Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 26, 2022
Venue: Breslin Center, East Lansing, MI
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Purdue -5, MSU +5; Over/Under: 146 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Purdue -4.5, MSU +4.5; Over/Under: 146.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Purdue -4.5, MSU +4.5; Over/Under: 146.5 points
Season Record
Purdue Boilermakers: 24-4 (1st place, Big Ten)
Michigan State Spartans: 18-9 (7th place, Big Ten)
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Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan State Spartans Preview and Analysis
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Purdue Boilermakers: 4-1 last 5
Michigan State Spartans: 1-4 last 5
Purdue Boilermakers Analysis
Purdue is coming into this game with a 24-4 record overall and they are 5-3 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 18th conference matchup of the year and they are currently 13-4 in their conference games this season. They have won 9 of their last 10 games and are coming into this one on a 3 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Michigan Wolverines while their 3 wins since then came against the Maryland Terrapins, the Northwestern Wildcats, and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights in their last game. Jaden Ivey led the team in points in that game with 25 while Zach Edey was next on the team with 15 points. Ivey and Trevion Williams off the bench both led the team in assists in that game with 4 each while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 53.1% from the field, 36.4% from 3-point range, and 82.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 68.8 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 13-14-1 this season and their O/U record is 17-11.
Michigan State Spartans Analysis
MSU is coming into this game with an 18-9 record overall and they are 10-3 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 17th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are currently 9-7 in their conference games this season. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and are coming into this game on a 3 game losing streak. Their last win was against the Indiana Hoosiers while their 5 losses in that span came against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights, the Wisconsin Badgers, the Penn State Nittany Lions, the Illinois Fighting Illini, and the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game. Malik Hall off the bench led the team in points in that game with 17 while Tyson Walker and Julius Marble were both next on the team with 9 points each. AJ Hoggard led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Marble led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 35.2% from the field, 30.8% from 3-point range, and 50% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 72.3 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.3 PPG against them. MSU has an ATS record of 13-14 this season and their O/U record is 13-13-1.
Purdue vs Michigan State Prediction
Purdue has been playing very well recently winning 3 straight and 9 of their last 10 games coming into this one. They have been winning a lot of thoise games by double digits and they currently sit at the top of the Big Ten with a 13-4 record against conference opponents. They have been decent on the road as well as they are 5-3 this season but they are going up against a Michigan State team that is 10-3 at home. MSU has been struggling recently though, they are only 9-7 against conference opponents this season and they have been taking a big tumble in recent games. MSU has lost 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 games. They have also lost their last 3 straight on the road and 2 of those games were lost by more than 20 points. MSU has even been stripped of their rank earlier this week and things have been moving in the wrong direction for them. They will likely continue to struggle here against one of the best teams in the Big Ten this season. Purdue will win this game at home by double digits as MSU continues to spiral downward.
Purdue Michigan State Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 26, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 88 MSU 68.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Purdue Boilermakers: 16-11 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 10-3 UNDER as a road favorite or pick. 20-11 UNDER in road games.
Michigan State Spartans: 24-33 ATS against conference opponents. 6-16 ATS after allowing 85 points or more. 24-14 UNDER when the total is 140 to 149.5.
Key Injuries
Purdue Boilermakers: B. Waddell (F) out for season - Knee injury.
Michigan State Spartans: None.
Notable Quotes
"We were trying to push the lead. We didn't want it to get close at all. We just played great team basketball today. We made plays down the stretch. They were pressing us the whole game. I felt were patient and we took what they gave us." - Jaden Ivey on their win against Rutgers.
"He was unbelievable. He was as good as anybody I've seen in this league in a while." - Tom Izzo on Keegan Murray in their loss against Iowa.
Starting Lineups
Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey
C. Furst
J. Ivey
Sasha Stefanovic
I. Thompson
Michigan State Spartans
M. Bingham
G. Brown
Max Christie
J. Hauser
T. Walker
Statistical Leaders
Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: J. Ivey (17.3)
APG: S. Stefanovic (3.4)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (7.6)
Michigan State Spartans
PPG: G. Brown (11.4)
APG: A. Hoggard (5.1)
RPG: M. Bingham Jr. (6.1)
Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (17th season)
Michigan State Spartans: Tom Izzo (27th season)