Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/25/2024

Game Time: 2:00 pm ET, Sunday, February 25, 2024

Venue:  Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI 

Where to Watch:  CBS

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue -13, Michigan +13; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue -13, Michigan +13; Over/Under:  151.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue -13.5, Michigan +13.5; Over/Under:  151.5 points

Purdue Boilermakers:  24-3 (13-3) (1st place, Big Ten)

Michigan Wolverines:  8-19 (3-13) (14th place, Big Ten)

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Purdue Boilermakers:  4-1  last 5

Michigan Wolverines:  1-4  last 5

Purdue is entering this game with a 24-3 record overall, a 13-3 record in conference games, and they are 5-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in their last game. Zach Edey led the team in points per game in that game with 25 while Camden Heide was next on the team with 18. Braden Smith and Fletcher Loyer each led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Zach Edey and Braden Smith each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 58.9% from the field, 52.2% from 3-point range, and 90% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.9 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 15-10-2 this season and their O/U record is 18-9.

Michigan is entering this game with an 8-19 record overall, a 3-13 conference record, and they are 5-8 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Northwestern Wildcats in their last game. Nimari Burnett led the team in points in that game with 15 while Tarris Reed Jr. and Terrance Williams II each were next on the team with 13. Jaelin Llewellyn led the team in assists with 4 in that game while Terrance Williams II led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 50% from the field, 72.7% from 3-point range, and 55.6% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 78.8 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 7-20 this season and their O/U record is 15-12.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 13.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked really good in their games this season with their 24-3 record overall which has them ranked inside the top 25 teams in the country and also ranked as one of the best in the nation. They have looked great in the Big Ten with their 13-3 conference record which leads the way and they have also been a good road team with their 5-3 road record. Meanwhile, Michigan has looked terrible in their games this season with their 8-19 record overall and their 3-13 conference record which has them right at the bottom of the Big Ten. They haven't looked any better in their home games either with their 5-8 home record. Michigan has been one of the worst teams in the Big Ten this season and they have been terrible lately with their 1-4 record in their last 5 games while Purdue has been the complete opposite, being one of the best teams in the country and they are 4-1 in their last 5 games. Purdue recently lost a game but they bounced back against Rutgers in their last game and they will be looking to get on another big run to finish the season so they go hot into the postseason tournaments. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

Purdue Michigan Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Sunday, February 25, 2024 (2:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 88 Michigan 64.

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Purdue Boilermakers: 11-6 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 10-5 ATS after 5 straight games forcing the opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. 16-10 ATS in all games. 18-9 OVER in all games. 10-5 OVER as a favorite of 10 or more points. 12-4 OVER after a game where they covered the spread.

Michigan Wolverines: 7-20 ATS in all games. 3-10 ATS as an underdog. 4-9 ATS in all home games. 1-8 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 9-3 OVER when the total is 150 to 159.5. 16-8 OVER after playing a game as a road underdog. 

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

Michigan Wolverines:  I. Burns (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed. W. Tschetter (F) Ques Sun - Undisclosed. O. Nkamhoua (F) out for season - Wrist. C. Smith (G) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.

“He’s did good job just playing to his strengths, taking what’s given him and not forcing anything. He stayed with himself. He’s kept a great attitude and you see the upside there.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against Rutgers in their last game on Thursday.

"We've got to control the controllable, the guys who suit up. I trust we have enough to go out and compete. ... It was hard, I can't kid you. There were times we only had six guys at practice that were available. Another moment, we had eight guys available for practice." - Juwan Howard on his team’s upcoming game against Purdue.

Z. Edey 

L. Jones 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

N. Burnett 

D. McDaniel 

O. Nkamhoua 

T. Reed 

T. Williams

PPG: Z. Edey (23.3)

APG: B. Smith (7.1)

Reb/G: Z. Edey (11.7)

PPG: D. McDaniel (16.6)

APG: D. McDaniel (4.6)

Reb/G: O. Nkamhoua (7.1)

Coaches:

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (19th season)

Michigan Wolverines: Juwan Howard (5th season)