Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds - 01/31/2025

by Rod Pearson

Thursday, Jan 30, 2025
Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, January 31, 2025
Venue:  Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Where to Watch:  ESPN


Opening Odds at USA Sportsbooks

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +1.5, Warriors -1.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points
Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +1.5, Warriors -1.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points
BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +1.5, Warriors -1.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Season Record

Phoenix Suns:  24-22 (3rd place, Pacific Division)
Golden State Warriors:  24-23 (5th place, Pacific Division)

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Recent Form
Phoenix Suns:  7-3 last 10
Golden State Warriors:  5-5 last 10


Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors Preview and Analysis

The Suns are entering this game with a 24-22 record overall this season and they are 9-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the Minnesota Timberwolves. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 33 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 28 points. Devin Booker led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Grayson Allen led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 50.6% from the field, 37.5% from 3-point range, and 75% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 112.7 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 113.7 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 16-29-1 this season and their O/U record is 21-25.



The Warriors are entering this game with a 24-23 record overall this season and they are 14-12 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game winning streak with wins coming against the Utah Jazz and the Oklahoma City Thunder. Andrew Wiggins led the team in points in that game with 27 while Stephen Curry was next on the team with 21 points. Dennis Schröder led the team in assists in that game with 7 while Gary Payton II led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 49.4% from the field, 34.2% from 3-point range, and 82.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 111.4 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 111.2 PPG against them. The Warriors have an ATS record of 23-23-1 this season and their O/U record is 22-25.


Suns vs Warriors Prediction

The current betting odds have the Warriors listed as a 1.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Warriors haven't looked great in their games this season with their 24-23 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West and out of a playoff spot at the moment. They have looked a bit better on their home court this season with their 14-12 home record and they are still right in the playoff race with the way the West looks. Meanwhile, the Suns haven't looked great in their games this season with their 24-22 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West, but that record has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs at the moment. They have been a bad road team this year though with their 9-13 road record and they are coming off a loss in their last one which killed some of the momentum they had. They have looked really good lately as they have been starting to get hot, going 7-3 in their last 10 games, but they are coming off a home loss to the Timberwolves in their last one. They haven't been able to figure out the Timberwolves in their meetings lately and now they have another big game against the Warriors which will definitely have an impact on the standings. The Warriors haven't looked as good lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games, but they have some momentum on their side now. They have looked better lately with 2 wins in a row now and they are coming off a big win over the Thunder in their last one. They are going to carry over that momentum into this game after beating one of the best teams in the NBA and there is more urgency for the Warriors to bring their best effort since they wouldn't even be in a play-in spot if the regular season ended today. The best way to place a bet here is on the Warriors to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Warriors Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, January 31, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Warriors 120 Suns 114.
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NBA Betting Trends


Phoenix Suns: 13-23 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less. 21-32 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent. 12-21 ATS after playing 3 consecutive home games. 39-15 UNDER revenging a road loss vs opponent. 19-13 UNDER after playing 3 consecutive home games. 31-21 UNDER when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%).

Golden State Warriors: 28-19 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less. 7-3 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog. 7-3 UNDER off an upset win as a home underdog. 33-26 UNDER when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. 26-14 UNDER on Friday nights. 

Key Injuries


Phoenix Suns:  None.

Golden State Warriors:  D. Green (PF) Out - Calf. J. Kuminga (PF) Out - Ankle.


Notable Quotes


“You got to earn your minutes. It’s never easy in this league. He hasn’t played. I’m sure he’s frustrated. I respect that.” - Mike Budenholzer on Jusuf Nurkic. 


“I don’t know what to do with Shai. I asked Mark (Daigneault) to leave him on the bench for a couple more minutes. He didn’t comply. He came on with 10 minutes left in the fourth and I looked down at Mark and said ‘can’t give him two more minutes? that would be really helpful for us.'” - Steve Kerr after his team’s win against the OKC Thunder in their game on Wednesday.


Starting Lineups


Phoenix Suns
PG Tyus Jones
SG Devin Booker
SF Ryan Dunn
PF Kevin Durant
C Nick Richards

Golden State Warriors
PG Stephen Curry
SG Buddy Hield
SF Andrew Wiggins
PF Gui Santos
C Kevon Looney

Statistical Leaders


Phoenix Suns
PPG: K. Durant (27.3)
APG: D. Booker (6.7)
Reb/G: J. Nurkić (9.2)

Golden State Warriors
PPG: S. Curry (22.3)
APG: S. Curry (6.3)
Reb/G: K. Looney (6.8)

Coaches:
Phoenix Suns: Mike Budenholzer (1st season)
Golden State Warriors: Steve Kerr (11th season)



Rod Pearson

About the Author:

Rod Pearson has been a rabid sports fan his entire life.  He grew up in Ontario, and was skilled in both hockey and baseball, and pitched in an elite baseball league for many years.  In 2022, Rod decided to hang up his glove, so that he could write about the sports he loves -- but from a gambling perspective.  Join Rod every day as he breaks down the games to find the best betting value.

All photographic images used for editorial content have been licensed from the Associated Press.

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