by Amedeus Mastrangelo
Tuesday, May 10, 2022
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Wednesday, May 11, 2022
Venue: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY
Where to Watch: ESPN
Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Moneyline: Penguins +110, Rangers -130; Over/Under: 6 goals
Bet365: Moneyline: Penguins +110, Rangers -135; Over/Under: 6 goals
BetMGM: Moneyline: Penguins +110, Rangers -135; Over/Under: 6 goals
Season Record
Pittsburgh Penguins: 46-25-11 (3rd place, Metropolitan Division)
New York Rangers: 52-24-6 (2nd place, Metropolitan Division)
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Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Rangers Preview and Analysis
Recent Form
Pittsburgh Penguins: 6-3-1 last 10
New York Rangers: 4-5-1 last 10
Pittsburgh Penguins Analysis
The Penguins are coming into this game finishing the regular season with 103 points, a 46-25-11 record overall, and they were 23-12-6 in their road games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have won 4 of their last 5 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game winning streak. Their last loss was against the Rangers in game 2 while their 4 wins in that span came against the Columbus Blue Jackets in their last game of the season and the Rangers in game 1, game 3, and their last game which was also game 4 of this series. They won that game at home 7-2. Jake Guentzel, Sidney Crosby, Jeff Carter, Mark Friedman, Danton Heinen, Mike Matheson, and Evgeni Malkin each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Jake Guentzel led the team in shots on net in that game with 7. Louis Domingue was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 2 goals on 24 shots with 22 saves and a .917 sv percentage. Their offense has scored 272 goals this season averaging 3.3 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 229 goals against them allowing 2.8 goals per game.
New York Rangers Analysis
The Rangers are coming into this game finishing the regular season with 110 points, a 52-24-6 record overall, and they are 27-10-4 in their home games this regular season where they will be in this game. They have lost 3 of their last 4 games and are coming into this one on a 2 game losing streak. Their last win was against the Penguins in game 2 while their 3 losses in that span came against the Penguins in game 1, game 3, and in their last game which was also game 4 of this series. They lost that game on the road 7-2. Adam Fox and Alexis Lafrenière each scored 1 goal for them in that one. Adam Fox and Kaapo Kakko led the team in shots on net in that game with 3 each. Igor Shesterkin was the starting goalie in that game and he allowed 6 goals on 30 shots with 24 saves and a .800 sv percentage. He was pulled in that game and replaced by Alexandar Georgiev who allowed 1 goal on 11 shots with 10 saves and a .909 save percentage. Their offense has scored 254 goals this season averaging 3.1 goals per game and their defense has allowed their opponents to score 207 goals against them allowing 2.5 goals per game.
Penguins vs Rangers Prediction
The Rangers are coming into this game as a slight favorite with the current betting odds. They are coming back from their 2 games in Pittsburgh down 3-1 in the series and now they are on the brink of elimination. Even if they win this game they have still lost the home advantage in this series and will need to win a game on the road after. This is a must win for the Rangers at home to stay alive and they have really played their best hockey all season at home. Their defense has been much better at home and so has Shesterkin, and he will need the crowd on his side here after 2 bad games in Pittsburgh. The Rangers finished as the higher seed and even if they do end up getting upset in this series, losing the last game at home would be very embarrassing for them and they will do whatever to prevent that from happening here. The Rangers will step up in this game, they did play well at times in their last 2 games but they also had times where they fell apart and that is less likely to happen here at home. The Rangers will come out strong in this game and try to get a game back here at home and extend the series at least 1 more game. The best bet here is on the Rangers to win this game.
Penguins Rangers Prediction: Our NHL Pick for Wednesday, May 11, 2022 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Rangers 3 Penguins 2.
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NHL Betting Trends
Pittsburgh Penguins: 3-6 (-6.6 Units) ML after a huge blowout win by 5 goals or more. 30-36 (-16 Units) ML in a road game where the total is 6 or more. 15-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is 6 or more.
New York Rangers: 117-98 (+20.6 Units) ML in all games. 41-29 (+15.2 Units) ML after allowing 4 goals or more. 14-7 UNDER in a home game where the total is 6 or more.
Key Injuries
Pittsburgh Penguins: R. Rakell (RW) Ques Wed - Head injury. B. Dumoulin (D) Ques Wed - Lower Body injury. C. DeSmith (G) out for season - Abdominal injury. T. Jarry (G) Out indefinitely - Foot injury.
New York Rangers: R. Lindgren (D) Ques Wed - Lower Body injury. K. Kinkaid (G) Ques Wed - Upper Body injury. T. Motte (C) Mid May - Upper Body injury. S. Blais (LW) out for season - Knee injury. B. Goodrow (RW) Out indefinitely - Lower Body injury.
Notable Quotes
“We’ve preached to our team all year that we have to evolve and create offense different ways. We can’t get stubborn. We have to take what the game gives us.” - Mike Sullivan after his team’s win against the Rangers on Monday.
“He’s the best goalie in the league.” - Gerard Gallant on Shesterkin after their loss against the Penguins on Monday.
Starting Lineups
Pittsburgh Penguins
LW Guentzel, Jake
C Crosby, Sidney
RW Rust, Bryan
LD Matheson, Michael
RD Letang, Kris
G Domingue, Louis
New York Rangers
LW Kreider, Chris
C Zibanejad, Mika
RW Vatrano, Frank
LD Miller, K'Andre
RD Trouba, Jacob
G Shesterkin, Igor
Statistical Leaders
Pittsburgh Penguins
Points: S. Crosby (84)
Goals: J. Guentzel (40)
Assists: K. Letang (58)
GAA: L. Domingue (2.02)
New York Rangers
Points: A. Panarin (96)
Goals: C. Kreider (52)
Assists: A. Panarin (74)
GAA: I. Shesterkin (2.07)
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Penguins: Mike Sullivan (7th season)
New York Rangers: Gerard Gallant (1st season)
Amedeus Mastrangelo
About the Author:
Amedeus Mastrangelo has been heavily wagering on all sports for years and plays just about everything, including sides, totals, favorites, underdogs, against the spread, alternative spreads, first half, second half, player props, and futures. The bottom line is, if Mastrangelo can see an edge in any way shape or form, then he's going to take advantage.
