Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/27/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Wednesday, March 27, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +6.5, Nuggets -6.5; Over/Under:  224.5 points

Phoenix Suns:  42-30 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  51-21 (1st place, Northwest Division)

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Phoenix Suns:  6-4 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  9-1 last 10

The Suns are entering this game with a 42-30 record overall and they are 19-16 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a loss against the San Antonio Spurs in their last game. Devin Booker led the team in points in that game with 36 while Kevin Durant was next on the team with 29 points. Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal each led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jusuf Nurkić led the team in rebounds with 9. They were 50.6% from the field, 35.7% from 3-point range, and 57.1% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.1 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 29-41-2 this season and their O/U record is 32-39-1.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 51-21 record overall and they are 29-6 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 4 game winning streak with wins coming against the Minnesota Timberwolves, the New York Knicks, the Portland Trail Blazers, and the Memphis Grizzlies in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 29 while Christian Braun was next on the team with 17 points. Nikola Jokić and Reggie Jackson each led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 11. They were 53.3% from the field, 46.9% from 3-point range, and 94.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 33-37-2 this season and their O/U record is 30-42.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 6.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 51-21 record overall which has them right at the top of the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have looked great on their home court too with their 29-6 home record this year. Meanwhile, the Suns have also looked good in their games this season with their 42-30 record overall, but that record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West right now. The Suns have been a good road team this season with their 19-16 road record, but they haven't been at their best in those games. They are also coming off a loss to the Spurs in their last one and have been cooling off lately with their 6-4 record in their last 10 games. The Nuggets have been the much hotter team coming into this one with their 9-1 record in their last 10 games and they have a lot more momentum on their side with 4 wins in a row too. The Nuggets have been rolling over teams in their games lately as they have retaken the number 1 seed in the West and they will be looking to hold onto that now. The Suns have a really good team but they haven't been at their best lately and they are too inconsistent right now to beat a team like the Nuggets who are as hot as they have been. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Wednesday, March 27, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 127 Suns 111.

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Phoenix Suns: 15-8 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite. 12-7 ATS after 4 straight games where they made 50% of their shots or better. 8-3 UNDER as a road underdog. 16-7 UNDER off an upset loss as a road favorite. 12-4 UNDER after a close loss by 3 points or less.

Denver Nuggets: 13-23 ATS after 4 or more consecutive wins. 10-16 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more. 18-9 UNDER revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite. 28-19 UNDER after a blowout win by 15 points or more.

Phoenix Suns:  J. Nurkic (C) Ques Wed - Ankle. D. Lee (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Denver Nuggets:  Z. Nnaji (PF) Ques Wed - Back. J. Murray (SG) Ques Wed - Ankle. A. Gordon (PF) Ques Wed - Foot. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“It’s unacceptable to lose that game for our guys. We all said the right things, we all did the right preparation to come in, but we didn’t play with the necessary focus and disposition throughout I would say the first half. You give a team like that life and that’s how the NBA works. ... With Victor out, those guys played really well.” - Frank Vogel after his team’s loss against the Spurs in their game on Monday.

“I think his mindset is he’s going to play this game, but he’s also going to enjoy trying to help some of these other guys that maybe don’t get regular minutes and to make sure we’re getting the most out of everybody’s minutes. He makes everyone better. That’s why he’s truly a great player.” - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the Grizzlies in their game on Monday.

PG Devin Booker

SG Bradley Beal

SF Grayson Allen

PF Kevin Durant

C Jusuf Nurkic

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: K. Durant (27.6)

APG: D. Booker (6.9)

Reb/G: J. Nurkic (11)

PPG: N. Jokic (26.1)

APG: N. Jokic (9)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.3)

Coaches:

Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)