overall, a 4-2 conference record, and they are 7-2 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Penn State Nittany Lions in their last game. Jackson Shelstad led the team in points in that game with 17 while Keeshawn Barthelemy was next on the team with 15. Jackson Shelstad led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Keeshawn Barthelemy led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 54.4% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 63.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 79.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.2 PPG against them. Oregon has an ATS record of 9-8 this season and their O/U record is 9-8.

The current betting odds have Oregon listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Oregon has looked really good in their games this season with their 15-2 record overall and their 4-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked good on their home court too with their 7-2 home record. Meanwhile, Purdue has looked really good in their games this season with their 14-4 record overall and their 6-1 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They haven't looked bad in their road games either, going 3-2 in those, and they are coming off a road win over Washington in their last one. They crushed Washington in their last one, winning by double digits as the travel out West didn't have much of an effect on them, but Washington also hasn't looked that great this season. Oregon is a ranked team and they have some really good wins this season too so it isn't going to be easy for Purdue to roll in and win. Oregon just played 2 road games themselves in the East and they won both of those so they are going to have momentum coming back home now. Both teams have looked great this season, but the 1 loss in the Big Ten that Purdue has did come on the road and the home advantage is going to give the edge to Oregon in this one as they will bring their best effort to tryt and get a statement win against another ranked team. The best way to place a bet here is on Oregon to cover the spread in this game. 

Purdue Oregon Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, January 18, 2025 (3:00 pm ET start time) is Oregon 82 Purdue 77.

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Purdue Boilermakers: 9-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 23-13 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 30-22 ATS versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more. 11-5 OVER off a road win. 14-6 OVER when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%). 18-6 OVER versus excellent teams - shooting 45% or more with a defense of 42% or less.

Oregon Ducks: 4-7 ATS off a road win against a conference rival. 2-7 ATS after playing 2 consecutive road games. 17-23 ATS versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game. 9-4 OVER off a road win. 7-2 OVER after playing 2 consecutive road games. 24-17 OVER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

Oregon Ducks:  None.

"I thought, more than anything, just being able to see the ball go in. I thought we made some good decisions in the first half and we just messed up some things around the rim. We had some careless turnovers, missed some shots. But I thought we did some good things, but only had 22 points to show for it.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against Washington in their last game.

“Nate (Bittle) was such a presence in there. He did a tremendous job. He challenged so many shots. It made it tough every time somebody came in. He really made a difference. He was really good and stayed out of foul trouble.” - Dana Altman on Nate Bittle this season. 

M. Colvin 

C. Heide 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

B. Angel 

T. Bamba 

N. Bittle 

J. Shelstad 

J. Tracey

PPG: T. Kaufman-Renn (17.6)

APG: B. Smith (9)

Reb/G: T. Kaufman-Renn (6.2)

PPG: N. Bittle (13.7)

APG: J. Shelstad (3)

Reb/G: N. Bittle (7.8)

Coaches:

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (20th season)

Oregon Ducks: Dana Altman (15th season)