Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Game Preview - 11/12/2022

by Rod Pearson

Friday, Nov 11, 2022
Game Time: 12:00 pm ET, Saturday, November 12, 2022
Venue:  Scott Stadium, Charlottesville, VA
Where to Watch:  ACC Network

 

Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Pittsburgh -4.5, Virginia +4.5; Over/Under:  40.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Pittsburgh -4, Virginia +4; Over/Under:  40 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Pittsburgh -4.5, Virginia +4.5; Over/Under:  40 points
 

Season Record

Pittsburgh Panthers:  5-4 (2-3) (4th place, ACC Coastal)
Virginia Cavaliers:  3-6 (1-5) (6th place, ACC Coastal)
 
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Recent Form
Pittsburgh Panthers:  won their last game at home against the Syracuse Orange 19-9.
Virginia Cavaliers:  lost their last game at home against the North Carolina Tar Heels 31-28.

 

Pittsburgh Panthers vs Virginia Cavaliers Preview and Analysis

 
Pittsburgh is entering this game with a 5-4 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 4th road game of the season here as they are 1-2 in their road games this year. This will also be their 6th conference game of the college football season this year as they are 2-3. They won against the Syracuse Orange in their last game at home 19-9. Kedon Slovis started that game at QB and he completed 16/23 passes for 176 yards and 1 interception. Rodney Hammond Jr. led the team in rushing with 124 yards and 1 TD on 28 rushing attempts. Jared Wayne led the team in receiving with 102 yards on 6 receptions. Brandon Hill led the defense in that game with 5 solo tackles and 1 assisted tackle. Deslin Alexandre led the defense in sacks with 2.5 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one. 
 
 
 
Virginia is entering this game with a 3-6 record overall to start their college football season and they will be playing their 6th home game of the season as they are 2-3 in their home games this year. This will also be the 7th conference matchup on their conference schedule this season as they are 1-5. They lost against the UNC Tar Heels in their last game at home 31-28. Brennan Armstrong started that game at QB and he completed 17/35 passes for 232 yards and 1 interception. Mike Hollins led the team in rushing with 75 yards on 16 carries. Sackett Wood Jr. led the team in receiving with 94 yards on 6 receptions. James Jackson led the defense in that game with 7 solo tackles and 4 assisted tackles. James Jackson, Nick Jackson, Su Agunloye, and Paul Akere each led the defense in sacks with 1 while no one on the defense came away with an interception for them in that one.

 

Pittsburgh vs Virginia Prediction

The current betting odds have Virginia listed as a 4.5 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. Virginia has not been having a great season as their offense has really struggled in a lot of their games, but their defense has been very good in a lot of those and they will be what keeps them in this game. Their offense did show up at home last week against a ranked UNC team and they fought hard in that game to keep it close but just fell short of the win. Pittsburgh started the season off alright but they really started to fade once they hit their conference schedule. They have not been playing well in their games lately and even though they did manage to hold off a good Syracuse team last week with a 19-9 win at home, now Pittsburgh will be on the road here and they are due for a letdown after that big win. Pittsburgh only needs 1 more win to become bowl eligible while Virginia is going to be desperate here at home as they can still become bowl eligible if they win the rest of their games this season. Virginia will be ready for this big game at home that they need to win and their defense will be able to stop the Pittsburgh offense here which has already been struggling in their games lately. The best way to place a bet here is on Virginia to cover the spread in this game.
 
Pittsburgh Virginia Prediction:  Our NCAAF Pick for Saturday, November 12, 2022 (12:00 pm ET start time) is Virginia 21 Pittsburgh 17.
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NCAAF Betting Trends

 
Pittsburgh Panthers: 5-10 ATS when the total is 42 or less. 13-7 UNDER as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. 8-3 UNDER off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival. 
Virginia Cavaliers: 15-8 ATS against conference opponents. 50-27 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. 11-6 UNDER in home games. 
 

Key Injuries

 
Pittsburgh Panthers:  I. Abanikanda (RB) Prob Sat - Undisclosed. G. Thomson (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed. N. Patti (QB) Out indefinitely - Leg. N. Temple (DL) out for season - Leg.
Virginia Cavaliers:  L. Davis Jr (WR) Ques Sat - Concussion. P. Jones (RB) Ques Sat - Ankle. D. Wicks (WR) Ques Sat - Undisclosed.
 

Notable Quotes

 
"I was telling the (offensive) line (Syracuse) was sending the house. But they weren't worried. I wasn't worried. We kept our composure." - Rodney Hammond after his team’s win against Syracuse in their last game.
 
 
"We talk about competitive stamina a lot, and football comes down to five, six, seven plays, and we didn't make those plays in the third quarter." - Tony Elliott after his team’s loss against UNC in their last game.
 
 

Starting Lineups

 
Pittsburgh Panthers
WR Wayne, Jared
WR Means, Bub
WR Mumpfield, Konata 
TE Bartholomew, Gavin
QB Slovis, Kedon
RB Abanikanda, Israel 
 
Virginia Cavaliers
WR Wicks, Dontayvion
WR Davis Jr., Lavel
WR Thompson, Keytaon 
TE Misch, Grant
QB Armstrong, Brennan
RB Jones, Perris 
 

Statistical Leaders

 
Pittsburgh Panthers
Passing: K. Slovis (1737)
Rushing: I. Abanikanda (1086)
Receiving: J. Wayne (674)
Touchdowns: I. Abanikanda (17)
 
Virginia Cavaliers
Passing: B. Armstrong (2058)
Rushing: B. Armstrong (417)
Receiving: K. Thompson (579)
Touchdowns: B. Armstrong (6)
 
Coaches:
Pittsburgh Panthers: Pat Narduzzi (8th season)
Virginia Cavaliers: Tony Elliott (1st season)


Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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