Game Time: 1:35 pm ET, Sunday, June 12, 2022
Venue: Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch: BSSE
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline odds: Pirates +170, Braves -200; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Bet365: Moneyline odds: Pirates +170, Braves -200; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
BetMGM: Moneyline odds: Pirates +170, Braves -200; Over/Under: 8.5 runs
Season Record
Pittsburgh Pirates: 24-32 (3rd place, NL Central)
Atlanta Braves: 32-27 (2nd place, NL East)
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Pittsburgh Pirates: 5-5 last 10
Atlanta Braves: 9-1 last 10
Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis
The Pirates are coming into this game with a 24-32 record overall and they are 11-15 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 4 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Detroit Tigers getting swept 2-0 and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Braves on Sunday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Zach Thompson is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while José Quintana will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 1-3 with a 3.19 ERA this season. His team lost 3 of their last 4 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 4 ER, 0 HRs, and 1 BB with 5 Ks on 7 hits in 3.1 IP against the Detroit Tigers. They scored 4 runs in their last series averaging 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.
Atlanta Braves Analysis
The Braves are coming into this game with a 32-27 record overall and they are 18-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 9 game winning streak. They just won their 2-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the series finale of a 4-game series with the Pirates on Sunday. This will be the 4th game of the series on Sunday with the 3rd game still to be played on Saturday. Charlie Morton is the starting pitcher for them on Saturday while Kyle Wright will be on the mound for them here on Sunday. He is 6-3 with a 2.39 ERA this season. His team won 3 of their last 4 games this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 2 earned runs, 0 homers, and 0 BB with 7 strikeouts on 5 hits in 8 innings played against the Oakland Athletics. They scored 16 runs in their last series averaging 8 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 4 runs against them averaging 2 runs allowed per game.
Pirates vs Braves Prediction
The Braves are coming into this game as a big favorite with the current betting odds. They have been playing very well recently as they have gone on a long winning streak and they have been heating up with their bats in that span. They have been a tough team to beat recently as they have been scoring a lot of runs but their pitching has also been great and they will likely have another great outing with Wright starting for them here. Wright has been great all season and they are going up against a Pirates team that also has a good pitcher this season on the mound here in Quintana but the Pirates have been struggling to score runs in their games recently and that just may be their downfall here. The best bet here is on the Braves to keep heating up and win this game on the runline.
Pirates Braves Prediction: Our MLB Pick for Sunday, June 12, 2022 (1:35 pm ET start time) is Braves 7 Pirates 3.
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MLB Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Pirates: 104-174 (-20.9 Units) ML in all games. 88-162 (-22.7 Units) ML as an underdog of +100 or higher. 21-16 OVER against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves: 174-134 (+10.2 Units) ML in all games. 126-74 (+12.6 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 29-14 OVER as a home favorite of -150 to -200.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Pirates: Y. Tsutsugo (1B) Early July - Back. B. Gamel (LF) Late June - Hamstring. G. Allen (CF) Early July - Hamstring.
Atlanta Braves: C. McHugh (RP) Out indefinitely - Illness. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist.
Notable Quotes
"I feel like I threw the ball well. I felt good. The one thing that stands out is the hit by pitch and the four-pitch walk. Can't defend walks. They put the ball in play and ended up getting those two guys across on free passes. Balls found holes. Balls fell in right in the no-man's land. D'Arnaud hit a good pitch, and I stuck to the same game plan." - JT Brubaker after their loss against the Braves on Thursday.
"He's made some adjustments. Very impressive." - Brian Snitker on Strider after his team’s win against the Pirates on Friday.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Pirates
Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B
Bryan Reynolds (S) CF
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Michael Chavis (R) 1B
Cal Mitchell (L) RF
Tucupita Marcano (L) 2B
Travis Swaggerty (L) LF
Michael Perez (L) C
Diego Castillo (R) SS
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Travis d'Arnaud (R) C
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
William Contreras (R) DH
Adam Duvall (R) LF
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average: Ke'Bryan Hayes (.284)
Hits: Ke'Bryan Hayes (55)
Home Runs: Bryan Reynolds (8)
RBI: Ke'Bryan Hayes (20)
Stolen Bases: Ke'Bryan Hayes (7)
Wins: Dillon Peters (4)
Saves: David Bednar (10)
ERA: Max Kranick (0.00)
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average: Ronald Acuna (.319)
Hits: Dansby Swanson (61)
Home Runs: Austin Riley (15)
RBI: Austin Riley (34)
Stolen Bases: Ronald Acuna (11)
Wins: Kyle Wright (6)
Saves: Kenley Jansen (17)
ERA: William Woods (0.00)
Managers:
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)