Pittsburgh Pirates vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/16/2023

Game Time: 8:10 pm ET, Friday, June 16, 2023

Venue:  American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI

Where to Watch:  Apple TV+

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates -110, Brewers -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates -110, Brewers -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates -110, Brewers -110; Over/Under:  9 runs

Pittsburgh Pirates:  34-32 (1st place, NL Central)

Milwaukee Brewers:  34-34 (2nd place, NL Central)

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Pittsburgh Pirates:  5-5 last 10

Milwaukee Brewers:  3-7 last 10

The Pirates are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak but won their 3-game series against the New York Mets 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-32 record overall and have a road record of 16-16. This is the series opener of a 3-game series with the Brewers on Friday with the series finale of their series against the Chicago Cubs on Thursday. Their offense ranks 13th in the MLB with a .736 OPS. Johan Oviedo is their starting pitcher on Thursday while Rich Hill is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 6-5 with a 4.23 ERA this season. His team won their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 2 BB with 6 Ks on 7 hits through 7 IP against the New York Mets.

The Brewers are entering this game on a 6 game losing streak and got swept 2-0 in their 2-game series against the Minnesota Twins in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-34 record overall and have a home record of 18-16. This is the 1st game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Friday and they have Thursday off as a day of rest. Their offense ranks 25th in the MLB with a .683 OPS. Colin Rea was their starting pitcher on Wednesday while Julio Teheran is making his start in this game on Friday. He is 1-2 with a 1.48 ERA this season. His team lost their last 2 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 1 BB with 6 strikeouts on 6 hits through 7 innings played against the Oakland Athletics.

The current betting odds have the Brewers listed as a pick 'em in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Brewers have been terrible in their games lately as they enter this series on a losing skid and they desperately need a bounce back win at home here. This is a very important series for them as they are fighting with the Pirates for the lead of the division and could have the lead by the end of this series. They are going to be desperate to snap their losing skid here and they have a solid starter in Teheran on the mound to help them do so. Teheran has not allowed many runs in his starts this season at all and the Pirates have been starting to struggle themselves lately. The Pirates haven't been great over the last week as they win a few games and get ahead in the division but then collapse right back with a few slumping performances. The Brewers will be able to take advantage of their recent inconsistencies and they will get their bounce back win in this game with some help from their starter and bullpen. The best way to place a bet here is on the Brewers to win this game.

Pirates Brewers Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 16, 2023 (8:10 pm ET start time) is Brewers 3 Pirates 1.

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Pittsburgh Pirates: 34-32 (+5.8 units) on the moneyline in all games. 10-6 (+7 units) on the moneyline against division opponents. 10-5 UNDER against division opponents. JOHAN OVIEDO is 10-3 UNDER against division opponents.

Milwaukee Brewers: 12-15 (-5.6 units) on the moneyline after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse. 3-7 (-5.9 units) on the moneyline after 6 consecutive games versus interleague opponents. 10-3 UNDER against division opponents. 21-11 UNDER after a loss.

Pittsburgh Pirates:  V. Velasquez (SP) out for season - Elbow. W. Crowe (SP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Choi (1B) Early July - Achilles. J. Brubaker (SP) out for season - Elbow. O. Cruz (SS) Mid Aug - Ankle. J. Garcia (RP) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Kranick (SP) Late Aug - Elbow.

Milwaukee Brewers:  W. Miley (SP) Prob Sat - Back. M. Bush (RP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Winker (DH) Late June - Neck. J. Alexander (SP) Late June - Shoulder. J. Cousins (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. B. Sousa (SP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. D. Ruf (DH) Mid Aug - Knee. T. Taylor (CF) Out indefinitely - Elbow. B. Woodruff (SP) Mid July - Shoulder. G. Mitchell (LF) out for season - Shoulder. A. Ashby (SP) Early Sept - Shoulder. J. Wilson (RP) Mid July - Elbow.

“I thought Bido did a nice job. The latter half of the game we just struggled with our command. We didn't throw strikes.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Cubs in their game on Wednesday.

“Nobody's happy when you're on a losing streak. A day off comes at a good time.” - Craig Counsell after his team’s loss against the Twins in their game on Wednesday.

Andrew McCutchen (R) DH

Bryan Reynolds (S) LF

Connor Joe (R) RF

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Jack Suwinski (L) CF

Rodolfo Castro (S) SS

Mark Mathias (R) 2B

Austin Hedges (R) C

Christian Yelich (L) LF

Willy Adames (R) SS

Rowdy Tellez (L) DH

Owen Miller (R) 2B

William Contreras (R) C

Jon Singleton (L) 1B

Brian Anderson (R) RF

Luis Urias (R) 3B

Joey Wiemer (R) CF

Batting Average:  Drew Maggi (.333)

Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (69)

Home Runs:  Jack Suwinski (15)

RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (38)

Stolen Bases:  Ji Hwan Bae (19)

Wins:  Mitch Keller (8)

Saves:  David Bednar (14)

ERA:  Yerry De Los Santos (0.00)

Batting Average:  Abraham Toro (.500)

Hits:  Christian Yelich (65)

Home Runs:  Rowdy Tellez (12)

RBI:  Brian Anderson (33)

Stolen Bases:  Christian Yelich (16)

Wins:  Freddy Peralta (5)

Saves:  Devin Williams (10)

ERA:  Alex Claudio (0.00)

Managers:

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (4th season)

Milwaukee Brewers: Craig Counsell (9th season)