Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Game Preview and Prediction - 10/16/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 16, 2021
Venue:  Kinnick Stadium, Iowa City, IA
Where to Watch:  ABC

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue +11.5, Iowa -11.5; Over/Under:  43 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue +11.5, Iowa -11.5; Over/Under:  43 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue +12.5, Iowa -12.5; Over/Under:  43.5 points
 

Season Record

Purdue Boilermakers:  3-2 (3rd place, Big Ten West)
Iowa Hawkeyes:  6-0 (1st place, Big Ten West)
 
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Purdue Boilermakers vs Iowa Hawkeyes Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Purdue Boilermakers:  lost at home on Oct. 2 against the Minnesota Golden Gophers 20-13.
Iowa Hawkeyes:  won at home on Oct. 9 against the Penn State Nittany Lions 23-20.
 
 
 

Purdue Boilermakers Analysis

The Boilers are coming into this game with a 3-2 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be their 3rd conference matchup of the year and they are currently 1-1 in their conference games this regular season. Their 1 win came against the Illinois Fighting Illini while their loss came against Minnesota in their last game. They lost that game 20-13 after leading at halftime but failing to score a single point in the 2nd half giving that lead away. Aidan O’Connell played well in that game but he did have his moments where he struggled as well as he completed 34/52 passes for 371 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception. King Doerue led the team in rushing with 95 yards on 21 carries but he was basically their entire running game in that one. The receiving corps had a nice day as David Bell led the receivers with 120 yards on 6 receptions while Milton Wright was right behind him with 91 yards and 1 touchdown on 6 receptions. Marvin Grant led the defense with 4 solo tackles and 1 assisted one while Dedrick Mackley, Cam Allen, and Jalen Graham were all right behind him with 4 solo tackles each. No one on the defense recorded a sack or an interception in that game. They have scored 118 points in their first 5 games averaging 23.6 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 77 points against them allowing 15.4 PPG. Their offense is averaging 415.6 YPG while their defense is allowing 300.8 YPG.
 
 

Iowa Hawkeyes Analysis

Iowa is coming into this college football game with a 6-0 record overall and they are 4-0 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 4th conference matchup on their schedule this year and they are off to a great start with a 3-0 record in their conference games this season. Their 3 wins came against the Indiana Hoosiers, the Maryland Terrapins, and against PSU in their last game. They won that game 23-20 after trailing in the 1st half to comeback in the 2nd half late and win the game. Spencer Petras played alright in that game as he completed 17/31 passes for 195 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, but still not his best performance. Tyler Goodson led his team in rushing yards with 88 on 25 carries but he was basically their entire running game in that one. Nico Ragaini led his team in receiving yards with 73 and 1 touchdown on 4 receptions while Keegan Johnson had 45 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Charlie Jones caught the only other touchdown pass for them in that game but overall, it was a pretty quiet day for the receiving corps. Jack Campbell led the defense with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones while Jack Koerner was right behind with 4 solo tackles, 3 assisted ones, and 1 interception. Koerner along with Matt Hankins, Jestin Jacobs, and Riley Moss all had 1 interception each in that game. Deontae Craig recorded the only sack for them in that game. They have scored 189 points in their first 6 games averaging 31.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 78 points against them allowing 13 PPG. Their offense is averaging 317.5 YPG while their defense is allowing 274 YPG.
 

 

Purdue vs Iowa Prediction

Iowa is coming into this game as a 12.5 point favorite and the total is set at 43 with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Iowa have been scoring a lot of points this year but it is their defense that is keeping them in games for them to win. They are allowing less than 300 yards every game and less than 15 points in each game. Purdue's offense has not looked good recently as they have scored 13 points in each of their last 3 games. Purdue's defense has been playing well though as they are allowing roughly 300 yards each game and 15 points in each on average. Both of these teams have good defenses so it will be tough for the offenses to score on both sides. This should be a low scoring game so the best bet to make in this game is on the under. 
 
Purdue Iowa Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 16, 2021 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Iowa 23 Purdue 13.
Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks and expert football picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Purdue Boilermakers Iowa Hawkeyes prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our weekly NCAAF predictions and previews.
 

NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Purdue Boilermakers: 128-137 O/U in all games. 54-58 O/U in road games. 88-98 O/U against conference opponents. 87-92 O/U after playing a conference game. 
Iowa Hawkeyes: 123-147 O/U in all games. 19-36 O/U as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points. 49-76 O/U when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 78-88 O/U as a favorite. 63-69 O/U in home games. 89-97 O/U against conference opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Purdue Boilermakers:  P. Durham (TE) Ques Sat - Concussion. S. James (RB) out for season - Eligibility. C. Trice (CB) Out indefinitely - Ankle injury.
Iowa Hawkeyes:  R. Moss (DB) Ques Sat - Knee injury. E. Hurkett (DL) Out indefinitely - Leg injury.
 

Players to Watch

 
Purdue Boilermakers: David Bell is one player to watch in this contest. He leads his team in receiving yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a big game where he had over 100 yards receiving. He is a big part of this offense so look for him to make some plays in this game and get into the end zone again.
 
Iowa Hawkeyes: Tyler Goodson is one player to watch here. He leads his team in rushing yards and in touchdowns scored this season. He is coming off of a game where he had a team-high in rushing yards for that game. Look for him to get a lot of touches here as Iowa will try to control the ground game here.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"We weren't very opportunistic in the red zone again. It's something we've got to get better at — producing points when we get down in there tight. There were some things we did better but it wasn't good enough." - Jeff Brohm om their loss to Minnesota, his 4th in a row against them as a coach.
 
 
 
"This was like the biggest of the big-time, which was pretty awesome. You don't get moments like this every day, taking advantage of the opportunity. It was a mentally draining game for sure, and physically draining.” - Nico Ragaini after their big win against PSU in their last game.
 

Starting Lineups

 
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Sheffield, TJ 
WR Wright, Milton 
WR Bell, David 
TE Durham, Payne 
QB Jack Plummer
RB Horvath, Zander 
 
Iowa Hawkeyes
WR Tracy Jr., Tyrone 
WR Ragaini, Nico 
TE Sam LaPorta 
QB Petras, Spencer 
RB Goodson, Tyler 
FB Pottebaum, Monte 

Statistical Leaders

 
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: J. Plummer (840)
Rushing: K. Doerue (221)
Receiving: D. Bell (439)
Touchdowns: D. Bell (3)
Sacks: G. Karlaftis (1.5)
Tackles: M. Grant (22)
 
Iowa Hawkeyes
Passing: S. Petras (1138)
Rushing: T. Goodson (518)
Receiving: S. Laporta (271)
Touchdowns: T. Goodson (5)
Sacks: L. Van Ness (4)
Tackles: J. Campbell (26)
 
Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Jeff Brohm (5th season)
Iowa Hawkeyes: Kirk Ferentz (23rd season)
 

Weather Forecast

62 degrees F sunny, 52% humidity, 0% chance of rain, up to 15 mph wind speeds W.


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

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