Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 30, 2021
Venue: Memorial Stadium, Lincoln, NE
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Purdue +7.5, Nebraska -7.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Purdue +7.5, Nebraska -7.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Purdue +7.5, Nebraska -7.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Purdue Boilermakers: 4-3 (4th place, Big Ten West)
Nebraska Cornhuskers: 3-5 (7th place, Big Ten West)
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Purdue Boilermakers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers Preview and Analysis
Purdue Boilermakers: lost at home on Oct. 23 against the Wisconsin Badgers 30-13.
Nebraska Cornhuskers: lost on the road on Oct. 16 against the Minnesota Golden Gophers 30-23.
Purdue Boilermakers Analysis
Purdue is coming into this game with a 4-3 record overall and they are 2-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 5th conference matchup of the year and they are not in a good spot right now with a 2-2 record in their conference games this season. Their 2 wins came against the Illinois Fighting Illini and the Iowa Hawkeyes while their 2 losses came against the Minnesota Golden Gophers and against Wisconsin in their last game. Wisconsin took an early lead in the first quarter of that game but it was tied going into halftime, Purdue was dominated in the second half of that game not even able to score a point as Wisconsin ran away with that game. Aidan O'Connell struggled in that game as he completed 24/32 passes for 200 yards, 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions. King Doerue led the team in rushing in that game with 20 yards on 9 carries but they had nothing going for them in the run game in that one. Payne Durham had a nice day as he led the receivers with 112 yards and the only touchdown for them on 9 receptions. Jaylan Alexander led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 4 assisted ones. Jamari Brown and Kydran Jenkins both had 1 sack each in that game while no one on the defense came away with an interception in that one. They have scored 155 points in their first 7 games this season averaging 22.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 114 points against them allowing 16.3 PPG. The Purdue offense is averaging 392.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 303.7 YPG.
Nebraska Cornhuskers Analysis
Nebraska is coming into this college football game with a 3-5 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 6th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are pretty much out of the conversation with a 1-4 record in their conference games this season. Their 1 win came against the Northwestern Wildcats while their 4 losses came against the Illinois Fighting Illini, the Michigan State Spartans, the Michigan Wolverines, and against Minnesota in their last game. They are on a 2 game losing streak coming into this game. They fell behind in the first half of their game against Minnesota and were never able to recover as they trailed the entire game. Adrian Martinez played alright in that game as he completed 18/33 passes for 241 yards and 1 touchdown. Rahmir Johnson led the team in rushing with 83 yards and 2 touchdowns on 11 carries but he was pretty much their whole ground game in that one. Austin Allen had a nice day as he led the receivers with 121 yards and 1 touchdown on 5 receptions. Cam Taylor and Nick Henrich both led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted one each. Taylor also had the only sack in that game for the defense and he came away with 1 interception along with Deontai Williams who also had 1 interception. They have scored 246 points in their 8 games this season averaging 30.1 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 155 points against them allowing 19.4 PPG. The Nebraska offense is averaging 478.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 348.5 YPG.
Purdue vs Nebraska Prediction
Nebraska is coming into this game as a 7.5 point favorite and the total is set at 52.5 with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Nebraska has a good offense that can move the ball and score a lot of points and they will find ways to score on Purdue here. They also have a good defense and will be able to shut down Purdue as they have gone scoreless in a few halfs of their last few games. Purdue also has a good defense and they will not allow this game to get too out of hand for them. Their offense is not very good though and they have struggled to score in their conference games this year, scoring exactly 13 points in most of them. The best bet to place in this game is on the under as both defenses will keep the game low scoring and on Nebraska to cover the spread here as their offense is much better and will be the difference in this game allowing them to pull away gradually throughout the game.
Purdue Nebraska Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 30, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Nebraska 27 Purdue 13.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Purdue Boilermakers: 129-138 O/U in all games. 51-54 O/U when the total is between 49.5 and 56. 36-39 O/U as a road underdog. 54-59 O/U in road games. 11-17 O/U in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56. 89-99 O/U against conference opponents.
Nebraska Cornhuskers: 36-31 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points. 184-171 ATS in all games. 139-127 ATS as a favorite. 84-75 ATS as a home favorite. 94-90 ATS in home games. 121-119 ATS against conference opponents.
Purdue Boilermakers: D. Mitchell (DE) Out Sat - Undisclosed injury. T. Witt (OL) Ques Sat - Hand injury. K. Jenkins (DE) Ques Sat - Head injury.
Nebraska Cornhuskers: R. Johnson (RB) Ques Sat - Head injury. J. Wright (S) out for season - Illness. G. Ervin Jr. (RB) out for season - Knee injury.
Players to Watch
Purdue Boilermakers: David Bell is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in receiving yards and in touchdowns this season. He was very quiet in their last game so look for him to step up in this game and have a much better game as he is one of their best playmakers.
Nebraska Cornhuskers: Quarterback Adrian Martinez is one player to watch in this one. He leads his team in passing yards, rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a good game in the passing game and he will be looking to continue that into this game. Look for him to make the plays on the ground and through the air to do what needs to be done for his team to get the win.
"Aidan is an aggressive passer and tries to fit it into a tight window and those windows weren't big enough. They were a lot of disappointing things that happened, starting with myself and continuing to a lot of things. We didn't take care of the ball." - Jeff Brohm on his team losing to Wisconsin in their last game.
"Little details got us beat. I know the guys are kind of tired of hearing that. I'm tired of saying that, but that's what it is. We got to do little things a little bit better and get this much better." - Scott Frost on their loss to Minnesota in their last game.
WR Anthrop, Jackson
WR Wright, Milton
WR Bell, David
TE Durham, Payne
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Doerue, King
WR Samori Toure
WR Martin, Oliver
WR Manning, Omar
TE Allen, Austin
QB Martinez, Adrian
RB Johnson, Rahmir
Passing: A. O'Connell (1318)
Rushing: K. Doerue (289)
Receiving: D. Bell (712)
Touchdowns: D. Bell (4)
Sacks: G. Karlaftis (2.5)
Tackles: J. Alexander (32)
Passing: A. Martinez (1999)
Rushing: A. Martinez (420)
Receiving: S. Toure (519)
Touchdowns: A. Martinez (10)
Sacks: G. Nelson (2.5)
Tackles: L. Reimer (33)
Purdue Boilermakers: Jeff Brohm (5th season)
Nebraska Cornhuskers: Scott Frost (4th season)
50 degrees F rain, 87% humidity, 90% chance of rain, up to 16 mph wind speeds NE.