Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/23/2024

by Rod Pearson

Sunday, Apr 21, 2024
Game Time: 7:30 pm ET, Tuesday, April 23, 2024
Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +3, Timberwolves -3; Over/Under:  213.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +3, Timberwolves -3; Over/Under:  213.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +3.5, Timberwolves -3.5; Over/Under:  213.5 points

Season Record

Phoenix Suns:  49-33 (2nd place, Pacific Division)
Minnesota Timberwolves:  56-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Recent Form
Phoenix Suns:  6-4 last 10
Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10


Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Preview and Analysis


The Suns are entering this game with a 49-33 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 24-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 31 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 18 points. Bradley Beal led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Kevin Durant led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 44% from the field, 32.1% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.2 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 35-46-2 this season and their O/U record is 37-45-1.



The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 56-26 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 30-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Anthony Edwards led the team in points in that game with 33 while Karl-Anthony Towns was next on the team with 19 points. Mike Conley Jr. led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 16. They were 50% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 90.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 41-40-2 this season and their O/U record is 42-40-1.


Suns vs Timberwolves Prediction

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 3 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 2 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Timberwolves and the 6th seeded Suns for Round 1 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. The Timberwolves have a 1-0 series lead after winning game 1 of this series on their home court. The Timberwolves have looked great on their home court all year with their 30-11 home record, and they added another win to that on Saturday with game 1 of this series. They got blown out by the Suns in their last game of the regular season, a game the Suns needed to win to secure a playoff spot, but the Timberwolves got their revenge in game 1 of this playoff series and showed why they are the number 3 seed in the West. The Timberwolves have looked great in their games lately too as they were right in the race for the number 1 seed in the West until the last game of the season. Meanwhile, the Suns haven't been a bad road team this year with their 24-17 road record, but they completely fell apart in that 1st game of the series. The Suns have been a really streaky team this year as they have gone on streaks at times but other times they have struggled to put wins together. The Suns put this team together in the offseason and have needed the entire season to adjust while the Timberwolves have been improving over the last year and they are finally where they need to be. The Timberwolves have been so good on their home court all season, they won't waste this opportunity to take a 2-0 series lead going into Phoenix. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, April 23, 2024 (7:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 124 Suns 114.
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NBA Betting Trends


Phoenix Suns: 11-6 ATS off a road loss. 16-4 ATS after playing 4 consecutive road games. 18-10 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 13-7 UNDER after playing 4 consecutive road games. 17-8 UNDER after a blowout loss by 15 points or more. 12-4 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 3-7 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 3-6 ATS when leading in a playoff series. 1-4 ATS after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more. 12-6 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive overs. 10-3 UNDER in the 2nd game of a playoff series. 6-3 UNDER when leading in a playoff series.

Key Injuries


Phoenix Suns:  D. Lee (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.


Notable Quotes


“They've got some great perimeter defenders on that team, so we can do a more creative job of getting him open.” - Frank Vogel after his team’s loss against the Timberwolves in game 1 of this series on Saturday.


“It’s going to be hard to beat these guys. It’s just one game. They’re going to be ready to go the next time we play them.” - Anthony Edwards after their win against the Suns in game 1 of this series on Saturday.


Starting Lineups


Phoenix Suns
PG Devin Booker
SG Bradley Beal
SF Grayson Allen
PF Kevin Durant
C Jusuf Nurkic

Minnesota Timberwolves
PG Mike Conley
SG Anthony Edwards
SF Jaden McDaniels
PF Karl-Anthony Towns
C Rudy Gobert

Statistical Leaders


Phoenix Suns
PPG: D. Booker (27.1)
APG: D. Booker (6.9)
Reb/G: J. Nurkic (11)

Minnesota Timberwolves
PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)
APG: M. Conley (5.9)
Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

Coaches:
Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)
Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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