Purdue Boilermakers vs Illinois Fighting Illini Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 10/12/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, October 12, 2024

Venue:  University of Illinois Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL 

Where to Watch:  Fox Sports 1

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Purdue +19, Illinois -19; Over/Under:  49 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Purdue +19.5, Illinois -19.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Purdue +19.5, Illinois -19.5; Over/Under:  49.5 points

Purdue Boilermakers:  1-4 (0-2) (17th place, Big Ten)

Illinois Fighting Illini:  4-1 (1-1) (9th place, Big Ten)

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Purdue Boilermakers:  lost their last game on the road against the Wisconsin Badgers 52-6.

Illinois Fighting Illini:  lost their last game on the road against the Penn State Nittany Lions 21-7.

Purdue is entering this game with a 1-4 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their conference games too. They are 1-2 in their home games, 0-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against Wisconsin 52-6. Hudson Card was the starting QB and he completed 11/21 passes for 111 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Devin Mockobee led the team in rushing yards with 45. Jahmal Edrine led the receivers with 26 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Will Heldt and Dillon Thieneman each led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Kyndrich Breedlove came away with 2 interceptions for them in that one.

 

 

 

Illinois is entering this game with a 4-1 record overall and they have a 1-1 record in their conference games too. They are 3-0 in their home games, 1-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against Penn State 21-7. Luke Altmyer was the starting QB and he completed 16/25 passes for 185 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Kaden Feagin led the team in rushing yards with 64. Zakhari Franklin led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Miles Scott led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Gabe Jacas led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

The current betting odds have Illinois listed as a 19 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Illinois has looked really good in their games this season with their 4-1 record overall, but they are 1-1 in their conference games. They have pulled off some upset wins already and even their 1 loss this season wasn't that bad, losing to Penn State who is one of the best in the nation. They are coming off that loss in their last one, but they did put up a good fight as they only lost 21-7 on the road, their defense playing very well to keep Penn State from running away. They are also coming out of their bye week now so they have had extra time to prepare for this game. Meanwhile, Purdue has looked terrible in their games this season with their 1-4 record overall and their 0-2 conference record. They were supposed to improve under their new head coach but they have taken a big step back this season. They are also 0-2 in their road games this year and they were absolutely embarrassed in their last one, losing to Wisconsin 52-6. Their offense has struggled to put up points all season and they aren't going to be any better against a good Illinois defense that hasn't been giving up many points. Illinois isn't putting up a ton of points themselves, but their offense has been a lot more consistent than Purdue and they will continue to pull away at home until there is no way back in the game for Purdue. The best way to place a bet here is on Illinois to cover the spread in this game. 

Purdue Illinois Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, October 12, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Illinois 31 Purdue 3.

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Purdue Boilermakers: 10-21 ATS in all lined games. 6-14 ATS as an underdog. 7-14 ATS against conference opponents. 3-9 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 12-7 OVER as an underdog. 8-3 OVER off a loss against a conference rival. 7-2 OVER after a loss by 17 or more points.

Illinois Fighting Illini: 5-2 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 5-2 1H ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.75 rushing yards/carry or more. 3-1 1H ATS after a bye week. 9-5 1H OVER when the total is between 42.5 and 49. 13-6 1H OVER against conference opponents. 6-3 1H OVER off a loss against a conference rival.

Purdue Boilermakers:  D. Carlson (DL) Out - Undisclosed. G. Burhenn (TE) Out - Undisclosed. O. Davis (LB) Out - Undisclosed. W. Berglund (LB) Out - Undisclosed. J. Strickland (DL) Out - Undisclosed. C. Smith (WR) Out - Hamstring. S. Bradford (DB) Out - Undisclosed. N. Green (DB) Out - Foot. J. Bouldin (OL) Out - Undisclosed.

Illinois Fighting Illini:  C. Goda (TE) Questionable - Undisclosed. D. Brown (OLB) Questionable - Undisclosed. A. Laughery (RB) Questionable - Undisclosed. M. Muragin (OLB) Out - Undisclosed. C. Rusk (TE) Out - Knee.

“Obviously we would have liked to get touchdowns when we got inside there. But the way we played in the second half, it wouldn’t have mattered.” - Ryan Walters after his team’s loss against Wisconsin in their last game. 

“Some moments that we could’ve capitalized on just didn’t happen. You can’t beat the No. 9 team in the country having a first and goal at the 2 and come away with zero points. It doesn’t add up.” - Bret Bielema after his team’s loss against PSU in their last game. 

WR Rigby, Shamar

WR Edrine, Jahmal 

WR Tibbs, Jaron

TE Klare, Max 

QB Card, Hudson 

RB Mockobee, Devin 

WR Franklin, Zakhari

WR Bryant, Pat 

WR Dixon, Collin 

TE Arkin, Tanner

QB Altmyer, Luke

RB Laughery, Aidan 

Passing: H. Card (738)

Rushing: D. Mockobee (362)

Receiving: M. Klare (219)

Touchdowns: M. Klare (2)

Passing: L. Altmyer (1047)

Rushing: K. Feagin (306)

Receiving: P. Bryant (342)

Touchdowns: P. Bryant (6)

Coaches:

Purdue Boilermakers: Ryan Walters (2nd season)

Illinois Fighting Illini: Bret Bielema (4th season)