by Rod Pearson
Thursday, Nov 20, 2025
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, November 23, 2025
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Where to Watch: CBS
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Point Spread: Steelers +2.5, Bears -2.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Bet365: Point Spread: Steelers +2.5, Bears -2.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
BetMGM: Point Spread: Steelers +2.5, Bears -2.5; Over/Under: 45.5 points
Season Record
Pittsburgh Steelers: 6-4 (1st place, AFC North)
Chicago Bears: 7-3 (1st place, NFC North)
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers: won their last game at home against the Cincinnati Bengals 34-12.
Chicago Bears: won their last game on the road against the Minnesota Vikings 19-17.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs Chicago Bears Preview and Analysis
The Steelers are entering this game with a 6-4 record overall and they have a 2-1 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-2 in their home games, 2-2 in their road games, and they are also 1-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be on the road for this game. They won their last game against the Cincinnati Bengals 34-12. Aaron Rodgers was the starting QB and he completed 9/15 passes for 116 passing yards, 1 touchdown, and 0 interceptions before getting replaced by Mason Rudolph who completed 12/16 passes for 127 yards and 1 TD. Jaylen Warren led the team in rushing yards with 62. Kenneth Gainwell led the receivers with 81 receiving yards on 7 receptions and 2 TDs. Patrick Queen led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 5 assisted tackles while Nick Herbig led the defense in sacks with 1. Kyle Dugger came away with the only interception for them in that one.
The Bears are entering this game with a 7-3 record overall and they have a 1-2 record in their divisional games too. They are 3-1 in their home games, 4-2 in their road games, and they are also 0-0 in their neutral site games this season, but they will be at home for this game. They won their last game against the Minnesota Vikings 19-17. Caleb Williams was the starting QB and he completed 16/32 passes for 193 passing yards, 0 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. D'Andre Swift led the team in rushing yards with 90. Cole Kmet led the receivers with 45 receiving yards on 5 receptions. Tremaine Edmunds led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles while no one on the defense recorded a sack for them. Kevin Byard III and Nahshon Wright each came away with 1 interception for them in that one.
Steelers vs Bears Prediction
The current betting odds have the Bears listed as a 2.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bears have looked really good in their games this season with their 7-3 record overall which has them right at the top of the NFC North. They have looked good on their home field too with their 3-1 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Steelers have looked good in their games this season with their 6-4 record overall which has them right at the top of the AFC North in a weaker division. They haven't been a great road team though with their 2-2 road record this year. They are off a 34-12 win over the Bengals in their last one and they looked great in that game, but they have been really up and down in their games all season. The defense has been good in some games but bad in others, and the offense has looked the same. Now they could be without Aaron Rodgers and that is a huge blow to their offense. The Bears don't have the best defense, but they looked better last week in their 19-17 road win over the Vikings. The offense has also looked a lot better lately with Caleb Williams showing a lot of improvement. The Bears are rolling right now and they can take advantage of a really inconsistent Steelers team missing their starting QB. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bears to cover the spread in this game.
Steelers Bears Prediction: Our NFL Pick for Sunday, November 23, 2025 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bears 23 Steelers 20.
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NFL Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Steelers: 18-10 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. 12-5 ATS after a game with a turnover margin of +2 or better. 10-4 ATS versus poor rushing defenses - allowing 4.5 rushing yards/carry or more. 13-5 UNDER in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points. 6-3 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).
Chicago Bears: 13-25 ATS in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 9-21 ATS off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog. 22-33 ATS after 3 or more consecutive wins. 7-1 UNDER off a upset win as an underdog. 5-1 UNDER when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%).
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Steelers: A. Rodgers (QB) Injured - Wrist. D. Slay (CB) Injured - Concussion. C. Heyward (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. T. Watt (LB) Injured - NIR - Rest. J. Smith (TE) Injured - NIR - Rest. I. Seumalo (OG) Injured - Pectoral. A. Highsmith (LB) Injured - Pectoral. C. Holcomb (LB) Injured - Illness. J. Warren (RB) Injured - Ankle. K. Williams (WR) Injured - Concussion.
Chicago Bears: G. Jarrett (DL) Injured - NIR - Rest. K. Byard III (CB) Injured - NIR - Rest. T. Edmunds (LB) Injured - Groin. D. Swift (RB) Injured - Hip. T. Homer (RB) Injured - Hamstring. D. Dalman (OG) Injured - Knee. J. Johnson (CB) Injured - Groin. T. Edwards (LB) Injured - Hand. K. Gordon (CB) Injured - Calf. T. Stevenson (CB) Injured - Hip. J. Brisker (CB) Injured - Shoulder. D. Wright (OG) Injured - Pectoral. N. Sewell (LB) Injured - Elbow.
Notable Quotes
“This was a chance for us to get right and get back to what we do.” - Cam Heyward after their win against the Bengals in their last game.
“We’ve just kind of cycled around on who’s stepping up to the plate and getting us the win. I think that’s what good teams do.” - Ben Johnson after his team’s win against the Vikings in their last game.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Metcalf, DK
WR Austin III, Calvin
TE Smith, Jonnu
TE Washington, Darnell
QB Rudolph, Mason
RB Warren, Jaylen
Chicago Bears
WR Odunze, Rome
WR Moore, DJ
WR Burden III, Luther
TE Kmet, Cole
QB Williams, Caleb
RB Swift, D'Andre
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: Aaron Rodgers (1,969)
Rushing: Jaylen Warren (536)
Receiving: DK Metcalf (551)
Touchdowns: DK Metcalf (5)
Chicago Bears
Passing: Caleb Williams (2,329)
Rushing: D'Andre Swift (634)
Receiving: Rome Odunze (600)
Touchdowns: Rome Odunze (6)
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (19th season)
Chicago Bears: Ben Johnson (1st season)
Rod Pearson
About the Author:
Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life. He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years. In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective. Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.
