by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Nov 06, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 10, 2024
Venue: Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Steelers +2.5, Commanders -2.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Steelers +3, Commanders -3; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Steelers +3, Commanders -3; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Pittsburgh Steelers: 6-2 (1st place, AFC North)
Washington Commanders: 7-2 (1st place, NFC East)
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers: won their last game at home against the New York Giants 26-18.
Washington Commanders: won their last game on the road against the New York Giants 27-22.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Washington Commanders Preview and Analysis
The Steelers are entering this game with a 6-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 3-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 26-18. Russell Wilson was the starting QB and he completed 20/28 passes for 278 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 114. George Pickens led the receivers with 74 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Joey Porter Jr. led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while T. J. Watt and Alex Highsmith each led the defense in sacks with 2. Beanie Bishop Jr. came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Commanders are entering this game with a 7-2 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-0 in their home games, 3-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the New York Giants 27-22. Jayden Daniels was the starting QB and he completed 15/22 passes for 209 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Chris Rodriguez Jr. led the team in rushing yards with 52. Noah Brown led the receivers with 60 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Jeremy Chinn led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Dante Fowler Jr. led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Steelers vs Commanders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Commanders listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Commanders have looked great in their games this season with their 7-2 record overall which leads the NFC East with one of the best records in the entire NFL. They have also looked great in their home games with their 4-0 home record this year, and they are coming off a win against the Giants in their last one. Meanwhile, the Steelers have also looked really good in their games this season with their 6-2 record overall which leads the AFC North with one of the best records in the NFL. They are 3-1 in their road games and their offense has looked a lot better with Russell Wilson starting the last 2 games. They are coming out of their bye week for this game too, but the Commanders still have a ton of momentum on their side and Jayden Daniels has been proving why he was the Heisman Trophy winner last season. The Commanders also made some moves at the trade deadline to improve their defense and they have already been a tough team to beat with the way Dan Quinn has turned things around. The Steelers also have a great defense, but the offense has been up and down going back to Fields as the starter and Wilson only has 2 starts under his belt in this offense. The Commanders have the more reliable offense to put up points and they have the home advantage which will push them over the edge here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Commanders to cover the spread in this game.
Steelers Commanders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 10, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Commanders 24 Steelers 16.
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NFL Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Steelers: 26-16 ATS in all games. 18-9 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 7-3 ATS off a home win. 9-3 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 9-1 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 8-2 UNDER versus good rushing teams - averaging 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 8-3 UNDER versus poor defensive teams - allowing 5.65 yards/play or more.
Washington Commanders: 3-7 ATS after playing a division game. 4-8 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%). 12-4 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 10-5 UNDER as a favorite. 6-3 UNDER as a home favorite of 7 points or less.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Steelers: None.
Washington Commanders: B. Robinson (RB) Questionable - Hamstring. F. Luvu (LB) Injured - Shin. T. McLaurin (WR) Injured - Ankle. O. Zaccheaus (WR) Injured - Hamstring. C. Lucas (T) Out - Ankle. B. Coleman (OT) Injured - Concussion. J. Daniels (QB) Injured - Rib. C. Ferrell (DE) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I thought it was his time. And he thought it was his time. And he delivered.” - Mike Tomlin on Calvin Austin III after his team’s win against the Giants in their last game.
“It was like a historic win for us last week at home in the fashion it went. How do you recognize it and yet fill the tanks back up knowing you're heading back into a division game? I thought it showed a lot of maturity from the team and poise to say, ‘That was cool, now we got to get right back into the next process.’” - Dan Quinn after his team’s win against the Giants in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Pickens, George
WR Williams, Mike
WR Jefferson, Van
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Wilson, Russell
RB Harris, Najee
Washington Commanders
WR McLaurin, Terry
WR Brown, Dyami
WR McCaffrey, Luke
TE Ertz, Zach
QB Daniels, Jayden
RB Robinson Jr., Brian
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: J. Fields (1106)
Rushing: N. Harris (592)
Receiving: G. Pickens (548)
Touchdowns: J. Fields (5)
Washington Commanders
Passing: J. Daniels (1945)
Rushing: B. Robinson (461)
Receiving: T. McLaurin (598)
Touchdowns: B. Robinson (6)
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (18th season)
Washington Commanders: Dan Quinn (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
