Game Time: 1:30 pm ET, Saturday, December 9, 2023
Venue: Coca-Cola Coliseum, Toronto, ON
Where to Watch: FOX
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Purdue -6, Alabama +6; Over/Under: 164 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Purdue -6, Alabama +6; Over/Under: 164 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Purdue -6, Alabama +6; Over/Under: 164 points
Purdue Boilermakers: 8-1 (1-1) (6th place, Big Ten)
Alabama Crimson Tide: 6-2 (0-0) (5th place, SEC)
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Purdue Boilermakers: 4-1 last 5
Alabama Crimson Tide: 3-2 last 5
Purdue Boilermakers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Preview and Analysis
Purdue is entering this game with an 8-1 record overall and they are 0-1 in their road games this season but will be at a neutral site for this game. They are coming off a win against the Iowa Hawkeyes in their last game. Zach Edey led the team in points per game in that game with 25 while Lance Jones was next on the team with 17. Braden Smith led the team in assists with 8 in that game while Zach Edey led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 52.3% from the field, 32% from 3-point range, and 68.8% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 84.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 67.2 PPG against them. Purdue has an ATS record of 5-2-2 this season and their O/U record is 6-3.
Alabama is entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they are 0-0 in their road games this season but will be at a neutral site for this game. They are coming off a win against the Arkansas State Red Wolves in their last game. Mark Sears and Jarin Stevenson each led the team in points in that game with 13 while Mohamed Wague and Grant Nelson each were next on the team with 12. Mark Sears led the team in assists with 6 in that game while Mohamed Wague led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 43.8% from the field, 41.9% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shooting in that game. Their offense is averaging 94.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 74.9 PPG against them. Alabama has an ATS record of 4-4 this season and their O/U record is 6-2.
Purdue vs Alabama Prediction
The current betting odds have Purdue listed as a 6 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Purdue has looked really good in their games this season with their 8-1 record overall but their 1 loss this season came on the road against Northwestern. They aren't on the road in this game as they are at a neutral site, but Purdue has also won every game they have played at a neutral site this season. Meanwhile, Alabama has also looked good this season with their 6-2 record overall but they haven't looked as good in their games lately with their schedule getting tougher now. This isn't the same team as last year either that was so good and they are going to be taking a step back this season. Purdue has returned a lot of players this season though and they are playing like they have some unfinished business. This game is also at a neutral site in Toronto where there will be a lot of friends and family of Zach Edey so it is going to be a lot more like a home environment for Purdue. Purdue will be looking to put on a show here, especially with so many fans in attendance for Edey. The best way to place a bet here is on Purdue to cover the spread in this game.
Purdue Alabama Prediction: Our NCAAB Pick for Saturday, December 9, 2023 (1:30 pm ET start time) is Purdue 86 Alabama 76.
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NCAAB Betting Trends
Purdue Boilermakers: 7-1 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 14-5 ATS against SEC opponents. 32-15 OVER as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick. 12-5 OVER against SEC opponents.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 3-10 ATS off a home no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 13-26 ATS after scoring 80 points or more. 13-5 OVER off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite. 23-15 OVER after a game where they failed to cover the spread.
Purdue Boilermakers: None.
Alabama Crimson Tide: N. Pringle (F) Prob Sat - Suspension. G. Nelson (F) Prob Sat - Leg.
“You just don’t want it to be when it matters the most. So for us, it's the execution of things. We got to execute, we got to get quality shots, but then you gotta defend and be grimey at times. I thought Northwestern made more plays than us, they were a little tougher than us.” - Matt Painter on turnovers plaguing his team this season.
“A solid win for us. We’ve been emphasizing defense. I thought it was decent in the first half. Still wasn’t where we needed to be and got worse in the second half. But I think we’re making improvements on that side of the ball.” - Nate Oats after his team’s win against Arkansas State in their last game on Monday.
Alabama Crimson Tide
PPG: Z. Edey (23.7)
APG: B. Smith (7.1)
Reb/G: Z. Edey (11.2)
Alabama Crimson Tide
PPG: M. Sears (19.8)
APG: M. Sears (4.4)
Reb/G: G. Nelson (6.3)
Purdue Boilermakers: Matt Painter (19th season)
Alabama Crimson Tide: Nate Oats (5th season)