Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction, Preview and Odds - 04/20/2024

Game Time: 3:30 pm ET, Saturday, April 20, 2024

Venue:  Target Center, Minneapolis, MN

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +1.5, Timberwolves -1.5; Over/Under:  214 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +1.5, Timberwolves -1.5; Over/Under:  214 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +1.5, Timberwolves -1.5; Over/Under:  214 points

Phoenix Suns:  49-33 (2nd place, Pacific Division)

Minnesota Timberwolves:  56-26 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Phoenix Suns:  7-3 last 10

Minnesota Timberwolves:  6-4 last 10

The Suns are entering this game with a 49-33 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 24-17 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the Los Angeles Clippers, the Sacramento Kings, and the Minnesota Timberwolves in their last game. Bradley Beal led the team in points in that game with 36 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 23 points. Jusuf Nurkić led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Grayson Allen and Bradley Beal each led the team in rebounds with 6. They were 54.7% from the field, 55.2% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.2 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.2 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 35-45-2 this season and their O/U record is 36-45-1.

The Timberwolves are entering this game with a 56-26 record overall to finish the regular season and they were 30-11 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Phoenix Suns in their last game. Rudy Gobert led the team in points in that game with 21 while Mike Conley Jr. was next on the team with 17 points. Anthony Edwards, Kyle Anderson, and Monté Morris each led the team in assists in that game with 4 while Rudy Gobert led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 51.4% from the field, 34.6% from 3-point range, and 80.6% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 106.5 PPG against them. The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 40-40-2 this season and their O/U record is 41-40-1.

The current betting odds have the Timberwolves listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. This is game 1 of a 7 game series between the 3rd seeded Timberwolves and the 6th seeded Suns for Round 1 of the NBA Western Conference playoffs. The Timberwolves have looked really good in their games this season with their 56-26 record overall which had them finish 3rd in the West with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They were right in contention for the number 1 seed in the West until the last game of the season too. They have looked really good on their home court this year with their 30-11 home record. Meanwhile, the Suns have also looked good in their games this season with their 49-33 record overall which landed them in 6th and saw them avoid the play-in tournament. They have been a good road team with their 24-17 road record this season and they also have some momentum on their side with 3 wins in a row now. They have looked great in their games lately with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games, but they are only slightly hotter than the Timberwolves who were 6-4 in their last 10 games to end the regular season. The Suns also beat the Timberwolves in the last game of the regular season to avoid the play-in tournament, but the Timberwolves have looked so good in their home games this year that they will definitely be coming for some payback in this game. The Suns have been really inconsistent this season too while the Timberwolves have steadily been near the top of the West all year. The Timberwolves will be seeking revenge in this game and they will bounce back to take a 1-0 series lead over the Suns. The best way to place a bet here is on the Timberwolves to cover the spread in this game.

Suns Timberwolves Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Saturday, April 20, 2024 (3:30 pm ET start time) is Timberwolves 122 Suns 116.

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Phoenix Suns: 3-10 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more. 7-17 ATS off an upset win of 15 points or more as a road underdog. 13-21 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 9-5 UNDER as a road underdog. 8-2 UNDER off 3 or more consecutive road wins. 8-4 UNDER off an upset win of 10 points or more as a road underdog.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 9-4 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite. 6-3 ATS off a home loss. 10-0 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent. 17-6 UNDER revenging a loss where the opponent scored 110 or more points. 9-5 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite. 9-5 UNDER in all playoff games.

Phoenix Suns:  E. Gordon (SG) Ques Sat - Migraine. D. Lee (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Minnesota Timberwolves:  J. Clark (SG) Out indefinitely - Achilles.

“It’s a snapshot of what we look like when we can be at our best.” - Frank Vogel after his team’s win against the Timberwolves in their last game of the regular season on Sunday.

“They were loading up on the gaps. If he was able to punch a gap, there was a third guy right there, too. But he’s got to find ways to be aggressive outside of that. He’s got to play a little quicker.” - Chris Finch after his team’s loss against the Suns in their last game of the regular season on Sunday.

PG Devin Booker

SG Bradley Beal

SF Grayson Allen

PF Kevin Durant

C Jusuf Nurkic

PG Mike Conley

SG Anthony Edwards

SF Jaden McDaniels

PF Karl-Anthony Towns

C Rudy Gobert

PPG: D. Booker (27.1)

APG: D. Booker (6.9)

Reb/G: J. Nurkic (11)

PPG: A. Edwards (25.9)

APG: M. Conley (5.9)

Reb/G: R. Gobert (12.9)

Coaches:

Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)

Minnesota Timberwolves: Chris Finch (4th season)