Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/30/2026

Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Tuesday, June 30, 2026

Venue:  Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia, PA 

Where to Watch:  MLB TV

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +184, Phillies -226; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +185, Phillies -225; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +185, Phillies -225; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Pittsburgh Pirates:  42-42 (4th place, NL Central)

Philadelphia Phillies:  47-37 (2nd place, NL East)

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Pittsburgh Pirates:  5-5 last 10

Philadelphia Phillies:  7-3 last 10

The Pirates are entering this series off a win and lost their 3-game series against the Cincinnati Reds 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-42 record overall and have a road record of 19-20. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Phillies on Tuesday with the series opener still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 2nd in the MLB with a .755 OPS. Braxton Ashcraft is their starting pitcher on Monday while Bubba Chandler is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 3-7 with a 4.42 ERA this season. His team won 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 1 ER, 0 HR, and 3 BB with 4 SO on 5 hits through 5.1 IP against the Seattle Mariners.

The Phillies are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 47-37 record overall and have a home record of 23-19. This is the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Pirates on Tuesday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Monday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .701 OPS. Aaron Nola is their starting pitcher on Monday while Cristopher Sánchez is making his start in this game on Tuesday. He is 9-3 with a 2.13 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 5 earned runs, 1 homer, and 1 walk with 6 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Washington Nationals.

The current betting odds have the Phillies listed as a big favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Phillies have looked good in their games this season with their 47-37 record overall which has them right near the top of the NL East. They have looked good in their own ballpark too with their 23-19 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Pirates have looked good in their games this season with their 42-42 record overall, but that record has them right near the bottom of the NL Central. They haven't been a great road team either with their 19-20 road record this year. The Pirates do have one of the best offenses in MLB at the moment, but they are only 5-5 in their last 10 games and haven't looked great lately. The Phillies have also been getting hot lately with their offense putting up a lot more runs and now they are starting roll, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. The Phillies are going with Sanchez in this one and he has looked great this season. He is 9-3 with a 2.13 ERA and he has been their ace this season. He is coming off a bad start in which he gave up 5 earned runs, but that hasn't been a common theme for him this year. He will be looking to have a much better start at home here and the team has still had a ton of success with him this season, winning 2 games in a row with him starting too. The Pirates are going with Chandler in this one and he hasn't looked great this season. He is 3-7 with a 4.42 ERA and he has been really up and down this season. He has looked better lately, giving up 1 earned run in his last start, and the team has won 2 of their last 3 games with him starting too, but he still hasn't been a steady starter for them and the bullpen has also had it's own issues this year. This is a pitching matchup that the Phillies can take advantage of at home, so look for them to keep rolling here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Phillies to win this game and on the runline. 

Pirates Phillies Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Tuesday, June 30, 2026 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Phillies 5 Pirates 1.

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Pittsburgh Pirates: 190-218 (-21.2 units) on the moneyline in all games. 83-117 (-18.2 units) on the moneyline in road games. 44-59 (-14.8 units) on the moneyline against left-handed starters. 42-21 UNDER as a road underdog of +150 or more.

Philadelphia Phillies: 241-176 (+12.3 units) on the moneyline in all games. 134-75 (+22.4 units) on the moneyline in home games. 200-116 (+24.5 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 44-27 UNDER against NL Central opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  S. Horwitz (1B) Ten Day IL - Hamstring. W. Dotel (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Lat. O. Cruz (CF) Ten Day IL - Hand. C. Devenski (RP) Sixty Day IL - Illness.

Philadelphia Phillies:  J. Rojas (CF) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. B. Keller (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Forearm. A. Garcia (RF) Sixty Day IL - Lat.

“You can't go in there and try to replace Oneil. Other guys throughout the lineup have power, and certainly don't want them going up there just trying to hit homers because Oneil is not in there. I think we've done a good job of staying within ourselves, and have been doing well, really well offensively. And we've got some areas that we can grow, like we saw today.” - Don Kelly after his team’s win against the Reds in their game on Sunday. 

“He's amazing. It's good he's on our side.” - Don Mattingly on Kyle Schwarber after his team’s win against the Mets in their game on Sunday. 

Konnor Griffin (R) SS

Brandon Lowe (L) 2B

Bryan Reynolds (S) DH

Nick Gonzales (R) 3B

Ryan O'Hearn (L) 1B

Esmerlyn Valdez (R) RF

Tyler Callihan (L) LF

Jake Mangum (S) CF

Henry Davis (R) C

Trea Turner (R) SS

Kyle Schwarber (L) DH

Bryce Harper (L) 1B

Alec Bohm (R) 3B

Brandon Marsh (L) LF

J.T. Realmuto (R) C

Bryson Stott (L) 2B

Derek Hill (R) RF

Justin Crawford (L) CF

Batting Average:  Rafael Flores (.667)

Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (86)

Home Runs:  Brandon Lowe (20)

RBI:  Brandon Lowe (56)

Stolen Bases:  Oneil Cruz (21)

Wins:  Braxton Ashcraft (7)

Saves:  Gregory Soto (11)

ERA:  Evan Sisk (2.29)

Batting Average:  Brandon Marsh (.321)

Hits:  Brandon Marsh (93)

Home Runs:  Kyle Schwarber (30)

RBI:  Kyle Schwarber (54)

Stolen Bases:  Trea Turner (16)

Wins:  Cristopher Sánchez (9)

Saves:  Jhoan Duran (21)

ERA:  Bryse Wilson (0.00)

Managers:

Pittsburgh Pirates: Don Kelly (2nd season)

Philadelphia Phillies: Don Mattingly (Interim)