by Rod Pearson
Wednesday, Sep 25, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, September 29, 2024
Venue: Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Steelers -1.5, Colts +1.5; Over/Under: 39.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Steelers -1.5, Colts +1.5; Over/Under: 40 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Steelers -1.5, Colts +1.5; Over/Under: 40 points
Season Record
Pittsburgh Steelers: 3-0 (1st place, AFC North)
Indianapolis Colts: 1-2 (2nd place, AFC South)
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers: won their last game at home against the Los Angeles Chargers 20-10.
Indianapolis Colts: won their last game at home against the Chicago Bears 21-16.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Indianapolis Colts Preview and Analysis
The Steelers are entering this game with a 3-0 record overall and they have a 0-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-0 in their home games, 2-0 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Los Angeles Chargers 20-10. Justin Fields was the starting QB and he completed 25/32 passes for 245 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Najee Harris led the team in rushing yards with 70. Calvin Austin III led the receivers with 95 receiving yards on 4 receptions and 1 TD. Patrick Queen led the defense in that game with 4 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while Nick Herbig led the defense in sacks with 2. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.
The Colts are entering this game with a 1-2 record overall and they have a 0-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 1-1 in their home games, 0-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-1 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Chicago Bears 21-16. Anthony Richardson was the starting QB and he completed 10/20 passes for 167 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor led the team in rushing yards with 110 and 2 TDs. Alec Pierce led the receivers with 44 receiving yards on 1 reception. E. J. Speed led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 6 assisted tackles while Adetomiwa Adebawore, Laiatu Latu, and Taven Bryan each led the defense in sacks with 1. Jaylon Jones came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that one.
Steelers vs Colts Prediction
The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers have looked great in their games this season with their 3-0 record overall. They have one of the best defenses in the NFL this season and they have been barely giving up any points. Their offense hasn't been great, but they have been doing enough with Justin Fields leading the offense, and he hasn't been losing them games with mistakes either. Meanwhile, the Colts haven't looked great in their games this season with their 1-2 record overall. They are coming off their first win of the season last week, but that win was at home against the Bears who have been struggling with a rookie QB in their first 3 games. They looked terrible on offense in their game against the Packers and this is going to be the best defense that they have seen in their first 4 games. Richardson has been really up and down in this offense and with his inconsistencies this season, he is going to struggle against this Steelers defense. This is another game that the Steelers defense can win on their own so they won't need Justin Fields and the offense to do much here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game.
Steelers Colts Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, September 29, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Steelers 17 Colts 9.
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NFL Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Steelers: 23-14 ATS in all games. 10-5 ATS as a favorite. 13-7 ATS in road games. 6-2 ATS off a home win. 24-14 UNDER in all games. 11-4 UNDER as a favorite. 15-5 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins.
Indianapolis Colts: 1-5 ATS off a home win. 5-11 ATS after playing a game at home. 7-14 1H ATS as an underdog. 16-9 1H UNDER against conference opponents. 8-2 1H UNDER as a home underdog of 7 points or less. 22-15 1H UNDER in all games.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Steelers: T. Fautanu (OT) Out - Knee. C. Heyward (DT) Injured - NIR - Rest. M. Pruitt (TE) Out - Knee. N. Harris (RB) Injured - NIR - Rest. T. Watt (LB) Injured - NIR - Rest. L. Ogunjobi (DT) Injured - NIR - Rest. R. Wilson (QB) Questionable - Calf. I. Seumalo (G) Out - Pectoral. R. Wilson (WR) Injured - Ankle.
Indianapolis Colts: R. Kelly (C) Injured - Non-injury. B. Smith (T) Injured - Knee. M. Pittman (WR) Questionable - Back. K. Moore (CB) Injured - Thumb. R. Thomas (SAF) Injured - Shoulder. L. Latu (DE) Questionable - Hip. J. Blackmon (SAF) Injured - Shoulder. M. Gay (K) Injured - Quadricep. J. Downs (WR) Injured - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“I feel like I'm just very calm out there, cool, calm and collected in the field and really just that sense of peace out there on the field and not rushing things. Internally, my brain, just staying calm in the pocket, making plays when I can and must doing my job.” - Justin Fields after their win against the LA Chargers in their last game.
“That stop was big. I mean, any time you get those big stops down in the tight red zone like we did, the momentum swings a little bit there. Obviously, they (the defense) played a helluva game there.” - Shane Steichen after his team’s win against the Bears in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Pickens, George
WR Jefferson, Van
WR Austin III, Calvin
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Fields, Justin
RB Harris, Najee
Indianapolis Colts
WR Pierce, Alec
WR Pittman Jr., Michael
WR Downs, Josh
TE Granson, Kylen
QB Richardson, Anthony
RB Taylor, Jonathan
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: J. Fields (518)
Rushing: N. Harris (209)
Receiving: G. Pickens (171)
Touchdowns: D. Washington (1)
Indianapolis Colts
Passing: A. Richardson (583)
Rushing: J. Taylor (261)
Receiving: A. Pierce (225)
Touchdowns: J. Taylor (3)
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (18th season)
Indianapolis Colts: Shane Steichen (2nd season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
