Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/17/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 17, 2023

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  BSWI

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates -105, Brewers -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates -105, Brewers -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates -105, Brewers -115; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Pittsburgh Pirates:  34-33 (1st place, NL Central)

Milwaukee Brewers:  34-34 (2nd place, NL Central)

Do not miss out on our expert handicapper analysis! Sean Murphy is on a HOT STREAK in the MLB: 61-47 (+$7.7K) start this season! Make sure you check out his picks and many more from the expert handicappers featured in the Shop Picks section.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  4-6 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  3-7 last 10

The Pirates are entering this game on a 3 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-33 record overall and have a road record of 16-17. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Saturday with the series opener of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .733 OPS. Rich Hill is their starting pitcher on Friday while Mitch Keller is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 8-2 with a 3.41 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 2 hits through 7 IP against the New York Mets.

The Brewers are entering this game on a 6 game losing streak and got swept 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Minnesota Twins in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-34 record overall and have a home record of 18-16. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .683 OPS. Julio Teheran is their starting pitcher on Friday while Wade Miley is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-2 with a 3.67 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 1 homer, and 1 BB with 0 strikeouts on 1 hit through 1.2 innings played against the St Louis Cardinals.

The current betting odds have the Pirates listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Pirates have been having a very surprising season as they are leading the NL Central despite not being at their best over the last week. They are catching the Brewers at a bad time though as the Brewers are also in the middle of a big slump with a lot of losses over the last week. Both teams are going to be looking to bounce back in this series so pitching will be very important here but the Pirates have the advantage with their pitching matchup in this game. The Pirates have Keller starting here and he has been their ace all season as he is pitching well and hasn't given up many runs in his starts lately. The Brewers are going with Miley in this game who is coming off of an injury that has kept him out a few weeks. Miley hasn't been bad this season but he hasn't been great either and he is not going to be at his best with this being his 1st start back since getting injured. The Pirates have also been the better team over the last week as the Brewers have been on their losing streak much longer so the Pirates have a better chance of breaking out of their funk here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pirates to win this game.

Pirates Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 17, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Pirates 4 Brewers 3.

Don't miss our champion handicappers free picks, best bets, and expert baseball picks today.  And if you enjoyed this Pittsburgh Pirates Milwaukee Brewers prediction, be sure to drop by every day for our daily MLB projections and previews.

Pittsburgh Pirates: 34-33 (+4.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-7 (+6 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 16-8 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125. 12-6 OVER against left-handed starters.

Milwaukee Brewers: 18-17 (-7.2 units) on the moneyline as a favorite of -110 or higher. 3-7 (-5.9 units) on the moneyline after 6 consecutive games versus interleague opponents. 12-6 OVER at home when the total is 8 to 8.5. WADE MILEY is 16-5 OVER in home games.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  C. Holderman (RP) Out indefinitely - Wrist. V. Velasquez (SP) out for season - Elbow. W. Crowe (SP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Choi (1B) Early July - Achilles. J. Brubaker (SP) out for season - Elbow. O. Cruz (SS) Mid Aug - Ankle. J. Garcia (RP) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Kranick (SP) Late Aug - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Prob Sat - Back. M. Bush (RP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Winker (DH) Late June - Neck. J. Alexander (SP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

“We need to wash through this. We didn’t play well this series and we just need to move on and get to Milwaukee.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Cubs in their game on Thursday.

“Nobody's happy when you're on a losing streak. A day off comes at a good time.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Wednesday.

Tucupita Marcano (L) SS

Bryan Reynolds (S) LF

Andrew McCutchen (R) DH

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Jack Suwinski (L) CF

Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Josh Palacios (L) RF

Ji Hwan Bae (L) 2B

Jason Delay (R) C

Christian Yelich (L) LF

Willy Adames (R) SS

Rowdy Tellez (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 2B

William Contreras (R) C

Jon Singleton (L) 1B

Brian Anderson (R) RF

Luis Urias (R) 3B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Batting Average:  Drew Maggi (.333)

Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (69)

Home Runs:  Jack Suwinski (15)

RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (38)

Stolen Bases:  Ji Hwan Bae (19)

Wins:  Mitch Keller (8)

Saves:  David Bednar (14)

ERA:  Angel Perdomo (1.29)

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (65)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)

RBI:  Brian Anderson (33)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (16)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Devin Williams (10)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (4th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)