by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Oct 10, 2024
Game Time: 4:05 pm ET, Sunday, October 13, 2024
Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Steelers -3, Raiders +3; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Steelers -3, Raiders +3; Over/Under: 36.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Steelers -3, Raiders +3; Over/Under: 36.5 points
Season Record
Pittsburgh Steelers: 3-2 (2nd place, AFC North)
Las Vegas Raiders: 2-3 (4th place, AFC West)
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers: lost their last game at home against the Dallas Cowboys 20-17.
Las Vegas Raiders: lost their last game on the road against the Denver Broncos 34-18.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Las Vegas Raiders Preview and Analysis
The Steelers are entering this game with a 3-2 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Dallas Cowboys 20-17. Justin Fields was the starting QB and he completed 15/27 passes for 131 passing yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 42. Najee Harris led the receivers with 35 receiving yards on 2 receptions. Minkah Fitzpatrick led the defense in that game with 8 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while T. J. Watt led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Donte Jackson and Joey Porter Jr. each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
The Raiders are entering this game with a 2-3 record overall and they have a 0-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 1-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Denver Broncos 34-18. Gardner Minshew II was the starting QB and he completed 12/17 passes for 137 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions before getting replaced by Aidan O'Connell who completed 10/20 passes for 94 yards, 0 TDs, and 1 INT. Ameer Abdullah led the team in rushing yards with 42 and 1 TD. Brock Bowers led the receivers with 97 receiving yards on 8 receptions and 1 TD. Robert Spillane led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Maxx Crosby led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
Steelers vs Raiders Prediction
The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers have looked good in their games this season with their 3-2 record overall, but they are coming off of a loss in their last one and will be looking to bounce back. They started the season 3-0 and they have now lost 2 games in a row. Meanwhile, the Raiders have looked terrible in their games this season with their 2-3 record overall. They just got blown out by the Broncos in their last one and they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL this season, giving up a ton of points in their games. Their offense hasn't looked good lately either and there could be a change at QB for this one too. Either way, this team doesn't have a ton of talent and they are going to struggle against this Steelers defense that has been really good this season. The Steelers have been struggling on offense themselves, but they will have an easier time moving the ball against this bad Raiders defense. Tomlin isn't going to erase a 3-0 start to the season by going back to .500 with a loss to one of the worst teams in the NFL. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game.
Steelers Raiders Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 13, 2024 (4:05 pm ET start time) is Steelers 24 Raiders 10.
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NFL Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Steelers: 15-25 1H ATS in all games. 4-13 1H ATS as a favorite. 8-17 1H ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 1-8 1H ATS vs. bad defensive teams who give up 24 or more points/game. 25-15 UNDER in all games. 12-5 UNDER as a favorite. 9-3 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better.
Las Vegas Raiders: 12-6 ATS in home games. 7-2 ATS in a home game where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points. 9-3 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record. 13-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 5-0 UNDER after a loss by 14 or more points. 6-1 UNDER after allowing 30 points or more last game.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Steelers: D. Kazee (SAF) Injured - Ankle. T. Watt (LB) Injured - NIR - Rest. M. Fitzpatrick (SAF) Injured - NIR - Rest. N. Harris (RB) Injured - NIR - Rest. D. Leal (DE) Injured - Neck. L. Ogunjobi (DT) Injured - NIR - Rest. C. Heyward (DT) Injured - NIR - Rest. N. Herbig (LB) Injured - Hamstring. C. Patterson (RB) Injured - Ankle. A. Highsmith (LB) Injured - Groin. J. Warren (RB) Injured - Knee. M. Pruitt (TE) Injured - Knee. R. Wilson (QB) Injured - Calf. I. Seumalo (G) Injured - NIR - Rest.
Las Vegas Raiders: D. Adams (WR) Injured - Hamstring. K. Miller (T) Injured - Knee. M. Crosby (DE) Injured - Ankle. D. Parham (G) Injured - Achilles. T. Munford (T) Injured - Knee. J. Meyers (WR) Injured - Ankle. D. Deablo (LB) Injured - Oblique. Z. White (RB) Injured - Groin. T. Moehrig (SAF) Injured - Knee. D. Turner (WR) Injured - Hamstring. M. Mayer (TE) Injured - Non-injury. T. McAllister (WR) Injured - Shoulder. J. Powers-Johnson (OG) Injured - Knee. T. Eichenberg (LB) Injured - Hamstring. D. Richardson (CB) Injured - Hamstring. T. Taylor (SAF) Injured - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“I think the reoccurring thing is just shooting ourselves in the foot. Penalties, false starts, it’s just coming down to execution.” - Justin Fields after their loss against the Cowboys in their last game.
“It definitely swung the game. And obviously I can’t do that to our team, put us in a bad spot. That swing was definitely on me. ... I thought we got off to a good start, and then I killed our momentum with the pick six.” - Gardner Minshew after their loss against the Broncos in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Pickens, George
WR Jefferson, Van
WR Austin III, Calvin
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Fields, Justin
RB Harris, Najee
Las Vegas Raiders
WR Tucker, Tre
WR Meyers, Jakobi
WR Turner, DJ
TE Bowers, Brock
QB O'Connell, Aidan
RB Mattison, Alexander
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: J. Fields (961)
Rushing: N. Harris (270)
Receiving: G. Pickens (310)
Touchdowns: J. Fields (3)
Las Vegas Raiders
Passing: G. Minshew (1014)
Rushing: Z. White (152)
Receiving: B. Bowers (313)
Touchdowns: A. Mattison (3)
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (18th season)
Las Vegas Raiders: Antonio Pierce (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
