by Rod Pearson
Tuesday, Nov 08, 2022
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 12, 2022
Venue: University of Illinois Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL
Where to Watch: ESPN2
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Purdue +6, Illinois -6; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Purdue +6.5, Illinois -6.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Purdue +6.5, Illinois -6.5; Over/Under: 44.5 points
Season Record
Purdue Boilermakers: 5-4 (3-3) (4th place, Big Ten West)
Illinois Fighting Illini: 7-2 (4-2) (1st place, Big Ten West)
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Recent Form
Purdue Boilermakers: lost their last game at home against the Iowa Hawkeyes 24-3.
Illinois Fighting Illini: lost their last game at home against the Michigan State Spartans 23-15.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini Preview and Analysis
Purdue is entering this game with a 5-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 5th road game of the season here as they are 2-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 7th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 3-3. They lost against the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game at home 24-3. Aidan O'Connell started that game at QB and he completed 20/43 passes for 168 yards and 2 interceptions. Devin Mockobee led the team in rushing with 65 yards on 14 rushing attempts. Charlie Jones led the team in receiving with 104 yards on 11 receptions. Sanoussi Kane led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Lawrence Johnson led the defense in sacks with 1.5 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Illinois is entering this game with a 7-2 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 7th home game of the season as they are 5-1 in their home games this year. This will also be the 7th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 4-2. They lost against the Michigan State Spartans in their last game at home 23-15. Tommy Devito started that game at QB and he completed 25/37 passes for 288 yards and 2 touchdowns. Chase Brown led the team in rushing with 136 yards on 33 carries. Isaiah Williams led the team in receiving with 98 yards and 2 TDs on 5 receptions. Jartavius Martin and Isaac Darkangelo each led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Jer'Zhan Newton and Calvin Hart Jr. each led the defense in sacks with 0.5 while Sydney Brown came away with the only interception for them in that one.
Purdue vs Illinois Prediction
The current betting odds have Illinois listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Illinois has been really good in most of their games this season as they are leading their division in the Big Ten right now, but they just took a really bad loss at home to MSU in their last game and MSU was missing a lot of starters in that game too. Their defense still played well as it has in all of their games this year but their offense really struggled to put up points and they were playing from behind the entire time. Purdue has been terrible in their games this year though and especially lately they have been really bad on both offense and defense. They have been struggling to put up points on offense while their defense has been giving up a ton of points and their opponent here, Illinois, is going to be looking to bounce back after that bad loss last week. Illinois may have had a bad game against MSU last week but they are still a really good team with a great defense and they have been crushing teams at home this year. They will bounce back with a big win here as Purdue continues to struggle on offense and will not be able to put up many points on this defense. The best way to place a bet here is on Illinois to cover the spread in this game.
Purdue Illinois Prediction: Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 12, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Illinois 24 Purdue 9.
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Purdue Boilermakers: 10-23 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less. 9-17 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite. 13-3 UNDER off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite.
Illinois Fighting Illini: 6-1 ATS when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 18-9 UNDER in all games. 10-4 UNDER in home games.
Key Injuries
Purdue Boilermakers: B. Thompson (WR) Out indefinitely - Knee. T. Denson (CB) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. D. Lewis (DT) out for season - Ankle.
Illinois Fighting Illini: A. Laughery (RB) Mid Dec - Undisclosed. E. Holmes (LB) out for season - Knee. S. Miller (WR) out for season - Undisclosed. D. Leary (QB) Out indefinitely - Undisclosed.
Notable Quotes
"It was a bad day for us. It starts with me. I didn't have the team ready to play. The guys didn't perform and we got our butts kicked. That is a good football team, we knew that. We knew we were going to have to make play and get points early and take them out of what they wanted to do. We turned it over." - Jeff Brohm after his team’s loss against Iowa in their last game.
"Maybe we need to get bigger, maybe we need to get smaller. We get to the threshold of (scoring) it and weren't able to get in." - Bret Bielema after his team’s loss against MSU in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Purdue Boilermakers
WR Sheffield, TJ
WR Jones, Charlie
WR Tracy Jr., Tyrone
TE Durham, Payne
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Mockobee, Devin
Illinois Fighting Illini
WR Hightower, Brian
WR Bryant, Pat
WR Williams, Isaiah
TE Reiman, Tip
QB DeVito, Tommy
RB Brown, Chase
Statistical Leaders
Purdue Boilermakers
Passing: A. O'Connell (2429)
Rushing: D. Mockobee (626)
Receiving: C. Jones (944)
Touchdowns: C. Jones (9)
Illinois Fighting Illini
Passing: T. Devito (1879)
Rushing: C. Brown (1344)
Receiving: I. Williams (537)
Touchdowns: C. Brown (8)
Coaches:
Purdue Boilermakers: Jeff Brohm (6th season)
Illinois Fighting Illini: Bret Bielema (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
