by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 17, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 19, 2023
Venue: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Steelers +1.5, Browns -1.5; Over/Under: 33 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Steelers +1, Browns -1; Over/Under: 33 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Steelers +1, Browns -1; Over/Under: 33 points
Season Record
Pittsburgh Steelers: 6-3 (2nd place, AFC North)
Cleveland Browns: 6-3 (3rd place, AFC North)
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers: won their last game at home against the Green Bay Packers 23-19.
Cleveland Browns: won their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 33-31.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis
The Steelers are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 2-0 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-1 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Green Bay Packers 23-19. Kenny Pickett was the starting QB and he completed 14/23 passes for 126 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing yards with 101 and 1 TD. George Pickens led the receivers with 45 receiving yards on 3 receptions. T. J. Watt led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while T. J. Watt led the defense in sacks with 1. Keanu Neal and Damontae Kazee each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
The Browns are entering this game with a 6-3 record overall and they have a 2-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-1 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 33-31. Deshaun Watson was the starting QB and he completed 20/34 passes for 213 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Jerome Ford led the team in rushing yards with 107. Amari Cooper led the receivers with 98 receiving yards on 6 receptions. Martin Emerson Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles while Myles Garrett led the defense in sacks with 1.5. Mike Ford and Greg Newsome II each came away with 1 interception for them in that game.
Steelers vs Browns Prediction
The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 1.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers are 6-3 overall this year and haven't looked great in every game but they are finding ways to win every week with a top 10 defense in the NFL. The Browns are also 6-3 overall this season and have one of the best defenses in the NFL too. Both of these offenses have struggled this season but even though the Steelers are the road team here, they still have an edge on offense in this game with Watson now being out for the season. The Browns offense has already been struggling no matter who has started but now they are having DTR start in his 2nd ever career start, and his 1st was a complete disaster. He will likely be better in this home game but it is still only his 2nd ever start in the NFL and this is a really tough defense to go up against with a great coach like Mike Tomlin on the other sideline too. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game.
Steelers Browns Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 19, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Steelers 20 Browns 9.
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NFL Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Steelers: 15-6 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 9-5 ATS off 1 or more straight overs. 27-15 ATS off 2 consecutive home wins. 15-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 20-11 UNDER against conference opponents. 10-4 UNDER off 1 or more straight overs.
Cleveland Browns: 1-5 ATS off a road win. 5-11 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 6-14 ATS after 1 or more consecutive wins against the spread. 37-16 UNDER as a home favorite of 3 points or less. 16-9 UNDER revenging an upset loss against an opponent as a favorite.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Steelers: D. Johnson (WR) Prob Sun - Thumb. K. Neal (S) Ques Sun - Ribs. C. Heyward (DT) Ques Sun - Groin. P. Freiermuth (TE) Ques Sun - Hamstring. K. Alexander (LB) I-R - Achilles. M. Fitzpatrick (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. M. Adams (DT) Ques Sun - Ankle. C. Holcomb (LB) I-R - Knee. R. Wren (DT) I-R - Achilles. C. Trice (DB) I-R - Leg.
Cleveland Browns: D. Ward (CB) Prob Sun - Neck. A. Wright (DE) Prob Sun - Knee. W. Teller (G) Prob Sun - Calf. G. Newsome II (CB) Prob Sun - Groin. J. Thornhill (S) Ques Sun - Calf. M. Adams (LB) Ques Sun - Personal. P. Strong Jr. (RB) Prob Sun - Hamstring. O. Okoronkwo (DE) Ques Sun - Groin. D. Watson (QB) I-R - Shoulder. M. Dunn (G) Ques Sun - Calf. D. Bell (WR) Ques Sun - Knee. M. Goodwin (WR) Ques Sun - Concussion. D. Jones (OT) Ques Sun - Shoulder. D. Forbes (G) Out indefinitely - Back. C. Mitchell (CB) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Wills Jr. (OT) Out indefinitely - Knee. S. Ika (DT) Out indefinitely - Foot. N. Chubb (RB) I-R - Knee. J. Conklin (OT) I-R - Knee. J. Kunaszyk (LB) Out indefinitely - Knee. M. Woods II (WR) Out indefinitely - Achilles. J. Grant Sr. (WR) I-R - Knee. J. Phillips (LB) I-R - Pectoral. D. Deaton (G) I-R - Knee. T. Graham Jr. (CB) I-R - Ankle.
Notable Quotes
“I'm just so used to (close games), I don't even realize it. That's just how we are.” - Najee Harris after their win against the Packers in their last game.
“These guys are tough, but down the stretch things start to slow down and guys kind of settled into things and we played the way we had practiced. We made the plays we needed to make.” - Myles Garrett after their win against the Ravens in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Pickens, George
WR Johnson, Diontae
WR ROBINSON II, ALLEN
TE Heyward, Connor
QB Pickett, Kenny
RB Harris, Najee
Cleveland Browns
WR Cooper, Amari
WR GOODWIN, MARQUISE
WR Moore, Elijah
TE Njoku, David
QB Thompson-Robinson, Dorian
RB Ford, Jerome
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: K. Pickett (1616)
Rushing: N. Harris (464)
Receiving: G. Pickens (566)
Touchdowns: G. Pickens (3)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: D. Watson (1115)
Rushing: J. Ford (532)
Receiving: A. Cooper (715)
Touchdowns: K. Hunt (6)
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (17th season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (4th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
