Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverines: Prediction, Preview, Picks & Odds - 1/26/2023

by Chuck Sommers

Time: 9 p.m. ET
Venue: Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI
Where to watch: FS1

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks


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Season record
No. 1 Purdue: 19-1 (8-1 Big Ten)
Michigan: 11-8 (5-3 Big Ten)

We’re nearing the halfway mark of the college basketball season and it’s been quite the ride so far. Will Rogers is going hard in the last 30 days with a 16-10-1 run, while Kyle Hunter has also had a strong run of form as of late at 28-24-0 (+$1,700). If they’ve been killing it as much as they were in the first half, what does the second half have in store? The only way you’re going to find out is by staying locked on bigal.com and following what our champion handicappers are up to heading into the second half. Trust us, you want to know.

Purdue - Michigan preview, prediction and analysis


Recent form
Purdue: won 58-55 vs. Maryland on Sunday
Michigan: won 60-56 vs. Michigan on Sunday

The game of hot potato for being the No. 1 team in the country continues this week, and the lucky participants are the Purdue Boilermakers. The new top team in the country will begin its new reign there on Thursday when they take on the Michigan Wolverines in Ann Arbor.

Purdue is back to No. 1 following Houston’s 56-55 loss to the Temple Owls on Sunday, so the timing is immaculate. The Boilermakers are coming into Thursday’s game winners of six in a row since their 65-64 loss to Rutgers on Jan. 2, and the most recent being a 58-55 narrow victory over the Maryland Terrapins on Sunday.

Likely going to be Player of the Year when all of this is said and done, Zach Edey led the way again for Purdue with 24 points and 16 rebounds on 10 of 17 shooting and was the only Purdue player to even come close to double figures. The Terps forced the big man to beat them, and that’s exactly what they did.

Purdue was held to just 38.5% shooting and finished 2 of 13 from 3-point range. But the Purdue defense held Maryland to 37.3% shooting and just 3 of 21 from 3. But the Boilermakers blew a 16-point lead and nearly let this one drift away.

“It's just making good plays,” Painter said. “If they clamp down, pass the ball. That's all it really comes down to, just execute and take what they're giving you.”

It’s the second time in three games Purdue has failed to cover. Both games were one-possession wins; the other was a 1-point win over Michigan State on Jan. 16. Life hasn’t been easy when it’s just Edey and no one else. There’s no Jaden Ivey coming through that door. And if Purdue isn’t careful, this could be a trap game in Ann Arbor against a Michigan team that has yet to figure out its identity.

The Wolverines are entering Thursday having lost three of five, but the most recent was a 60-56 win over the Minnesota Golden Gophers on Sunday. That part isn’t shocking. Michigan should beat Minnesota. It’s the fact Michigan was 12.5-point favorites and only won by four, yet another blip on this Michigan team’s resume that makes no sense.

Hunter Dickinson led the way with 28 points, but the bigger news was losing Jett Howard to an ankle injury late in the first half and he did not return. Howard averages 15 points and 3 rebounds per game.

Michigan has failed to cover in four of the last five and Juwan Howard’s team has never appeared more of an unknown than it is right now. This program’s identity was defense and yet they’re giving up close to 70 a game. Offensively, they’re only putting up 75 a game and are about to face the 11th best scoring defense in the country.

You probably know where I’m going with this.

Prediction

This might be the first time you shouldn’t let the past results dictate anything. Michigan has won six of the last seven meetings, including a 24-point win in Ann Arbor last year. I don’t know if Michigan has that kind of firepower this time to slow down Edey, but Purdue better get it together. Purdue 80, Michigan 69

Betting trends


Check back later for trends.

Projected starting lineup


Michigan:
PG: Dug McDaniel
SG: Kobe Bufkin
SF: Jett Howard
PF: Terrance Williams II
C: Hunter Dickinson

Purdue:
PG: Braden Smith
SG: Ethan Morton
SF: Fletcher Loyer
PF: Caleb Furst
C: Zach Edey

Injury report

Purdue: 
None

Michigan: Jett Howard (ankle, questionable), Jace Howard (concussion, questionable), Youssef Khayat (ankle, questionable)

Statistical leaders

Michigan:
Points: Hunter Dickinson -- 18.1
Rebounds: Hunter Dickinson -- 8.9
Assists: Dug McDaniel -- 3.6

Purdue:
Points: Zach Edey -- 21.5
Rebounds: Zach Edey -- 13.2
Assists: Braden Smith -- 4.3

Don't miss our champion handicappers' free picks and expert basketball picks today. And if you enjoyed this Purdue Boilermakers - Michigan Wolverines prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily college basketball projections and previews.

Chuck Sommers

About the Author:

Chuck Sommers has camped outside of sportsbooks since he can remember, learning the tricks and nuances of the trade. He still has nightmares of betting $5,000 on the Raiders in the Tuck Rule game but has since turned that to 25 years of veteran handicapping greatness. You can find him mostly in the shadows at the Red Rock or Aliante casinos wondering if the over is cashing on any given Sunday.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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