Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/02/2023

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Apr 01, 2023
Game Time: 7:00 pm ET, Sunday, April 2, 2023
Venue:  Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Where to Watch:  BSOK


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns -6, Thunder +6; Over/Under:  233.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns -6, Thunder +6; Over/Under:  234 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns -6, Thunder +6; Over/Under:  233.5 points

Season Record

Phoenix Suns:  42-35 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Oklahoma City Thunder:  38-40 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Phoenix Suns:  5-5 last 10
Oklahoma City Thunder:  5-5 last 10


Phoenix Suns vs Oklahoma City Thunder Preview and Analysis


The Suns are coming into this game with a 42-35 record overall and they are 16-23 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Utah Jazz, the Minnesota Timberwolves, and the Denver Nuggets in their last game. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 30 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 27 points. Chris Paul led the team in assists in that game with 13 while Deandre Ayton led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 42% from the field, 37% from 3-point range, and 76.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.5 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 39-36-2 this season and their O/U record is 38-37-2.



The Thunder are coming into this game with a 38-40 record overall and they are 23-16 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off of a loss against the Indiana Pacers in their last game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in points in that game with 39 while Josh Giddey was next on the team with 21 points. Jalen Williams led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Luguentz Dort led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 47.7% from the field, 13.3% from 3-point range, and 85.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.4 PPG against them. The Thunder have an ATS record of 43-32-3 this season and their O/U record is 44-34.


Suns vs Thunder Prediction

The current betting odds have the Thunder listed as a 6 point underdog in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Thunder haven't been great this season with their losing 38-40 record overall but they have been a lot better in their home games as they have a 23-16 home record. They haven't looked great in their games lately but they have also been dealing with a lot of injuries to their stars, but now they are healthier and still fighting for a play-in spot in the West so they will bring their best effort in all of these final games of the season. The Suns have been great this season with their 42-35 record overall and they are one of the better teams in the West too. They also have a lot of momentum behind them as they are fully healthy again and have won 4 games in a row now. They have still been a bad road team though with their 16-23 road record and even though they have been winning a lot of games lately, they have been winning in much closer games as they have been struggling to pull away. The Thunder play a lot better at home and they need to win these games with such a tight race in the West for the final play-in spots while the Suns have not clinched yet but are in a very good position right now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Thunder to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Thunder Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, April 2, 2023 (7:00 pm ET start time) is Suns 124 Thunder 121.
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NBA Betting Trends


Phoenix Suns: 12-20 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent. 14-4 OVER after allowing 100 points or less 2 straight games. 20-12 OVER off a no-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite.
Oklahoma City Thunder: 20-11 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. 9-2 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games. 24-13 OVER in home games.

Key Injuries


Phoenix Suns:  None.
Oklahoma City Thunder:  K. Williams (SG) out for season - Wrist. C. Holmgren (C) out for season - Foot.


Notable Quotes


“I like how we played in the first half, but it was a bad second half for us. We just let our foot off the gas a little and they were playing extremely hard. ... We've just got to do a better job of sticking with it.” - Kevin Durant after their win against the Nuggets in their game on Friday.


“I thought we had opportunities. We didn’t close the third as well as we could have. The guys care. We’re competing and trying to get there, but we’ll grow from these experiences regardless of whether we come out on top.” - Mark Daigneault after his team’s loss against the Pacers in their game on Friday.


Starting Lineups


Phoenix Suns
PG Chris Paul
SG Devin Booker
SF Josh Okogie
PF Kevin Durant
C Deandre Ayton

Oklahoma City Thunder
PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Josh Giddey
SF Luguentz Dort 
PF Jalen Williams
C Jaylin Williams

Statistical Leaders


Phoenix Suns
PPG: K. Durant (29.2)
APG: C. Paul (9.1)
Reb/G: D. Ayton (10)

Oklahoma City Thunder
PPG: S. Gilgeous-Alexander (31.4)
APG: J. Giddey (6.1)
Reb/G: J. Giddey (7.9)

Coaches:
Phoenix Suns: Monty Williams (4th season)
Oklahoma City Thunder: Mark Daigneault (3rd season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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