Pittsburgh Panthers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Prediction, Spread and Trends to Watch - 12/04/2021

by James Q

Monday, Nov 29, 2021

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Prediction, Spread and Trends to Watch - 12/04/2021

 
Game Time: 8:00 PM ET, Saturday, December 4th, 2021
Venue: Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, North Carolina
Where to Watch:  ABC
Kickoff: 8:05 PM
 

Opening NCAAB Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings Sportsbook:  Spread: Pitt -3; O/U 72.5
Caesars:  Spread: Pitt -3; O/U 72.5
VegasInsider:  Spread: Pitt -3; O/U 72.5
 

Season Record

Pitt: 7-1 conf, 10-2 overall (ACC)
Wake: 7-1 conf, 10-2 overall (ACC)

The ACC Championship Game is here!  Wake is the slight underdog in this contest.  These opponents did not face each other in the regular season meaning we will have to look at stats and how they fared SU against the same opponents.  

Sometimes football feels out of the ACC’s jurisdiction… for Entertainment purposes all these teams exist to play Duke in basketball… That statute however feels expired.  The ACC is fielding great football teams as of late… One from Penn and one from NC are the best… Let’s get it on!

 
Al McMordie's 9-2 his last 11 College Hoops after cashing Arkansas State yesterday (part of a 3-3 Sunday). Big Al looks to move his red-hot NCAA Basketball streak to 10-2 with this NCAA Hoops Elite Info Winner out of a sensational 44-16 ATS angle. Get Monday's #1 Play right now, and ABSOLUTELY ANNIHILATE your Book today! Get Big Al’s pick!!  It's available right now at the Shop Picks page, where you can find all of the Best Bets from our champion sports handicappers. All your NCAA basketball needs for the entire college basketball season!

 

Pittsburgh vs Wake Forest Preview and Analysis

RECENT FORM

Pitt is 10-2 on the season, but 9-3 ATS.  They have logged 8 Overs and 4 Unders.  They are a perfect 5-0 in road games.  Just last game they beat Syracuse and covered a -14 point spread.  The game before they beat UVA but didn’t cover a -13 point spread.

Wake is 10-2 on the season, but 6-6 ATS.  They have notched 6 Overs and 6 Unders.  They are a perfect 6-0 in home games.  The home field advantage may be why they are favored in this game.  Wake hammered Boston College last game 41-10 after taking an “L” to Clemson the game before 48-27.  

OFFENSIVE ANALYSIS

Pitt is 4th in the FBS on offense, they average 42.8 ppg.  They are 3rd in the FBS in yards per game with 514.5…. That breaks down to 6th in the FBS in passing and 72nd in the FBS in rushing.  They clearly favor the passing game, but can use the run game as a release valve if the coverage gets too predictable.  

Wake is 3rd in the FBS in offense.  They average 42.9 points per game.  They are 9th in the FBS in yardage at 483.7 per game.  11th in passing yards and 61st in rushing yards.  These offenses are desperately close in production… it will all be up to the defenses.

DEFENSIVE ANALYSIS

Pitt ranks 42nd in the FBS in defense.  They give up 353.8 ypg and allow 23.3 ppg.  They are 113th in pass defense while being 6th in rush defense.  This disparity lends Wake Forest a clear game plan… pass, pass, pass… 

Wake is 100th in the FBS on defense.  They allow 427.5 yards per game.  They have allowed 29.1 points per game.  They are 50th in pass defense and 118th in rush defense… They give Pitt an easy game plan… DO ANYTHING.  Wake is sub-par on both pass and run defense… that is the clear difference.



Pittsburgh Panthers vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons Prediction

Our prediction for Saturday, December 4th, is… Pitt 42 - Wake 21

Wake won’t be able to stop the Panthers.   The bet is Pitt to cover.  The Over Under is tricky and I would avoid the total points.  It could be a shootout or Wake could fold completely under Pitt’s run game, eating up too much clock to get the over.

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NCAAF Betting Trends

WF is 2-4 ATS off a win against a conference rival this season.
WF is 2-7 ATS in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
Pitt is 9-3 ATS in all games this season.
Pitt is 9-3 ATS as a favorite this season.



Starting Lineups

Pitt: QB Kenny Pickett, RB Israel Abanikanda, TE Lucas Krull, WR Taysir Mack, WR Shocky Jacques-Louis, WR Jordan Addison, LT Carter Warren, LG Marcus Minor, OC Owen Drexel, RG Jake Kradel, RT Gabe Houry

WF: QB Sam Hartman, RB Christian Beal-Smith, TE Brandon Chapman, WR Jaquarii Roberson, WR Taylor Morin, LT Zach Tom, LG Sean Maginn, OC Michael Jurgens, RG Nya Ngassam, RT DeVonte Gordon

Statistical Leaders

Pitt
Touchdowns: Israel Abanikanda 5
Rushing: Israel Abanikanda 580
Passing: Kenny Pickett 4,066 yards
Receiving: Jordan Addison 1,353 yards
Sacks: Habakkuk Baldonado 8
Interceptions: John Petrishen 3

Wake
Touchdowns: Sam Hartman 10
Rushing: Christian Beal-Smith 557 yards
Passing: Sam Hartman 3,711 yards
Receiving: A.T. Perry 1,112 yards
Sacks: Luiji Vilain 6
Interceptions: Traveon Redd 3


Coaches

Pitt: Pat Narduzzi.  Coach Narduzzi is fired up and ready to go!  I heard a rumor that he smiled the other day.

Wake: Dave Clawson.  Coach Clawson is a 54 year old football lifer, who has coached Wake Forest since 2014. This is his first ACC championship game appearance.  He needs this.






James Q

About the Author:

James Q. has been involved with sports and gambling his entire life. A former division 1 scholarship basketball player, James understands sports (and especially basketball) inside-and-out. Following his basketball playing days, James parlayed his gambling skills into a semi-pro poker career. James resides in Los Angeles, and especially loves the Los Angeles Clippers, Los Angeles Rams, and Los Angeles Dodgers. And when he isn't betting on sports (and writing about it), James can be found performing stand-up comedy on the Sunset Strip.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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