Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 02/04/2023

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Feb 03, 2023
Game Time: 4:00 pm ET, Saturday, February 4, 2023
Venue:  Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall, Bloomington, IN
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue -1.5, Indiana +1.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue -1.5, Indiana +1.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue -1.5, Indiana +1.5; Over/Under:  139.5 points

Season Record

Purdue Boilermakers:  22-1 (11-1) (1st place, Big Ten)
Indiana Hoosiers:  15-7 (6-5) (4th place, Big Ten)

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Recent Form
Purdue Boilermakers:  5-0  last 5
Indiana Hoosiers:  4-1  last 5


Purdue Boilermakers vs Indiana Hoosiers Preview and Analysis


Purdue is coming into this game with a 22-1 record overall and they are 7-0 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 11-1 in their conference games this season as well. They are entering this game on a 9 game winning streak with wins coming against the Ohio State Buckeyes, the Penn State Nittany Lions, the Nebraska Cornhuskers, the Michigan State Spartans, the Minnesota Golden Gophers, the Maryland Terrapins, the Michigan Wolverines, Michigan State again, and Penn State again in their last game. Mason Gillis led the team in points in that game with 29 while Zach Edey was next on the team with 18 points. Braden Smith led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 13. They were 50.9% from the field, 45.2% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 74 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 60.3 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 10-11-2 this season and their O/U record is 9-14.


Indiana is coming into this game with a 15-7 record overall and they are 11-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are also 6-5 in their conference schedule this season as well. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Maryland Terrapins in their last game. Trayce Jackson-Davis led the team in points in that game with 18 while Race Thompson was next on the team with 11 points. Jalen Hood-Schifino led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Trayce Jackson-Davis led the team in rebounds with 20. They were 37.5% from the field, 27.3% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 77.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.3 PPG against them. Indiana has an ATS record of 10-11-1 this season and their O/U record is 13-8-1.



Purdue vs Indiana Prediction

The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue enters this game as a ranked team but not just any ranked team as they are the 1st ranked team in the country right now. They have been on a roll all year and really are one of the best teams in the country with their 22-1 record overall and their 11-1 conference record which leads the Big Ten by a few games. They have even been great in their road games with a perfect 7-0 road record and they have been on fire lately winning 9 games in a row as they enter this one. Indiana has had some rough patches this season but they have been playing a lot better lately. They are 15-7 overall with a 6-5 conference record but they have been great in their home games with an 11-1 home record. Indiana was starting to get really hot lately too but they lost their last game to Maryland and lost a lot of their steam as they got crushed in that game. This is a big rivalry game for them so they will bring their best on their home court here, but it still won't be enough as Purdue will find a way to win this game like they have been doing all year. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game.

Purdue Indiana Prediction:  Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, February 4, 2023 (4:00 pm ET start time) is Purdue 82 Indiana 78.
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NCAAB Betting Trends


Purdue Boilermakers: 2-9 ATS after a win by 15 points or more. 4-12 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games. 11-6 OVER when the line is +3 to -3.
Indiana Hoosiers: 25-17 ATS in all home games. 9-2 ATS after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better. 14-7 OVER in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5.

Key Injuries


Purdue Boilermakers:  None.
Indiana Hoosiers:  J. Geronimo (F) Ques Sat - Leg. L. Duncomb (C) Ques Sat - Illness. X. Johnson (G) Mid Feb - Foot.

Notable Quotes


“It was great to see someone get into a rhythm and knock down some shots. Obviously he played well in the first half, took some rhythm 3-pointers and knocked them down. Obviously, he started the second half because he started so well. And kind of exploded the first six or seven minutes.” - Matt Painter after his team’s win against PSU in their last game.


"You know, our perimeter play was non-existent tonight, and we have not had it like that in a while. So I mean, we have just gotta regroup. I thought defensively, we put so much pressure on our defense to get stops, and they shoot 30%, 20-something% from the 3, you have gotta think that you can win a game when that happens. And (we) out-rebounded them. I mean, we could not find any offense." - Mike Woodson after his team’s loss against Maryland in their last game.


Starting Lineups


Purdue Boilermakers
Z. Edey 
C. Furst 
F. Loyer 
E. Morton 
B. Smith

Indiana Hoosiers
J. Hood-Schifino 
T. Jackson-Davis 
X. Johnson 
M. Kopp 
R. Thompson

Statistical Leaders


Purdue Boilermakers
PPG: Z. Edey (22)
APG: B. Smith (4.3)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (13)

Indiana Hoosiers
PPG: T. Jackson-Davis (19.5)
APG: X. Johnson (4.9)
Reb/G: T. Jackson-Davis (11.2)

Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (18th season)
Indiana Hoosiers: Mike Woodson (2nd season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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