Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/24/2023

Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 24, 2023

Venue:  LoanDepot Park, Miami, FL

Where to Watch:  BSFL

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +125, Marlins -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +125, Marlins -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +125, Marlins -145; Over/Under:  8.5 runs

Pittsburgh Pirates:  34-40 (4th place, NL Central)

Miami Marlins:  43-33 (2nd place, NL East)

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Pittsburgh Pirates:  0-10 last 10

Miami Marlins:  6-4 last 10

The Pirates are entering this game on a 10 game losing streak and got swept 3-0 in their 3-game series against the Chicago Cubs in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-40 record overall and have a road record of 16-21. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Marlins on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 22nd in the MLB with a .710 OPS. Luis Ortiz is their starting pitcher on Friday while rookie pitcher Osvaldo Bido is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA this season. His team lost their only 2 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 ER, 0 HR, and 2 BB with 7 Ks on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Chicago Cubs.

The Marlins are entering this game off of a win in their last game but lost their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 43-33 record overall and have a home record of 23-15. This is the 3rd game of a 4-game series with the Pirates on Saturday with the 2nd game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 17th in the MLB with a .717 OPS. Jesús Luzardo is their starting pitcher on Friday while Bryan Hoeing is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 1-1 with a 2.70 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 0 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 5 strikeouts on 3 hits through 4 innings played against the Toronto Blue Jays.

The current betting odds have the Marlins listed as a favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Marlins have been great lately as they have boosted themselves up the standings and are now in 2nd place in the NL East with a record 10 games above .500. Their pitching has been great during this recent surge of good play and they are going to continue rolling in their home ballpark with this series against a slumping Pirates team. The Pirates were playing so well for so long as they were even challenging for the lead of the NL Central just last week but they have finally regressed back to what they are and have done it in a slumping fashion with 10 losses in a row. They are also going to have an inexperienced rookie starter in this game and even though he hasn't been bad in his few starts, he did give up 3 runs in his last start and is going to have a much tougher time here on the road. The Pirates have also been terrible on offense lately so he is not going to get a ton of run support here and even though the Marlins also have a rookie starter with Hoeing here, he has been a lot better and much more consistent in his starts this season. He will give the edge to the Marlins at home here along with their bullpen which has been pitching well lately and their offense has also been much better which will help them edge out the Pirates here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Marlins to win this game.

Pirates Marlins Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 24, 2023 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Marlins 5 Pirates 3.

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Pittsburgh Pirates: 14-22 (-7.8 units) on the moneyline when the total is 8 to 8.5. 23-29 (-5 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 13-6 UNDER after batting .200 or worse over a 3 game span. 5-1 UNDER after a game where they stranded 3 or less runners on base.

Miami Marlins: 43-33 (+13 units) on the moneyline in all games. 33-23 (+13.4 units) on the moneyline against right-handed starters. 17-7 UNDER when the total is 8.5 to 10. 15-8 UNDER when the money line is -100 to -150. 

Pittsburgh Pirates:  B. Reynolds (CF) Out Indefinitely - Back. J. Hernandez (RP) Out indefinitely - Calf. R. Zastryzny (RP) Out indefinitely - Forearm. C. Holderman (RP) Out indefinitely - Wrist. V. Velasquez (SP) out for season - Elbow. W. Crowe (SP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Choi (1B) Early July - Achilles. J. Brubaker (SP) out for season - Elbow. O. Cruz (SS) Mid Aug - Ankle. J. Garcia (RP) Out indefinitely - Bicep. M. Kranick (SP) Late Aug - Elbow.

Miami Marlins:  E. Cabrera (RP) Out indefinitely - Shoulder. J. Segura (2B) Out indefinitely - Hamstring. T. Rogers (SP) Early July - Bicep. T. Nance (RP) Early July - Shoulder. J. Chisholm Jr. (CF) Early July - Foot. A. Garcia (RF) Out indefinitely - Back. M. Barnes (RP) Out indefinitely - Hip. J. Cueto (SP) Early July - Bicep. A. Bender (RP) out for season - Elbow. M. Meyer (SP) out for season - Elbow.

“Great outing by Mitch, that’s exactly what we needed. He executed pitches. Frustrating that we weren’t able to finish it for him.” - Derek Shelton after his team’s loss against the Marlins in their game on Thursday.

“You create energy when you get back-to-back hits or a walk and a hit. You start feeling it a little bit. And I said this earlier, when you come from behind early in the season, you can do it in the middle of the season or late.” - Skip Schumaker after his team’s win against the Pirates in their game on Thursday.

Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B

Andrew McCutchen (R) DH

Connor Joe (R) LF

Carlos Santana (S) 1B

Rodolfo Castro (S) SS

Jack Suwinski (L) CF

Henry Davis (R) RF

Ji Hwan Bae (L) 2B

Austin Hedges (R) C

Luis Arraez (L) 2B

Jorge Soler (R) DH

Bryan De La Cruz (R) LF

Jesus Sanchez (L) RF

Garrett Cooper (R) 1B

Jon Berti (R) 3B

Joey Wendle (L) SS

Nick Fortes (R) C

Jonathan Davis (R) CF

Batting Average:  Drew Maggi (.333)

Hits:  Bryan Reynolds (72)

Home Runs:  Jack Suwinski (15)

RBI:  Bryan Reynolds (40)

Stolen Bases:  Ji Hwan Bae (20)

Wins:  Mitch Keller (8)

Saves:  David Bednar (14)

ERA:  David Bednar (1.67)

Batting Average:  Luis Arraez (.397)

Hits:  Luis Arraez (106)

Home Runs:  Jorge Soler (21)

RBI:  Jorge Soler (45)

Stolen Bases:  Jazz Chisholm (14)

Wins:  Jesus Luzardo (6)

Saves:  A.J. Puk (10)

ERA:  Eury Perez (1.54)

Managers:

Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (4th season)

Miami Marlins: Skip Schumaker (1st season)