Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/25/2023

Game Time: 1:40 pm ET, Sunday, June 25, 2023

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSFL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +120, Marlins -140; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +120, Marlins -140; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +120, Marlins -140; Over/Under:  7.5 runs

Pittsburgh Pirates:  35-40 (4th place, NL Central)

Miami Marlins:  43-34 (2nd place, NL East)

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Pittsburgh Pirates:  1-9 last 10

Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10

The Pirates are entering this game off of a win in their last game but got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs in their last series. They enter this game with a 35-40 record overall and have a road record of 17-21. This is the series finale of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .707 OPS. Rookie pitcher Osvaldo Bido is their starting pitcher on Saturday while Johan Oviedo is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 3-7 with a 4.30 ERA this season. His team lost their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 3 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Marlins are entering this game off of a loss in their last game and lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-34 record overall and have a home record of 23-16. This is the 4th game of a 4-game series with the Pirates on Sunday with the 3rd game of this series still to be played on Saturday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .715 OPS. Bryan Hoeing is their starting pitcher on Saturday while rookie pitcher Eury Pérez is making his start in this game on Sunday. He is 4-1 with a 1.54 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 9 strikeouts on 3 hits through 6 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have been playing really well lately as they have been surging up the standings and now find themselves in 2nd place of the NL East. The Pirates have been doing the opposite lately as they were leading the NL Central just a short while ago but now they find themselves in 4th place of their division and under .500 after a huge losing streak derailed their great start to the season. Their offense has been regressing and the entire team has regressed now, they did get a win in this series to snap their long losing streak but they won't be able to sustain it with the Marlins pitching so well lately. The Pirates also have Oviedo on the mound here and he has been giving up a ton of runs in his starts this season but the team has also been losing a lot of games in the games he has been starting. Meanwhile, the Marlins are going with a rookie here but Perez has been a stud in his few starts and he will continue to pitch well at home here with such a cold Pirates lineup on deck. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Pirates Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 25, 2023 (1:40 pm ET start time) is Marlins 4 Pirates 1.

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Pittsburgh Pirates: 23-29 (-5 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. JOHAN OVIEDO is 2-8 (-5.2 units) on the moneyline as an underdog of +100 to +150. 37-23 UNDER when playing on Sunday. JOHAN OVIEDO is 10-6 UNDER as an underdog of +100 to +150.

Miami Marlins: 43-34 (+11.1 units) on the moneyline in all games. 33-24 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 11-4 UNDER at home with a money line of -100 to -150. EURY PEREZ is 5-2 UNDER in all games. 

Pittsburgh Pirates:  B. Reynolds (CF) Out Indefinitely - Back. J. Hernandez (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. R. Zastryzny (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Holderman (RP) Out indefinitely - Wrist. V. Velasquez (SP) out for season - Elbow. W. Crowe (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Choi (1B) Early July - Achilles. J. Brubaker (SP) out for season - Elbow. O. Cruz (SS) Mid Aug - Ankle. J. Garcia (RP) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Kranick (SP) Late Aug - Elbow.

Miami Marlins:  E. Cabrera (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Segura (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Rogers (SP) Early July - Bicep. T. Nance (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early July - Foot. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. J. Cueto (SP) Early July - Bicep. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“When you’re in the midst of a losing streak and you get down to the ninth and you have their closer, it’s really easy to give away at bats. And we didn’t. We were able to manufacture the way we’ve done. I’m really proud of them.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s win against the Marlins in their game on Friday.

“I didn’t like how my slider was coming out today at all. I was kind of out there with just my heater and they took advantage.” - A.J. Puk after their loss against the Pirates in their game on Friday.

Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Andrew McCutchen (R) DH

Connor Joe (R) LF

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Henry Davis (R) RF

Rodolfo Castro (S) SS

Nick Gonzales (R) 2B

Ji Hwan Bae (L) CF

Austin Hedges (R) C

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Jon Berti (R) 3B

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Nick Fortes (R) C

Jonathan Davis (R) CF

Batting Average:  Drew Maggi (.333)

Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (72)

Home Runs:  Jack Suwinski (15)

RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (40)

Stolen Bases:  Ji Hwan Bae (20)

Wins:  Mitch Keller (8)

Saves:  David Bednar (15)

ERA:  David Bednar (1.61)

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.402)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (109)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (21)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (45)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (6)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (10)

ERA:  Eury Perez (1.54)

Managers:

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (4th season)

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)