Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Prediction, Preview and Odds - 10/09/2022

by Rod Pearson

Tuesday, Oct 04, 2022
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, October 9, 2022
Venue:  Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY
Where to Watch:  CBS

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Steelers +14, Bills -14; Over/Under:  47 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Steelers +14, Bills -14; Over/Under:  47 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Steelers +14, Bills -14; Over/Under:  47.5 points
 

Season Record

Pittsburgh Steelers:  1-3 (4th place, AFC North)
Buffalo Bills:  3-1 (2nd place, AFC East)
 
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Steelers:  lost their last game at home against the New York Jets 24-20.
Buffalo Bills:  won their last game on the road against the Baltimore Raven 23-20.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Buffalo Bills Preview and Analysis

 
The Steelers are entering this game with a 1-3 record overall and they are playing their 3rd road game of the season here as they are 1-1 in their road games this year. Their offense is averaging 278.8 YPG and 18.5 PPG while their defense is allowing 383 YPG and 22.5 PPG against them. They lost their last game at home against the New York Jets 24-20. Mitch Trubisky was the starting quarterback in that game and he completed 7/13 passes for 84 yards and 1 interception but he was pulled at halftime for Kenny Pickett who completed 10/13 passes for 120 yards and 3 interceptions. Najee Harris led the team in rushing with 74 yards on 18 rushing attempts. George Pickens led the team in receiving with 102 yards on 6 receptions. Devin Bush Jr. led the defense in that game with 6 solo tackles and 0 assisted tackles. Alex Highsmith led the defense in sacks with 1 while Minkah Fitzpatrick and Cameron Sutton each came away with an interception for them in that one.
 
 
 
The Bills are entering this game with a 3-1 record overall and they are playing their 2nd home game of the season here as they are 1-0 in their home games this year. Their offense is averaging 278.8 YPG and 18.5 PPG while their defense is allowing 383 YPG and 22.5 PPG against them. They won their last game on the road against the Baltimore Ravens 23-20. Josh Allen was the starting QB in that game and he completed 19/36 passes for 213 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. Josh Allen led the team in rushing with 70 yards and 1 TD on 11 carries. Stefon Diggs led the team in receiving with 62 yards on 4 catches. Matt Milano led the defense in that game with 11 solo tackles and 2 assisted tackles. Von Miller led the defense in sacks with 1 while Jordan Poyer came away with the only 2 interceptions for them in that one.
 

 

Steelers vs Bills Prediction

The current betting odds have the Steelers listed as a 14 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Steelers won their 1st game of the season and have done nothing but lose games since then but their defense has actually played well in a lot of their games, it is just their offense that has been letting them down. The offense looked a lot better in the 2nd half under Kenny Pickett in their last game though. He did make some big mistakes with his 3 interceptions but he still threw for over 100 yards and ran in 2 TDs which is pretty good considering he didn't take any 1st team reps during the week and was thrusted in mid-game at HT. The Bills haven't looked that great either in their last 2 games after starting the season 2-0. They have come back down to Earth with a loss to the Dolphins and a slim win by 3 points against the Ravens last week. They are back at home for this game and should play better but their offense has been struggling to score points in 2 games now considering how much possession of the ball they have had, and the Steeler defense is no walkover either. The Bills will win this game but this is too many points and it is very rare that big favorites in the NFL even cover the double digit spreads they get. The best way to place a bet here is on the Steelers to cover the spread in this game.
 
Steelers Bills Prediction:  Our NFL Pick for Sunday, October 9, 2022 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bills 28 Steelers 17.
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NFL Betting Trends

 
Pittsburgh Steelers: 0-4 ATS off a home loss. 36-16 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5. 31-18 UNDER off an upset loss as a home favorite.
Buffalo Bills: 25-15 ATS in all games. 14-6 ATS in home games. 38-26 UNDER against AFC North division opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Pittsburgh Steelers:  T. Watt (LB) Late Oct - Pectoral. C. Heyward (DT) day-to-day - Elbow. M. Fitzpatrick (S) day-to-day - Knee.
Buffalo Bills:  M. Hyde (S) I-R - Neck. E. Oliver (DT) day-to-day - Ankle. I. McKenzie (WR) day-to-day - Concussion.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I think he did some good things. I thought there was some energy there." - Mike Tomlin on Kenny Pickett after his team’s loss against the Jets in their last game.
 
 
"Those are games that you love winning. It's a hard-fought battle both ways. Winning on the last play of the game is always fun." - Josh Allen after their win against the Ravens in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Pittsburgh Steelers
WR Johnson, Diontae
WR Pickens, George
WR Claypool, Chase 
TE Freiermuth, Pat
QB Pickett, Kenny
RB Harris, Najee
FB Watt, Derek 
 
Buffalo Bills
WR Davis, Gabe
WR Diggs, Stefon
WR McKenzie, Isaiah 
TE Knox, Dawson
QB Allen, Josh 
RB Singletary, Devin
FB Gilliam, Reggie 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Pittsburgh Steelers
Passing: M. Trubisky (653)
Rushing: N. Harris (202)
Receiving: P. Freiermuth (223)
Touchdowns: K. Pickett (2)
 
Buffalo Bills
Passing: J. Allen (1227)
Rushing: J. Allen (183)
Receiving: S. Diggs (406)
Touchdowns: S. Diggs (4)
 
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Steelers: Mike Tomlin (16th season)
Buffalo Bills: Sean McDermott (6th season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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