Purdue Boilermakers vs Northwestern Wildcats Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/16/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Tuesday, Feb 15, 2022
Game Time: 9:00 pm ET, Wednesday, February 16, 2022
Venue:  Welsh Ryan Arena, Evanston, IL
Where to Watch:  Big Ten Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue -5.5, NW +5.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue -5.5, NW +5.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue -5.5, NW +5.5; Over/Under:  145.5 points
 

Season Record

Purdue Boilermakers:  22-4 (2nd place, Big Ten)
Northwestern Wildcats:  12-11 (10th place, Big Ten)
 
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Purdue Boilermakers vs Northwestern Wildcats Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1 last 5
Northwestern Wildcats:  3-2 last 5
 
 
 

Purdue Boilermakers Analysis

Purdue is coming into this game with a 22-4 record overall and they are 4-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 16th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 11-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 7 of their last 8 games and are coming into this one off of a win in their last game. Their last loss was against the Michigan Wolverines while their  7 wins in that span came against the Northwestern Wildcats, the Iowa Hawkeyes, the Ohio State Buckeyes, the Minnesota Golden Gophers, the Michigan Wolverines, the Illinois Fighting Illini, and the Maryland Terrapins in their last game. Sasha Stefanovic led the team in points in that game with 17 while Trevion Williams was next on the team off the bench with 12 points. Williams and Zach Edey both led the team in assists in that game with 4 each while Edey led the team in rebounds himself with 11. They were 44.2% from the field, 40% from 3-point range, and 66.7% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.6 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.9 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 13-13 this season and their O/U record is 16-10.
 
 

Northwestern Wildcats Analysis

NW is coming into this game with a 12-11 record overall and they are 8-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 15th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 5-9 in their conference games this season. They have won 3 of their last 4 games but are coming into this one off of a loss in their last game which snapped a 3 game winning streak that they were on. Their 3 wins in that span were against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, and the Indiana Hoosiers while their loss came against the Illinois Fighting Illini in their last game. Ty Berry led the team in points in that game off the bench with 16 while Chase Audige was next on the team with 12 points. Audige led the team in assists in that game with 3 and he also led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 38.7% from the field, 29.2% from 3-point range, and 61.1% from the free throw line with their shots this season. Their offense is averaging 74.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68 PPG against them. NW has an ATS record of 11-11 this season and their O/U record is 12-10.
 

 

Purdue vs Northwestern Prediction

Purdue has not been playing well in their recent games coming into this one. They have not played well in their last 2 games with a very bad loss to Michigan by almost 30 points and then followed that up with a 1 point win at home against Maryland, Maryland is not that good this season and they were winning that game by double digits at half time. Northwestern was heating up recently with 3 straight wins but that was snapped in their last game with a loss to Illinois on the road but only by 7 points. NW has been decent at home this season with an 8-5 record and Purdue has been struggling on the road with a 4-3 record. Northwestern has been improving a lot in their recent games but they also have not played anyone that good other than Illinois. Purdue will be looking for a better performance here after 2 really bad games but they have not been great on the road and will likely only win this game by single digits.
 
Purdue Northwestern Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Wednesday, February 16, 2022 (9:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 80 NW 72.
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NCAAB Betting Trends

 
Purdue Boilermakers: 7-1 ATS after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games. 19-11 UNDER in road games. 9-3 UNDER as a road favorite or pick.
Northwestern Wildcats: 14-26 ATS in all home games. 19-11 UNDER as a home underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. 25-18 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent.
 

Key Injuries

 
Purdue Boilermakers:  B. Waddell (F) out for season - Knee injury.
Northwestern Wildcats:  None.
 

Notable Quotes

 
“To me, if we’re re-doing this – we can still run the (baseline). That was my error because that’s a vague question. Instead of saying, can we run here? Can we pass it? But the time was different but in the process of everything, I’m not locked into the time. I’m locked into what we’re supposed to do in press offense. And that was my error.” - Matt Painter on the last inbound of the game in their win against Maryland.
 
 
“(Cockburn) is just such a tough guy to play against. There’s no one like him in the country with that force, with that size. It just puts a lot of pressure on you in a lot of ways.” - Chris Collins on his team’s loss against Illinois.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey 
C. Furst 
J. Ivey 
Sasha Stefanovic 
I. Thompson
 
Northwestern Wildcats
C. Audige 
R. Beran 
T. Berry 
B. Buie 
P. Nance 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: J. Ivey (17.4)
APG: S. Stefanovic (3.5)
Reb/G: T. Williams (7.7)
 
Northwestern Wildcats
PPG: B. Buie (15.1)
APG: B. Buie (4.7)
Reb/G: P. Nance (6.8)
 
Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (17th season)
Northwestern Wildcats: Chris Collins (9th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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