Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/10/2022

by Amedeus Mastrangelo

Thursday, Jun 09, 2022
Game Time: 7:20 pm ET, Friday, June 10, 2022
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  BSSE

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +150, Braves -170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +150, Braves -170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates +150, Braves -170; Over/Under:  8.5 runs
 

Season Record

Pittsburgh Pirates:  24-30 (3rd place, NL Central)
Atlanta Braves:  30-27 (2nd place, NL East)
 
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Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis

 
Recent Form
Pittsburgh Pirates:  6-4 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  8-2 last 10
 
 
 

Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

The Pirates are coming into this game with a 24-30 record overall and they are 11-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 2 game losing streak. They just lost their 2-game series against the Detroit Tigers getting swept 2-0 and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Braves on Friday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Friday with the series opener still to be played on Thursday. JT Brubaker is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Roansy Contreras will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 1-0 with a 1.93 ERA this season. His team lost 2 of their last 3 games this season with him starting. In his last start, he allowed 0 ER, 0 HRs, and 2 BB with 8 Ks on 4 hits in 5.2 IP against the Arizona Diamondbacks. They scored 4 runs in their last series averaging 2 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 8 runs against them averaging 4 runs allowed per game.
 

Atlanta Braves Analysis

The Braves are coming into this game with a 30-27 record overall and they are 16-14 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are coming into this game on a 7 game winning streak. They just won their 2-game series against the Oakland Athletics 2-0 completing the sweep and they are playing the 2nd game of a 4-game series with the Pirates on Friday. This will be the 2nd game of the series on Friday with the series opener still to be played on Thursday. Max Fried is the starting pitcher for them on Thursday while Spencer Strider will be on the mound for them here on Friday. He is 1-2 with a 2.76 ERA this season. His team won their last game this season with him as a starter. In his last start, he allowed 1 earned run, 0 homers, and 5 BB with 5 strikeouts on 2 hits in 4 innings played against the Colorado Rockies. They scored 16 runs in their last series averaging 8 runs scored per game in that span and they allowed 4 runs against them averaging 2 runs allowed per game.
 

 

Pirates vs Braves Prediction

The Braves are coming into this game as a favorite with the current betting odds but this line should probably be a bit more in their favor. The Braves have been playing very well recently as they have been gaining a lot of steam with their recent wins. They have not been winning close games though, they have been winning by putting up crooked numbers in their games and their bats have been heating up a lot now. It is going to be hard for the Pirates to stop this red hot offense considering the Pirates are one of the worst teams in the MLB and on the road here. Contreras is starting here and he has not been bad at all this season but he also does not have a lot of experience pitching in MLB games and this is not the lineup he wants to be facing with the way they are hitting right now. The Braves are on a roll and until their offense goes cold they should not be faded. The best bet here is on the Braves to win this game.
 
Pirates Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Friday, June 10, 2022 (7:20 pm ET start time) is Braves 9 Pirates 2.
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MLB Betting Trends

 
Pittsburgh Pirates: 104-172 (-18.9 Units) ML in all games. 41-70 (-9.1 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 33-23 OVER as a road underdog of +150 to +200.
Atlanta Braves: 124-74 (+10.6 Units) ML as a favorite of -110 or higher. 67-38 (+20.9 Units) ML when the total is 8 to 8.5. 24-13 OVER as a favorite of -110 or higher.
 

Key Injuries

 
Pittsburgh Pirates:  Y. Tsutsugo (1B) Early July - Back. B. Gamel (LF) Late June - Hamstring. G. Allen (CF) Early July - Hamstring.
Atlanta Braves:  T. d'Arnaud (C) Ques Thurs - Forearm. E. Rosario (LF) Late July - Eye. M. Pina (C) out for season - Wrist.
 
 

Notable Quotes

 
"It's a lot more of just throwing your nasty stuff more and trying to get guys out whatever way possible. I think just shifting that mindset ... has helped me a lot." - Mitch Keller after their loss against the Tigers on Wednesday.
 
 
"He has been really impressive, as we've talked, defensively, and his at-bats have been really, really good." - Brian Snitker on Michael Harris after his team’s win against the Athletics on Wednesday.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Ke'Bryan Hayes (R) 3B
Bryan Reynolds (S) CF
Jack Suwinski (L) LF
Daniel Vogelbach (L) DH
Diego Castillo (R) SS
Cal Mitchell (L) RF
Tucupita Marcano (L) 2B
Yu Chang (R) 1B
Michael Perez (L) C
 
Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuna Jr. (R) RF
Dansby Swanson (R) SS
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
William Contreras (R) C
Marcell Ozuna (R) DH
Adam Duvall (R) LF
Michael Harris II (L) CF
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (.285)
Hits:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (53)
Home Runs:  Bryan Reynolds (8)
RBI:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (20)
Stolen Bases:  Ke'Bryan Hayes (7)
Wins:  Dillon Peters (4)
Saves:  David Bednar (10)
ERA:  Max Kranick (0.00)
 
Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  Ronald Acuna (.318)
Hits:  Austin Riley (59)
Home Runs:  Austin Riley (15)
RBI:  Austin Riley (34)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuna (10)
Wins:  Kyle Wright (6)
Saves:  Kenley Jansen (15)
ERA:  William Woods (0.00)
 
Managers:
Pittsburgh Pirates: Derek Shelton (3rd season)
Atlanta Braves: Brian Snitker (7th season)


Amedeus Mastrangelo

About the Author:

Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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