by Rod Pearson
Friday, Nov 24, 2023
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 25, 2023
Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Steelers -1.5, Bengals +1.5; Over/Under: 35.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Steelers -1.5, Bengals +1.5; Over/Under: 35.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Steelers -1.5, Bengals +1.5; Over/Under: 35.5 points
Season Record
Pittsburgh Steelers: 6-4 (3rd place, AFC North)
Cincinnati Bengals: 5-5 (4th place, AFC North)
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers: lost their last game on the road against the Cleveland Browns 13-10.
Cincinnati Bengals: lost their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 34-20.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cincinnati Bengals Preview and Analysis
The Steelers are entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 4-2 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They lost their last game against the Cleveland Browns 13-10. Kenny Pickett was the starting QB and he completed 15/28 passes for 106 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing yards with 129 and 1 TD. George Pickens led the receivers with 38 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Elandon Roberts led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while T. J. Watt led the defense in sacks with 1. Chandon Sullivan came away with the only interception for them in that game.
The Bengals are entering this game with a 5-5 record overall and they have a 0-3 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 2-3 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They lost their last game against the Baltimore Ravens 34-20. Joe Burrow was the starting QB and he completed 11/17 passes for 101 passing yards and 1 TD before leaving injured and getting replaced by Jake Browning who completed 8/14 passes for 68 yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions. Joe Mixon led the team in rushing yards with 69. Tanner Hudson led the receivers with 49 receiving yards on 4 receptions. Jordan Battle led the defense in that game with 10 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle while Mike Hilton, Trey Hendrickson, and DJ Turner II each led the defense in sacks with 1. No one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that game.
Steelers vs Bengals Prediction
The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers are 6-4 overall this season and haven't looked great in a lot of their games but they do continue to find ways to win ugly games. They just lost an ugly game against the Browns and are on the road once again here, but they will be looking to bounce back with an opportunity to take advantage of another division rival with QB issues. The Bengals are only 5-5 overall this season and they are 3-2 in their home games too, but they have struggled a lot more against division opponents with their 0-3 record in the AFC North and now they will be without their starting QB Joe Burrow. Jake Browning is getting the start for this game and even though he does know the offense he is in, he is still an unproven starter who will have a lot of pressure on his shoulders in this must win division game. The Steelers lost a close one last week but they will bounce back in this one. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game.
Steelers Bengals Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 25, 2023 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Steelers 27 Bengals 13.
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NFL Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Steelers: 20-29 ATS as a road favorite of 3 points or less. 1-4 ATS after a loss by 6 or less points. 8-2 UNDER in all games. 16-7 UNDER in games where the line is +3 to -3. 10-5 UNDER versus division opponents.
Cincinnati Bengals: 31-18 ATS in all games. 15-6 ATS as an underdog. 18-5 ATS after playing their last game on the road. 16-5 UNDER as an underdog. 7-1 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread. 20-11 UNDER after allowing 150 or more rushing yards in 2 straight games.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Steelers: J. Pierre (CB) Ques Sun - Shoulder. N. Herbig (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. G. Pickens (WR) Ques Sun - Shin. M. Adams (DT) Ques Sun - Ankle. M. Fitzpatrick (S) Ques Sun - Hamstring. E. Riley (S) Out indefinitely - Ankle. K. Neal (S) Out indefinitely - Ribs. K. Alexander (LB) I-R - Achilles. C. Holcomb (LB) I-R - Knee. R. Wren (DT) I-R - Achilles. C. Trice (DB) I-R - Leg.
Cincinnati Bengals: D. Smith (T) Ques Sun - Knee. A. Iosivas (WR) Prob Sun - Knee. C. Sample (DE) Prob Sun - Knee. T. Irwin (WR) Prob Sun - Hip. J. Williams (T) Prob Sun - Shoulder. B. Hill (DT) Ques Sun - Knee. A. Davis-Gaither (LB) Ques Sun - Knee. D. Reader (DT) Ques Sun - Illness. C. Taylor-Britt (CB) Ques Sun - Quadricep. T. Higgins (WR) Ques Sun - Hamstring. S. Hubbard (DE) Ques Sun - Ankle. D. Harper (LB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. C. Brown (HB) Ques Sun - Hamstring. J. Burrow (QB) out for season - Wrist. T. Anderson (S) Out indefinitely - Knee. D. Cochran (T) I-R - Knee. D. Maxwell (DT) I-R - Knee.
Notable Quotes
“We'll learn from this. We'll be back.” - Mike Tomlin after his team’s loss against the Browns in their last game.
“I felt calm all the time, felt like I threw the ball where I wanted to, but obviously there were too many three-and-outs. Put our defense in a tough situation and I think when Joe goes down I go in the game fully expecting to win.” - Jake Browning after their loss against the Ravens in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Pickens, George
WR Johnson, Diontae
WR Robinson II, Allen
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Pickett, Kenny
RB Harris, Najee
Cincinnati Bengals
WR Chase, Ja'Marr
WR Higgins, Tee
WR Boyd, Tyler
TE Hudson, Tanner
QB Burrow, Joe
RB Mixon, Joe
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: K. Pickett (1722)
Rushing: N. Harris (499)
Receiving: G. Pickens (604)
Touchdowns: G. Pickens (3)
Cincinnati Bengals
Passing: J. Burrow (2309)
Rushing: J. Mixon (605)
Receiving: J. Chase (833)
Touchdowns: J. Chase (6)
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (17th season)
Cincinnati Bengals: Zac Taylor (5th season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
