Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Tuesday, February 11, 2025
Venue: Crisler Center, Ann Arbor, MI
Where to Watch: Peacock
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Purdue +1, Michigan -1; Over/Under: 149 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Purdue +1, Michigan -1; Over/Under: 149 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Purdue +1, Michigan -1; Over/Under: 149 points
Season Record
Purdue Boilermakers: 19-5 (11-2) (1st place, Big Ten)
Michigan Wolverines: 18-5 (10-2) (3rd place, Big Ten)
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Purdue Boilermakers: 4-1 last 5
Michigan Wolverines: 4-1 last 5
Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan Wolverines Preview and Analysis
Purdue is entering this game with a 19-5 record overall, an 11-2 record in conference games, and they are 5-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the USC Trojans in their last game. Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in points per game in that game with 24 while Fletcher Loyer was next on the team with 14. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 13 in that game while Trey Kaufman-Renn and Caleb Furst each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 50% from the field, 23.1% from 3-point range, and 69.2% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 78.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.6 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 14-10 this season and their O/U record is 15-9.
Michigan is entering this game with an 18-5 record overall, a 10-2 conference record, and they are 11-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Indiana Hoosiers in their last game. Daniel Wolf led the team in points in that game with 20 while Vladislav Goldin and Tre Donaldson each were next on the team with 18. Daniel Wolf led the team in assists with 5 in that game while Daniel Wolf led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 44.4% from the field, 23.8% from 3-point range, and 85% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 81.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 70.4 PPG against them. Michigan has an ATS record of 11-12 this season and their O/U record is 13-10.
Purdue vs Michigan Prediction
The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 1 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked really good in their games this season with their 19-5 record overall and their 11-2 conference record which has them right at the top of the Big Ten. They have been a good road team this season too with their 5-2 road record. Meanwhile, Michigan has looked really good in their games this season with their 18-5 record overall and their 10-2 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court this season with their 11-0 home record, but Purdue has retaken control of the Big Ten now and will be looking to cement their place at the top with this win. Purdue was trailing behind Michigan and Michigan State for a lot of the season and Purdue has also been losing plenty of talent to the NBA over the last few years, but once again they have found their way back to the top of the Big Ten and are starting to get hot now. They have a lot of momentum on their side now with 4 wins in a row and ever since losing at home to Ohio State, they haven't had any close calls in their games as they have been rolling opponents. Michigan also has a lot of momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row too, but their last 4 games have all been within 4 points as they are barely scraping by in these wins. The last time they lost a game was at Purdue and they got embarrassed in that game too, losing by over 20 points on the road. Now they are back at home here and will be looking for revenge, but Purdue is starting to roll and they have been playing like the better team lately. Purdue has also been running the Big Ten over the last few years so they are going to bring their best effort here to send a message to the team right behind them in the standings emerging as a true contender. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game.
Purdue Michigan Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Tuesday, February 11, 2025 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 79 Michigan 71.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Purdue Boilermakers: 10-5 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 25-14 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game. 16-7 1H ATS after scoring 85 points or more. 28-18 OVER off a win against a conference rival. 38-20 OVER versus good shooting teams - making 45% of their shots or more.
Michigan Wolverines: 13-22 ATS when the total is 140 to 149.5. 9-21 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 10-17 ATS after playing a road game. 22-14 OVER as a home favorite or pick. 9-0 OVER off a road win. 20-7 OVER after playing a road game.
Key Injuries
Purdue Boilermakers: D. Jacobsen (C) Out - Knee.
Michigan Wolverines: None.
Notable Quotes
“I thought we took really good shots. I thought we were very efficient, especially when we got the ball to Trey right there at the free-throw line where he could operate and make plays.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against USC in their last game.
"Yeah, they made plays. I'm sitting here today feeling really, really great about our performance because those guys made big, big plays down the stretch." - Dusty May after his team’s win against Indiana in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Purdue Boilermakers
C. Cox
C. Furst
T. Kaufman-Renn
F. Loyer
B. Smith
Michigan Wolverines
N. Burnett
T. Donaldson
R. Gayle
V. Goldin
D. Wolf
Statistical Leaders
Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: T. Kaufman-Renn (18.9)
APG: B. Smith (8.8)
Reb/G: T. Kaufman-Renn (6.4)
Michigan Wolverines
PPG: V. Goldin (15.7)
APG: T. Donaldson (4.3)
Reb/G: D. Wolf (10)
Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (20th season)
Michigan Wolverines: Dusty May (1st season)