Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 08/26/2022

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Aug 25, 2022
Game Time: 7:05 pm ET, Friday, August 26, 2022
Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 
Where to Watch:  NBC 10

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +245, Phillies -295; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +245, Phillies -295; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +245, Phillies -295; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Pittsburgh Pirates:  47-77 (5th place, NL Central)
Philadelphia Phillies:  69-55 (3rd place, NL East)
 
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Pirates:  2-8 last 10
Philadelphia Phillies:  6-4 last 10
 
 
 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Preview and Analysis

 
The Pirates enter this game on a 5 game losing streak. They lost their last series against the Atlanta Braves getting swept 3-0 in a 3-game series. They enter this game with a 47-77 record overall and have a road record of 21-41. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Phillies on Friday and they have Thursday off as a rest day. Their offense ranks 28th in the MLB with a .647 OPS. Mitch Keller was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Bryse Wilson is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 2-7 with a 5.74 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 3 ER, 2 HRs, and 0 BB with 4 Ks on 5 hits through 7 IP against the Cincinnati Reds. 
 
The Phillies enter this game on a 3 game winning streak. They lost their last series against the New York Mets 3-1 in a 4-game series. They enter this game with a 69-55 record overall and have a home record of 36-29. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Friday with the 4th game of their series against the Cincinnati Reds still to be played on Thursday. Their offense ranks 7th in the MLB with a .738 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Zack Wheeler is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 11-7 with a 3.07 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HRs, and 4 BB with 6 Ks on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the New York Mets.

 

Pirates vs Phillies Prediction

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a massive favorite in this game. The Phillies have been playing very well in their recent games as they just beat up on a bad Reds team in their last series, and they are getting another very bad team from the same division here. The Pirates have been losing a lot of games recently and they were just swept by the Braves in a series where they were smashed in every single game. The Phillies are fighting for a wild card spot right now and with only a month of games left in the season, they need to start going on runs now and these are the kinds of teams they need to be winning against. They have a big advantage in this game with Wheeler on the mound as opposed to Wilson who is starting for the Pirates, and the Phillies should continue to roll at home here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game.
 
Pirates Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, August 26, 2022 (7:05 pm ET start time) is Phillies 7 Pirates 1.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Pittsburgh Pirates: 47-77 (-8.2 Units) ML in all games. 21-41 (-6.1 Units) ML in road games. 14-8 UNDER after allowing 8 runs or more.
Philadelphia Phillies: 69-55 (+8.7 Units) ML in all games. 28-10 (+10.7 Units) ML as a favorite of -150 or more. 15-9 UNDER against NL Central opponents.
 

Key Injuries

 
Pittsburgh Pirates:  R. Castro (2B) day-to-day - Suspension. C. Smith-Njigba (CF) out for season - Wrist. R. Perez (C) out for season - Hamstring.
Philadelphia Phillies:  B. Harper (RF) Early Sept - Thumb. B. Marsh (CF) Early Sept - Knee. C. Knebel (RP) out for season - Shoulder.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"He took a good swing early and gave us the lead. It gives you the thought, ‘All right, (Fried) leaves some balls in the middle of the plate. We're going to be able to get to him.' After that, he didn't leave anything in the middle of the plate." - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Braves on Tuesday.
 
 
"I haven't talked to him yet. I heard that he had another big night, so we'll need to talk to him and see where he's at." - Rob Thomson after his team’s win against the Reds on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Oneil Cruz (L) SS
Kevin Newman (R) 2B
Bryan Reynolds (S) CF
Ben Gamel (L) RF
Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) DH
Rodolfo Castro (S) 3B
Tucupita Marcano (L) LF
Josh VanMeter (L) 1B
Tyler Heineman (S) C
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Kyle Schwarber (L) DH
Rhys Hoskins (R) 1B
Alec Bohm (R) 3B
J.T. Realmuto (R) C
Nick Castellanos (R) RF
Bryson Stott (L) SS
Jean Segura (R) 2B
Nick Maton (L) LF
Matt Vierling (R) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average:  Liover Peguero (.333)
Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (101)
Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (20)
RBI:  Bryan Reynold (46)
Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (13)
Wins:  Dillon Peters (5)
Saves:  David Bednar (17)
ERA:  Max Kranick (0.00)
 
Philadelphia Phillies
Batting Average:  Bryce Harper (.318)
Hits:  Alec Bohm (129)
Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (34)
RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (72)
Stolen Bases:  J.T. Realmuto (15)
Wins:  Zack Wheeler (11)
Saves:  Corey Knebel (12)
ERA:  Sam Coonrod (0.00)
 
Managers:
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)
Philadelphia Phillies: Rob Thomson (Interim)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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