Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/17/2024

by Rod Pearson

Saturday, Mar 16, 2024
Game Time: 1:00 pm ET, Sunday, March 17, 2024
Venue:  Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, WI 
Where to Watch:  ABC


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +2, Bucks -2; Over/Under:  229 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +2, Bucks -2; Over/Under:  229 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +3.5, Bucks -3.5; Over/Under:  229.5 points

Season Record

Phoenix Suns:  39-28 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
Milwaukee Bucks:  43-24 (1st place, Central Division)

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Recent Form
Phoenix Suns:  6-4 last 10
Milwaukee Bucks:  7-3 last 10


Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks Preview and Analysis


The Suns are entering this game with a 39-28 record overall and they are 18-14 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Charlotte Hornets in their last game. Devin Booker led the team in points in that game with 21 while Grayson Allen was next on the team with 17 points. Devin Booker led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Jusuf Nurkić led the team in rebounds with 21. They were 46% from the field, 28.9% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 116.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.2 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 26-39-2 this season and their O/U record is 29-37-1.



The Bucks are entering this game with a 43-24 record overall and they are 26-7 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Philadelphia 76ers in their last game. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in points in that game with 32 while Brook Lopez was next on the team with 19 points. Damian Lillard led the team in assists in that game with 9 while Giannis Antetokounmpo led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 54.2% from the field, 44.4% from 3-point range, and 83.3% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 120.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 117.1 PPG against them. The Bucks have an ATS record of 29-37-1 this season and their O/U record is 31-35-1.


Suns vs Bucks Prediction

The current betting odds have the Bucks listed as a 2 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Bucks have looked great in their games this season with their 43-24 record overall which has them right near the top of the East and in a playoff spot. They have also looked great on their home court all season with their 26-7 home record. Meanwhile, the Suns have looked good in their games this season with their 39-28 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West. They have also been a good road team this year but haven't been at their best with their 18-14 road record. The Suns haven't looked great in their games lately either, they are 6-4 in their last 10 games and coming off a win in their last one, but that win was also against the Hornets who have been terrible. The Bucks are coming into this one as the hotter team with their 7-3 record in their last 10 games and they also have some momentum with a win against the 76ers in their last one. The Suns have been keeping themselves in the playoff race but they have also been really up and down lately while the Bucks have started to figure things out under Doc Rivers and have looked a lot better over the last 2 weeks. The best way to place a bet here is on the Bucks to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Bucks Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Sunday, March 17, 2024 (1:00 pm ET start time) is Bucks 121 Suns 107.
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NBA Betting Trends


Phoenix Suns: 6-11 ATS as an underdog. 5-13 ATS after a win by 10 points or more. 9-16 ATS after a game where they covered the spread. 11-5 UNDER as an underdog. 7-3 UNDER in a road game where the total is 220 to 229.5. 

Milwaukee Bucks: 25-17 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 6-3 ATS after allowing 105 points or less. 24-18 UNDER after 1 or more consecutive wins. 20-14 UNDER when playing with 2 days rest.

Key Injuries


Phoenix Suns:  J. Okogie (SG) Out indefinitely - Abdominal. D. Lee (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Milwaukee Bucks:  M. Beauchamp (SF) Ques Sun - Back. M. Beasley (SG) Ques Sun - Back. K. Middleton (SF) Out indefinitely - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“He's one of the best in the league in iso defense and on-ball defense. He's really long and physical. He doesn't get enough credit for that side of the ball. ... He guards the other team's best perimeter player pretty much every night. He's guarded 5s and point guards and pretty much done it all.” - Frank Vogel after his team’s win against the Hornets in their game on Friday.


“They were the instigators the entire first three quarters. I thought in the fourth quarter it flipped.” - Doc Rivers after his team’s win against the 76ers in their game on Thursday.


Starting Lineups


Phoenix Suns
PG Devin Booker
SG Bradley Beal
SF Grayson Allen
PF Kevin Durant
C Jusuf Nurkic

Milwaukee Bucks
PG Damian Lillard
SG Malik Beasley
SF Jae Crowder 
PF Giannis Antetokounmpo
C Brook Lopez

Statistical Leaders


Phoenix Suns
PPG: K. Durant (28.1)
APG: D. Booker (6.9)
Reb/G: J. Nurkic (11.1)

Milwaukee Bucks
PPG: G. Antetokounmpo (30.8)
APG: D. Lillard (6.9)
Reb/G: G. Antetokounmpo (11.2)

Coaches:
Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)
Milwaukee Bucks: Doc Rivers (1st season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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