Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/14/2026

Game Time: 5:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 14, 2026

Venue:  Carver-Hawkeye Arena, Iowa City, IA

Where to Watch:  FOX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue -1.5, Iowa +1.5; Over/Under:  141.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue -1.5, Iowa +1.5; Over/Under:  141.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue -1.5, Iowa +1.5; Over/Under:  141.5 points

Purdue Boilermakers:  20-4 (10-3) (3rd place, Big Ten)

Iowa Hawkeyes:  18-6 (8-5) (8th place, Big Ten)

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Purdue Boilermakers:  3-2  last 5

Iowa Hawkeyes:  4-1  last 5

Purdue is entering this game with a 20-4 record overall, a 10-3 record in conference games, and they are 6-2 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a win against the Nebraska Cornhuskers in their last game. Fletcher Loyer led the team in points in that game with 18 while Braden Smith was next on the team with 13. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 10 in that game while Trey Kaufman-Renn led the team in rebounds with 19. They were 36.8% from the field, 28.3% from 3-point range, and 55% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 82.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 69.1 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 11-13 this season and their O/U record is 11-13.

Iowa is entering this game with an 18-6 record overall, an 8-5 conference record, and they are 12-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming off a loss against the Maryland Terrapins in their last game. Bennett Stirtz led the team in points in that game with 32 while Tavion Banks was next on the team with 13. Bennett Stirtz led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Tavion Banks led the team in rebounds with 8. They were 42.4% from the field, 25% from 3-point range, and 76.5% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 64.3 PPG against them. Iowa has an ATS record of 15-9 this season and their O/U record is 15-9.

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked really good in their games this season with their 20-4 record overall and their 10-3 conference record which has them right near the top of the Big Ten. They have been a good road team too with their 6-2 road record this year. Meanwhile, Iowa has looked good in their games this season with their 18-6 record overall and their 8-5 conference record which has them in the top half of the Big Ten. They have looked great on their home court too with their 12-1 home record this season. Iowa has looked good in their games lately as they are 4-1 in their last 5, but they are off a loss to Maryland in their last one and that is a bad loss to take against one of the worst teams in the Big Ten. Iowa does have a lot of talent on their team, but they have been really up and down in the Big Ten this year and now they are playing against one of the best in the conference. Purdue is 3-2 in their last 5 games and hasn't been at their best lately, but they bounced back after losing 2 in a row and now they have some momentum on their side. They have won 3 games in a row now and they are off a win over a really good Nebraska team in their last one. Now they have a chance to pick up another good win on the road here and they will be looking to make a statement. Purdue is still the more talented team here that has looked a lot better lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game. 

Purdue Iowa Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 14, 2026 (5:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 76 Iowa 69.

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Purdue Boilermakers: 11-4 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. 9-1 ATS when the total is 130 to 139.5. 25-17 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%). 9-2 OVER when the total is 130 to 139.5. 25-16 OVER off a win against a conference rival.

Iowa Hawkeyes: 0-6 ATS as a home underdog or pick. 8-17 ATS after playing a road game. 11-20 ATS versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season. 7-2 OVER when the total is 130 to 139.5. 20-12 OVER versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season.

Purdue Boilermakers:  None.

Iowa Hawkeyes:  P. McCollum (G) Out - Foot.

“When you become a senior, all that matters is winning. You don’t worry about anything else. You don’t worry about averaging 20. He showed NBA scouts, he showed people he can score. He averaged 20 points a game. He was a third-team All-American last year.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against Nebraska in their last game. 

“[I] thought our offense, sometimes, can get stuck. We have to keep moving, and the ball has to keep popping. And [we] have to be able to get to action, to be able to leverage the defense, which I thought for quick spans we did, and then it gets stalled out a little bit too much. And so we just have to be better with that.” - Ben McCollum after his team’s loss against Maryland in their last game. 

O. Cluff 

C. Cox 

T. Kaufman-Renn 

F. Loyer 

B. Smith

T. Banks 

K. Combs 

C. Koch 

C. Manyawu 

B. Stirtz

PPG: Braden Smith (15.1)

APG: Braden Smith (8.8)

Reb/G: Trey Kaufman-Renn (8.8)

PPG: Bennett Stirtz (20.4)

APG: Bennett Stirtz (4.9)

Reb/G: Tavion Banks (4.6)

Coaches:

Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (21st season)

Iowa Hawkeyes: Ben McCollum (1st season)