Pittsburgh Panthers vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets Picks Spreads and Trends to watch - 10/02/2021
Game Time: Noon ET, Saturday, October 2nd, 2021
Venue: Bobby Dodd Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia
Where to Watch: ESPN+
Opening NCAAF Odds at USA Sportsbooks
DraftKings: Spread: Pitt -3: O/U: 59
Circa: Spread: Pitt -3: O/U: 58
Caesars: Spread: Pitt -3: O/U: 57.5
Pitt: 3-1 (ACC)
Georgia Tech: 2-2 (ACC)
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Pittsburgh Vs Georgia Tech Preview and Analysis.
Pitt opened by winning a blowout over UMass 51-7, Then they beat Tennessee 41-34, then they got beat by Western Michigan 44-41, the fourth game was a blowout win of epic proportions over New Hampshire 77-7.
Georgia Tech opened with a tight loss to Northern Illinois 22-21, then a big win over Kennesaw State 45-17, then they played Clemson hard all the way through a loss 14-8… last game was a win over UNC 45-22. These results make little sense. How can a team hold Clemson to 14 points, but give up 17 points to Kennesaw State? How can GT lose to Northern Illinois yet score 45 on UNC? Are they playing up or down to the level of competition?
The Pittsburgh Panthers are experiencing an offensive explosion! They have not scored less than 41 points in any of the four games they have played. They are averaging 52.5 points a games on 552.5 yards a game. Football numerology will tell you that if both those numbers start in “5” you have a rockin’ offense. Quarterback Kenny Pickett is throwing the ball with a 74.2% completion rate. RB Vincent Davis has been almost forgotten about with the ball being chucked around the yard all September long. With 16 passing touchdowns and only one interception and a screaming #2 ranked FBS offense, the Pirates might never run the ball. Opponents have to try to shut down 5 dynamic receivers: Jordan Addison (407 yards), Jared Wayne (211 yards), Taysir Mack (183 yards), Lucas Krull (148 yards), Jaylon Barden (140 yards). Almost every opponents passing defense will look overmatched in Pittsburgh’s games.
Yellow Jackets games are less about Georgia Tech being great at passing or rushing as they are about the matchup. Georgia Tech is scoring 29.8 points per game on 383.3 yards per game. QB Jordan Yates is completing 64.2% of his passes for 5 TDs and 1 interception. He has been sacked 10 times, but most of those were against #6 Clemson. Jahmyr Gibbs is a strong, reliable running back averaging 4.7 yards per carry. Wide Receivers Kyric McGowan and Malachi Carter are a true dual threat in the passing attack. When they are lined up on opposite sides the defensive coordinators have to pick their poison.
Pittsburgh ranks 40th in defense in the FBS. They give up 315 ypg and a total of 12 touchdowns in 4 games. The offensive stats are through the roof, but the defense is holding their own. The takeaways are building with 2 interceptions and 4 fumble recoveries. The D-Line is hell-bent on extermination of the opponent by going after the nest… They are in the top ten in sacks with a team total of 16.
The Yellow Jackets defense is ranked slightly higher at #35 in the FBS, allowing only 306.2 yards per game. They’ve had only 11 sacks through the first four games, but play pretty solid run defense and get lots of pressure in the backfield.
Pirates vs Yellow Jackets Prediction
Our prediction for Saturday, October 2nd is Pitt 37 - G Tech 24
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NCAAF Betting Trends
Pitt is 5-1 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a road favorite.
Pitt is 10-4 ATS since 1993 as 3-point favorites or less.
GT is 0-5 ATS off a win against a conference rival, last 3 seasons.
GT is 3-7 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record.
Pitt: QB Kenny Pickett, RB Vincent Davis, TE Lucas Krull, WR Taysir Mack, WR Shocky Jacques-Louis, WR Jordan Addison, LT Carter Warren, LG Marcus Minor, C Owen Drexel, RG Jake Kradell, RT Gabe Houy
Georgia Tech: QB Jordan Yates, RB Jordan Mason, TE Dylan Leonard, WR Malachi Carter, WR Adonicas Sanders, WR Kyric McGowan, LT Devin Cochran, LG Mikey Minihan, C Kenny Cooper, RG Ryan Johnson, RT Jordan Williams
Passing: Kenny Pickett 1,342 yards
Rushing: Vincent Davis 153 yards
Receiving: 407 yards
Tackles: SirVocea Dennis 19
Interceptions: Damarri Mathis 1
Passing: Jordan Yates 613 yards
Rushing: Jahmyr Gibbs 249 yards
Receiving: Kyric McGowan 244 yards
Tackles: Quez Jackson 34
Interceptions: Charlie Thomas 2
Pitt: Pat Narduzzi
GT: Geoff Collins
Partly Cloudy. 83* for the high. Humidity 64%. Wind at 6 mph.