Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 06/06/2026

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Jun 05, 2026
Game Time: 4:10 pm ET, Saturday, June 6, 2026
Venue:  Truist Park, Atlanta, GA
Where to Watch:  MLB TV


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8 runs
Bet365:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8 runs
BetMGM:  Moneyline odds:  Pirates -105, Braves -115; Over/Under:  8 runs

Season Record

Pittsburgh Pirates:  34-29 (2nd place, NL Central)
Atlanta Braves:  42-21 (1st place, NL East)

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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Pirates:  7-3 last 10
Atlanta Braves:  6-4 last 10



Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Preview and Analysis


The Pirates are entering this series off a win and won their 3-game series against the Houston Astros 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 34-29 record overall and have a road record of 16-14. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Braves on Saturday with the series opener still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 4th in the MLB with a .744 OPS. Mitch Keller is their starting pitcher on Friday while Braxton Ashcraft is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 5-2 with a 2.77 ERA this season. His team won their last 3 straight games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season appearance, he allowed 2 ER, 1 HR, and 0 BB with 11 SO on 5 hits through 6 IP against the Minnesota Twins.

The Braves are entering this series off a loss and won their 3-game series against the Toronto Blue Jays 2-1 in their last series. They enter this game with a 42-21 record overall and have a home record of 19-11. This is the 2nd game of a 3-game series with the Pirates on Saturday with the 1st game of this series still to be played on Friday. Their offense ranks 3rd in the MLB with a .757 OPS. Martín Pérez is their starting pitcher on Friday while Spencer Strider is making his start in this game on Saturday. He is 3-1 with a 3.77 ERA this season. His team won 5 of their last 6 games this season with him making an appearance. In his last MLB regular season start, he allowed 3 earned runs, 0 homers, and 2 walks with 8 strikeouts on 7 hits through 5 innings pitched against the Cincinnati Reds.


Pirates vs Braves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Pirates listed as a slight underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Braves have looked great in their games this season with their 42-21 record overall which has them right at the top of the NL East with the best record in MLB. They have looked great in their own ballpark too with their 19-11 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Pirates have looked good in their games this season with their 34-29 record overall which has them right in the middle of the NL Central. They have been a good road team too with their 16-14 road record this year. The Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games and they have the best record in MLB along with one of the best offenses in the league, but the Pirates also have one of the best offenses in the league right now and they have been the hotter team lately, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. Ashcraft is on the mound for the Pirates in this one and he has looked great this season too. He is 5-2 with a 2.77 ERA and the team has been having a ton of success with him. He only gave up 2 earned runs in his last start which has been a common theme for him all year and the team has won 3 games in a row now with him starting. The Braves are going with Strider in this one and he hasn't looked bad this year. He is 3-1 with a 3.77 ERA, but lately he hasn't looked great. His team has had a ton of success with him lately, winning 5 of their last 6 games with him starting, but he did give up 3 earned runs in his last start and he has been giving up more runs lately. The Pirates can definitely take advantage of this pitching matchup with how hot their offense has been lately, so look for them to edge the Braves out with the better starter here. The best way to place a bet here is on the Pirates to win this game. 

Pirates Braves Prediction:  Our MLB Pick for Saturday, June 6, 2026 (4:10 pm ET start time) is Pirates 4 Braves 2.
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MLB Betting Trends


Pittsburgh Pirates: 41-35 (+11.4 units) on the moneyline against NL East opponents. 18-17 (+6.1 units) on the moneyline vs. an NL team with a slugging percentage of .430 or better on the season. 26-30 (+4.8 units) on the moneyline vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season. 33-20 UNDER vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or less runs/game on the season.

Atlanta Braves: 32-35 (-13.5 units) on the moneyline against NL Central opponents. 207-182 (-38 units) on the moneyline in all games. 104-88 (-28.8 units) on the moneyline in home games. 116-68 UNDER in home games.

Key Injuries


Pittsburgh Pirates:  K. Griffin (SS) Ten Day IL - Flexor Tendon. J. Bart (C) Ten Day IL - Foot Infection. C. Devenski (RP) Fifteen Day IL - Illness.

Atlanta Braves:  H. Waldrep (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. D. Baldwin (C) Ten Day IL - Oblique. K. Farmer (DH) Ten Day IL - Forearm. S. Murphy (C) Sixty Day IL - Finger. D. Young (RP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. A. Smith-Shawver (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Wentz (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee. S. Schwellenbach (SP) Sixty Day IL - Elbow. J. Jimenez (RP) Sixty Day IL - Knee.


Notable Quotes


"He was able to slow things down and still attack with the fastball. I thought his slider and changeup were really good tonight." - Don Kelly on Jared Jones after his team’s win against the Astros in their game on Thursday. 


"They put the ball in play. That's their identity, and that's what they did." - Walt Weiss after his team’s loss against the Blue Jays in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Pittsburgh Pirates
Spencer Horwitz (L) 1B
Brandon Lowe (L) 2B
Bryan Reynolds (S) DH
Ryan O'Hearn (L) RF
Nick Gonzales (R) 3B
Oneil Cruz (L) CF
Endy Rodríguez (S) C
Jake Mangum (S) LF
Jared Triolo (R) SS

Atlanta Braves
Ronald Acuña Jr. (R) RF
Mauricio Dubón (R) SS
Matt Olson (L) 1B
Ozzie Albies (S) 2B
Michael Harris II (L) CF
Dominic Smith (L) DH
Austin Riley (R) 3B
Mike Yastrzemski (L) LF
Sandy León (S) C

Statistical Leaders


Pittsburgh Pirates
Batting Average:  Tyler Callihan (.333)
Hits:  Oneil Cruz (66)
Home Runs:  Brandon Lowe (15)
RBI:  Oneil Cruz (44)
Stolen Bases:  Oneil Cruz (20)
Wins:  Paul Skenes (6)
Saves:  Gregory Soto (8)
ERA:  Wilber Dotel (1.08)

Atlanta Braves
Batting Average:  José Azócar (.333)
Hits:  Ozzie Albies (68)
Home Runs:  Matt Olson (17)
RBI:  Matt Olson (47)
Stolen Bases:  Ronald Acuña (14)
Wins:  Chris Sale (8)
Saves:  Raisel Iglesias (11)
ERA:  Anthony Molina (0.00)

Managers:
Pittsburgh Pirates: Don Kelly (2nd season)
Atlanta Braves: Walt Weiss (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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