Game Time: 6:40 pm ET, Monday, September 20, 2021
Venue: Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati, OH
Where to Watch: BSOH
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Pirates +145, Reds -165; Over/Under: 9 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Pirates +145, Reds -165; Over/Under: 9 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Pirates +135, Reds -160; Over/Under: 9 runs
Season Record
Pittsburgh Pirates: 56-93 (5th place, NL Central)
Cincinnati Reds: 77-73 (3rd place, NL Central)
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Pittsburgh Pirates: 6-4 last 10
Cincinnati Reds: 3-7 last 10
Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis
The Pirates are coming into this game after losing to the Miami Marlins in their series finale on Sunday 6-5. Monday will be the beginning of a three-game series between the Pirates and Reds. The Pirates have won 2 of their last 3 games, winning that series with the Marlins over the weekend after wins on Friday and Saturday. Max Kranick got the nod on Sunday while Dillon Peters will be the starting pitcher on the mound in this game on Monday. He is 1-2 with a 2.66 ERA this season. He has pitched in 5 total games this season and his team won 3 of those games, he only allowed more than 2 runs in one game. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 5 hits through 5 IP against the Cincinnati Reds last Tuesday. That was the only time this season he has faced the Reds lineup and his team went on to win that game, he was credited with the win. Their offense has scored 13 runs in their last 3 games averaging a little over 4 runs scored per game in that span. They have also allowed their opponents to score 10 runs against them in that same span allowing a little over 3 runs per game.
Cincinnati Reds Analysis
The Reds are coming into this game after losing their series finale with the LA Dodgers 8-5 on Sunday. Monday will be the series opener for these 2 and the Reds are currently on a 2 game losing streak after losing their last series. Wade Miley was the starter for Sunday's game while Vladimir Gutierrez will be throwing the first pitch for them in this game on Monday. He is 9-6 with a 4.25 ERA this season. He has been credited with 2 straight losses and his team has lost the last 4 games that he started in. In his last outing, he allowed 4 ER and 3 BB with 0 strikeouts on 5 hits through 3.2 innings of work against the Pirates last Wednesday. He has seen the Pirates lineup twice this season and he is 1-0 against them himself but his team is 1-1 against them when he was the starter. He allowed 4 runs against them in the last time he faced them, also was his last start in general. Their offense has scored 9 runs in their last 3 games averaging 3 runs scored per game in that span. They have also allowed their opponents to score 14 runs against them in that span allowing over 4 runs per game.
Pirates vs Reds Prediction
Pittsburgh is out of playoff contention and all they have to play for here is to spoil the Reds' chances of making it in. The Reds are sitting 3 games behind the St. Louis Cardinals for the last Wild Card spot in the National League. Every game is a must win for them and the pressure is on to win this entire series. They have the better pitching matchup in this game so, considering the stakes, the best bet here is on the Reds to win as they will be playing with some desperation until the regular season finally comes to an end.
Pirates Reds Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Monday, September 20, 2021 (6:40 pm ET start time) is Reds 5 Pirates 2.
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MLB Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Pirates: 48-87 (-13.4 units) on the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher. 56-92 (-11.3 units) on the money line in all games.
Cincinnati Reds: 51-37 (+5.3 units) on the money line when the total is 8.5 to 10. 21-9 (+3.7 units) on the money line as a home favorite of -150 or more.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates: B. Wilson (SP) Out indefinitely - Hamstring injury. M. Chavis (3B) Late Sept - Elbow injury. D. Bednar (RP) Out indefinitely - Oblique injury.
Cincinnati Reds: S. Akiyama (LF) Out indefinitely - Hamstring injury. J. Winker (RF) Out indefinitely - Back injury. T. Naquin (CF) Out indefinitely - Ribs injury.
Players to Watch
Pittsburgh Pirates: Bryan Reynolds is one player to watch in this game. He leads his team in batting average, hits, home runs, and in RBI. If anyone on this team can have a really good game and play spoiler for the Reds it is him so look for him to get some hits in this game and try to dent the Reds playoff hopes.
Cincinnati Reds: Joey Votto is one player to watch here. He has been having a great year for the Reds as he leads his team in home runs and in RBI. He will need to step it up and make some big hits as the season is winding down so look for him to give his team a spark and help them win some games in this final stretch.
Notable Quotes
"For me and my personal situation, the Pirates traded for me so for the rest of the season I'm trying to prove to them that they made the right decision. I just want to come out every time and show them that I am what they thought what I was." - Bryse Wilson on his performance after the Pirates won on Saturday.
"It takes a very crisp, crisp game to win against the Dodgers. It didn't go that way for us today." - Sonny Gray after a loss to the LA Dodgers on Saturday.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Pirates
K. Hayes 3B
K. Newman SS
B. Gamel CF
C. Moran 1B
J. Stallings C
C. Tucker RF
A. Alford LF
H. Park 2B
M. Kranick P
Cincinnati Reds
J. India 2B
K. Farmer SS
N. Castellanos RF
T. Stephenson 1B
E. Suarez 3B
A. Aquino LF
J. Barrero CF
T. Barnhart C
W. Miley P
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average: BRYAN REYNOLDS (.296)
Hits: BRYAN REYNOLDS (154)
Home Runs: BRYAN REYNOLDS (23)
RBI: BRYAN REYNOLDS (86)
Stolen Bases: K. Hayes (7)
Wins: CHRIS STRATTON (6)
Saves: CHRIS STRATTON (6)
ERA: C. Overton (0.00)
Cincinnati Reds
Batting Average: N. Castellanos (.310)
Hits: N. Castellanos (152)
Home Runs: J. Votto (31)
RBI: J. Votto (89)
Stolen Bases: J. India (11)
Wins: W. Miley (12)
Saves: M. Givens (8)
ERA: A. Warren (1.65)
Managers:
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (2nd season)
Cincinnati Reds: David Bell (3rd season)
Weather Forecast
73 degrees F scattered thunderstorms, 85% humidity, 30% chance of rain, up to 8 mph wind speeds N.