Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/12/2025

Game Time: 8:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 12, 2025

Venue:  Toyota Center, Houston, TX 

Where to Watch:  SCHN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +4, Rockets -4; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +4, Rockets -4; Over/Under:  225.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +4, Rockets -4; Over/Under:  225.5 points

Phoenix Suns:  30-35 (5th place, Pacific Division)

Houston Rockets:  40-25 (2nd place, Southwest Division)

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Phoenix Suns:  4-6 last 10

Houston Rockets:  6-4 last 10

The Suns are entering this game with a 30-35 record overall this season and they are 12-22 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Memphis Grizzlies. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 35 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 26 points. Tyus Jones led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Nick Richards led the team in rebounds with 12. They were 45.6% from the field, 52.6% from 3-point range, and 72.7% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116.5 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 25-39-1 this season and their O/U record is 34-31.

The Rockets are entering this game with a 40-25 record overall this season and they are 22-10 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 3 game winning streak with wins coming against the New Orleans Pelicans twice in a row and the Orlando Magic. Jabari Smith Jr. led the team in points in that game with 20 while Dillon Brooks was next on the team with 17 points. Jalen Green led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Steven Adams led the team in rebounds with 17. They were 39.3% from the field, 37.2% from 3-point range, and 61.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.9 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 108.9 PPG against them. The Rockets have an ATS record of 36-28-1 this season and their O/U record is 32-32-1.

The current betting odds have the Rockets listed as a 4 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Rockets have looked good in their games this season with their 40-25 record overall which has them in the top half of the West and in a playoff spot. They have also looked really good on their home court with their 22-10 home record this season. Meanwhile, the Suns haven't looked good in their games this season with their 30-35 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West and out of a playoff spot. They have been a terrible road team too with their 12-22 road record this season. They are right on the cusp of getting into the play-in tournament, but they still have a lot of work to do. They need to get back to .500 just to have a chance at catching the Mavericks, but they continue to flail in important games. They haven't looked that good lately either, going 4-6 in their last 10 games and coming off another loss to the Grizzlies in a tight game they needed to win. Every game has become a must win for this team, but the pressure is starting to build and they have struggled for most of the season. The Rockets have been the better team lately as they are 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they are also starting to get hot again with 3 wins in a row now. They are coming off a really good win over the Magic which they didn't even give up 90 points in and are starting to get back to that defensive play that has made them so good all season. The Suns need to win this game, but they haven't shown any signs of improving lately and the Rockets are starting to get into a groove now. The best way to place a bet here is on the Rockets to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Rockets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 12, 2025 (8:00 pm ET start time) is Rockets 113 Suns 105.

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Phoenix Suns: 25-34 ATS as a road underdog. 23-35 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 14-24 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 40-19 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent. 7-3 UNDER versus up-tempo teams averaging 93 or more shots/game. 

Houston Rockets: 21-12 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games. 25-13 ATS after scoring 100 points or less. 30-18 ATS at home when playing against a team with a losing record. 24-12 UNDER at home off a home win. 24-8 1H UNDER after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

Phoenix Suns:  B. Beal (SG) Day To Day - Calf. M. Morris (PG) Day To Day - Back. C. Martin (SF) Day To Day - Abdomen.

Houston Rockets:  F. VanVleet (PG) Day To Day - Ankle. A. Thompson (SF) Out - Foot. R. Sheppard (PG) Out - Thumb.

"I mean, they got a lot of underdogs, guys who grind their way up, kind of overachieved, so they play with a chip on their shoulder, and I can respect that. That's how Cam Spencer got on the court when he was coming up, that's how Bane got on the court coming up, just being aggressive, showing that they care. When you come to Memphis, you've got to match their energy if you want to stay in the game. And that's the type of energy I love to display, it's a fun game." - Kevin Durant after their loss against the Grizzlies in their game on Monday.

“I think just more shots came as we playing the same, the energy level went up a little bit and honestly I just made shots. I don’t think anything really changed. We were scoring a lot in man and they tried to go in zone towards the end of the game. We do pretty well going against the zone as we have pretty good outside shooters.” - Jabari Smith Jr after their win against the Magic in their game on Monday.

PG Devin Booker

SG Bradley Beal

SF Kevin Durant

PF Bol Bol

C Nick Richards

PG Aaron Holiday

SG Jalen Green 

SF Cam Whitmore

PF Dillon Brooks

C Alperen Sengun

PPG: K. Durant (26.9)

APG: D. Booker (6.8)

Reb/G: N. Richards (8.6)

PPG: J. Green (21)

APG: F. VanVleet (5.8)

Reb/G: A. Sengun (10.4)

Coaches:

Phoenix Suns: Mike Budenholzer (1st season)

Houston Rockets: Ime Udoka (2nd season)