Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/27/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Aug 26, 2022
Game Time: 6:05 pm ET, Saturday, August 27, 2022
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 
Where to Watch:  NBCS-PH

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +205, Phillies -245; Over/Under:  9 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +205, Phillies -245; Over/Under:  9 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +205, Phillies -245; Over/Under:  9 runs
 

Season Record

Pittsburgh Pirates:  47-77 (5th place, NL Central)
Philadelphia Phillies:  70-55 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Pirates:  2-8 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
The Pirates enter this game on a 5 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Atlanta Braves getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 47-77 record overall and have a road record of 21-41. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .647 OPS. Bryse Wilson is their starting pitcher on Friday while Tyler Beede is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-3 with a 4.13 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 1 HR, and 1 BB with 2 Ks on 6 hits through 4 IP against the Cincinnati Reds. 
 
The Phillies enter this game on a 4 game winning streak. They won their last series against the Cincinnati Reds 4-0 completing the sweep in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 70-55 record overall and have a home record of 37-29. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Saturday with the 1st game still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Bailey Falter is their starting pitcher on Friday while Kyle Gibson is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-5 with a 4.30 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 2 ER, 0 HRs, and 3 BB with 3 Ks on 8 hits through 4.1 IP against the New York Mets.

 

Pirates vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a massive favorite in this game. The Phillies have been on a roll in their recent games, they have been playing a lot of bad teams in their last few but they have been winning each game dominantly over these bad teams as they should be. They are getting another awful team here in the Pirates, who were just swept by the Braves and got blown out in every game, and that is likely going to happen again here as their pitching has been awful but their offense has been even worse. The Phillies are scoring a lot of runs right now while the Pirates have been allowing a lot of runs lately, and this starting pitching matchup is not going to change anything either. The Phillies are in the hunt for a wild card spot and with just a month of games left, they need to win every game they have like this against bad teams. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game and keep rolling over the bad teams.
 
Pirates Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, August 27, 2022 (6:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 8 Pirates 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Pittsburgh Pirates: 47-77 (-8.2 Units) ML in all games. 21-41 (-6.1 Units) ML in road games. 12-7 UNDER as a road underdog of +175 to +250.
Philadelphia Phillies: 70-55 (+9.7 Units) ML in all games. 29-10 (+11.7 Units) ML as a favorite of -150 or more. 16-9 UNDER against NL Central opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Pittsburgh Pirates:  R. Castro (2B) day-to-day - Suspension. C. Smith-Njigba (CF) out for season - Wrist. R. Perez (C) out for season - Hamstring.
Philadelphia Phillies:  Z. Wheeler (SP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. B. Marsh (CF) Early Sept - Knee. C. Knebel (RP) out for season - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He took a good swing early and gave us the lead. It gives you the thought, ‘All right, (Fried) leaves some balls in the middle of the plate. We're going to be able to get to him.' After that, he didn't leave anything in the middle of the plate." - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Braves on Tuesday.
 
 
"Stubbs had a great night. Sosa hasn't been playing every day, but the last couple times he's played he's had a real impact. Everyone is contributing and it's a real team effort." - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Reds on Thursday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Jake Fraley (Z) LF
Nick Senzel (D) 3B
Kyle Farmer (D) DH
Donovan Solano (D) 1B
TJ Friedl (Z) CF
Aristides Aquino (D) RF
Alejo Lopez (A) 2B
Jose Barrero (D) SS
Austin Romine (D) C
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (Z) LF
Rhys Hoskins (D) 1B
Bryson Stott (Z) SS
Nick Castellanos (D) DH
Jean Segura (D) 2B
Garrett Stubbs (Z) C
Matt Vierling (D) RF
Bradley Zimmer (Z) CF
Edmundo Sosa (D) 3B
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average:  Liover Peguero (.333)
Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (101)
Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (20)
RBI:  Bryan Reynold (46)
Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (13)
Wins:  Dillon Peters (5)
Saves:  David Bednar (17)
ERA:  Max Kranick (0.00)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Bryce Harper (.318)
Hits:  Alec Bohm (129)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (35)
RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (73)
Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (15)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (11)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (12)
ERA:  Sam Coonrod (0.00)
 
Managers:
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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