Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/31/2021

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 31, 2021
Venue:  FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Where to Watch:  CBS


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Steelers +3.5, Browns -3.5; Over/Under:  42 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Steelers +3.5, Browns -3.5; Over/Under:  42.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Steelers +3.5, Browns -3.5; Over/Under:  42 points

Season Record

Pittsburgh Steelers:  3-3 (4th place, AFC North)
Cleveland Browns:  4-3 (3rd place, AFC North)
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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns Preview and Analysis

Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers:  won at home on Oct. 17 against the Seattle Seahawks in overtime 23-20.
Cleveland Browns:  won at home on Oct. 21 against the Denver Broncos 17-14.

Pittsburgh Steelers Analysis

The Steelers are coming into this game with a 3-3 record overall and they are 1-1 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 2nd divisional matchup for the Steelers this year and they are 0-1 in their divisional games this season after losing to the Cincinnati Bengals. The Steelers are coming into this game on a 2 game winning streak after wins over the Denver Broncos and the Seattle Seahawks. Both of those wins came at home for them against two injured teams that are having injury problems with their quarterbacks specifically. They won their last game against the Seahawks 23-20 but that game required overtime and they were playing a Seattle team that was being led by Geno Smith in the absence of Russell Wilson. Ben Roethlisberger was alright in that game as he completed 29/40 passes for 229 yards and 1 touchdown. Najee Harris led the team in rushing with 81 yards on 24 carries in that one. Diontae Johnson led the receivers with 71 yards on 9 receptions. Minkah Fitzpatrick led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 2 assisted ones. T.J. Watt led the defense in sacks in that game with 2 while no one on the defense was able to come away with an interception in that game. They have scored 117 points in their 6 games this season averaging 19.5 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 132 points against them allowing 22 PPG. Their offense is averaging 323.8 YPG while their defense is allowing 352.3 YPG.

Cleveland Browns Analysis

The Browns are coming into this game with a 4-3 record overall and they are 3-1 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. This will be the 1st divisional matchup on their schedule this year as they have not played any divisional games yet. They broke their 2 game losing streak with a win over the Denver Broncos in their last game on Thursday night in the previous week. They won that game 17-14 in a game that they slightly led the entire time before the Broncos made a second half comeback but it was not enough. Baker Mayfield missed that game with an injury and will still be out for this game as well. Case Keenum played alright in their last game as he completed 21/33 passes for 199 yards and 1 touchdown. D'Ernest Johnson took over the run game with Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt out but he had a big day leading the team in rushing with 146 yards and 1 touchdown on 22 carries. Austin Hooper led the receivers with 42 yards on 2 receptions while Johnny Stanton caught the only touchdown pass in that game for them. Anthony Walker Jr. led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 3 assisted ones. Myles Garrett led the defense in sacks with 1.5 while John Johnson had the only interception in that game for them. They have scored 173 points in their 7 games this season averaging 24.7 PPG and they have allowed their opponents to score 165 points against them allowing 23.6 PPG. Their offense is averaging 393.54 YPG while their defense is allowing 296.3 YPG.


Steelers vs Browns Prediction

The Browns are coming into this game as a 3.5 point favorite with the point total set at 42 points in this game with the current betting odds according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers have not looked good on offense all season, their receiving corps are injured and Roethlisberger is starting to look like his age out on the field. The one thing keeping the Steelers in their games and giving them a chance is their great defense. The Browns have been a lot better in their games this season than their record suggests as they have had a very tough schedule to start this regular season. They have a lot of injuries to their offense as well including their quarterback, two running backs, and their wide receivers including Odell Beckham Jr. and Jarvis Landry along with a few others. The Browns also have a very good defense this year and that is why they will still be able to win games as hindered as their offense is. The best bet to place in this game is on the under as it will be a low scoring game controlled by both defenses as both offenses are down some key players.
Steelers Browns Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 31, 2021 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Browns 21 Steelers 13.
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NFL Betting Trends

Pittsburgh Steelers: 38-22 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 257-230 ATS in all games. 88-58 ATS as an underdog. 68-44 ATS as a road underdog. 119-114 ATS in road games. 197-173 ATS against conference opponents.
Cleveland Browns: 24-32 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 193-221 ATS in all games. 60-64 ATS as a favorite. 46-48 ATS as a home favorite. 95-110 ATS in home games. 145-168 ATS against conference opponents.

Key Injuries

Pittsburgh Steelers:  Z. Banner (T) Prob Sun - Knee injury. B. Roethlisberger (QB) Ques Sun - Pectoral injury. M. Ingram III (DE) Ques Sun - Groin injury.
Cleveland Browns:  J. Clowney (DE) Ques Sun - Ankle injury. N. Chubb (RB) Prob Sun - Calf B. Mayfield (QB) Ques Sun - Shoulder D. Peoples-Jones (WR) Ques Sun - Groin injury. J. Landry (WR) Ques Sun - Knee injury. D. Ward (CB) Ques Sun - Hamstring injury. O. Beckham Jr. (WR) Ques Sun - Shoulder injury. K. Hunt (RB) Out indefinitely - Calf injury.

Notable Quotes

"I don't think anyone is surprised about his ability to deliver in those moments." - Mike Tomlin on T.J. Watt’s performance in their win over the Seahawks in their last game.
"Unfortunately, some people are going to get hurt. At the same time, you love other young guys getting chances." - Case Keenum on all of the injuries suffered to their team including the one to Baker Mayfield.

Starting Lineups

Pittsburgh Steelers
WR McCloud, Ray-Ray 
WR Claypool, Chase 
WR Johnson, Diontae 
TE Ebron, Eric 
RB Harris, Najee 
FB Watt, Derek 
Cleveland Browns
WR Landry, Jarvis 
WR Beckham Jr., Odell 
TE Hooper, Austin 
RB Chubb, Nick 
FB Stanton, Johnny 

Statistical Leaders

Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: B. Roethlisberger (1515)
Rushing: N. Harris (388)
Receiving: D. Johnson (376)
Touchdowns: D. Johnson (3)
Cleveland Browns
Passing: B. Mayfield (1474)
Rushing: N. Chubb (523)
Receiving: D. Njoku (284)
Touchdowns: K. Hunt (5)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (15th season)
Cleveland Browns: Kevin Stefanski (2nd season)

Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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