Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, October 1, 2022
Venue: Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Purdue +12, Minnesota -12; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Purdue +12, Minnesota -12; Over/Under: 52.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Purdue +12.5, Minnesota -12.5; Over/Under: 52.5 points
Season Record
Purdue Boilermakers: 2-2 (0-1) (5th place, Big Ten West)
Minnesota Golden Gophers: 4-0 (1-0) (1st place, Big Ten West)
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Purdue Boilermakers: won their last game at home against the Florida Atlantic Owls 28-26.
Minnesota Golden Gophers: won their last game on the road against the Michigan State Spartans 34-7
Purdue Boilermakers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers Preview and Analysis
Purdue is entering this game with a 2-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 2nd road game of the season here as they are 0-1 in their road games this year. This will also be their 2nd conference game of the college football season this year as they are 0-1. They won against the FAU Owls in their last game at home 28-26. Austin Burton started that game at QB and he completed 21/29 passes for 166 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Dylan Downing led the team in rushing with 113 yards and 1 TD on 15 rushing attempts. Charlie Jones led the team in receiving with 59 yards and 2 TDs on 9 receptions. Jacob Wahlberg led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Chris Jefferson came away with the only interception for them while no one on the defense recorded a sack in that one.
Minnesota is entering this game with a 4-0 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th home game of the season as they are 3-0 in their home games this year. This will also be the 2nd conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-0. They won against the Michigan State Spartans in their last game on the road 34-7. Tanner Morgan started that game at QB and he completed 23/26 passes for 258 yards and 3 touchdowns. Mohamed Ibrahim led the team in rushing with 103 yards and 1 TD on 22 carries. Mike Brown-Stephens led the team in receiving with 73 yards on 6 receptions. Terell Smith led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Ryan Stapp led the defense in sacks with 1 while Justin Walley came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Purdue vs Minnesota Prediction
The current betting odds have Minnesota listed as a 12 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Minnesota has looked very good in their games to start the season. They are undefeated through 4 games, their schedule hasn't been very tough in their 1st 3 games but they proved themselves last week when they went into Michigan State and pulled off a huge road win by over 20 points. Purdue has had a much rougher start to their season at 2-2 and they have been decimated by injuries in these games. They are already down in the conference losing to Penn State in their season opener and their only road test this season was a 3 point loss in Syracuse. They also lost their starting QB Aidan O'Connell to injury and have to play with their backup who just pulled off a very slim win at home against a bad FAU team. Purdue is going to need some time with their backup QB to get into a groove in these games and their season is already off to a bad start while Minnesota has everything still in front of them. Minnesota will play hard in this 1st conference game at home and they will have no problem running up the score on Purdue here like they did to MSU last week. The best way to place a bet here is on Minnesota to cover the spread in this game.
Purdue Minnesota Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 1, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Minnesota 38 Purdue 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Purdue Boilermakers: 6-10 ATS against conference opponents. 6-12 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won as a favorite. 15-9 UNDER as a road underdog of 7.5 to 14 points.
Minnesota Golden Gophers: 16-8 ATS in all games. 11-6 ATS against conference opponents. 13-7 UNDER after 4 or more consecutive straight up wins.
Key Injuries
Purdue Boilermakers: T. Denson (CB) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. D. Lewis (DT) out for season - Ankle. G. Miller (TE) out for season - Knee.
Minnesota Golden Gophers: Z. Evans (RB) Ques Sat - Leg. N. Jones (TE) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. S. Pickerign (TE) Ques Sat - Foot. C. Autman-Bell (WR) out for season - Lower Body.
Notable Quotes
"He can throw the football, he can buy some time and he can slither through the hole. We just have to continue to mold this thing and make sure this package fits well." - Jeff Brohm on Austin Burton after his team’s win against FAU in their last game.
"I've got to take my hat off to our players. They just played incredibly hard. I couldn't be more proud of them right now in this moment." - P.J. Fleck after his team’s win against MSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Jones, Charlie
WR Rice, Mershawn
WR Sheffield, TJ
TE Durham, Payne
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Doerue, King
FB Furtney, Ben
Minnesota Golden Gophers
WR Wright, Dylan
WR Autman-Bell, Chris
WR Brown-Stephens, Michael
TE Spann-Ford, Brevyn
QB Morgan, Tanner
RB Ibrahim, Mohamed
Statistical Leaders
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: A. O'Connell (991)
Rushing: D. Downing (204)
Receiving: C. Jones (533)
Touchdowns: C. Jones (7)
Minnesota Golden Gophers
Passing: T. Morgan (886)
Rushing: M. Ibrahim (567)
Receiving: C. Autman-Bell (214)
Touchdowns: M. Ibrahim (8)
Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Jeff Brohm (6th season)
Minnesota Golden Gophers: P.J. Fleck (6th season)