Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/07/2025

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Friday, March 7, 2025

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  ESPN

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +8.5, Nuggets -8.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +8.5, Nuggets -8.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +8.5, Nuggets -8.5; Over/Under:  237.5 points

Phoenix Suns:  29-33 (5th place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  40-22 (2nd place, Northwest Division)

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Phoenix Suns:  3-7 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Suns are entering this game with a 29-33 record overall this season and they are 11-20 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Los Angeles Clippers. Kevin Durant led the team in points in that game with 34 while Devin Booker was next on the team with 17 points. Devin Booker led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Kevin Durant and Nick Richards each led the team in rebounds with 7. They were 51.3% from the field, 41.2% from 3-point range, and 85.2% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 113.8 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 116 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 22-39-2 this season and their O/U record is 32-30.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 40-22 record overall this season and they are 21-9 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game off a win against the Sacramento Kings. Russell Westbrook led the team in points in that game with 25 while Jamal Murray was next on the team with 24 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 8 while Nikola Jokić led the team in rebounds with 15. They were 46% from the field, 34.3% from 3-point range, and 80% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 121 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 115.9 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 31-30-1 this season and their O/U record is 36-26.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as an 8.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 40-22 record overall which has them right near the top of the West and in a playoff spot. They have also looked great on their home court with their 21-9 home record. Meanwhile, the Suns haven't looked good in their games this season with their 29-33 record overall which has them in the bottom half of the West and out of a playoff spot. They have been a terrible road team too with their 11-20 road record. Every game for the Suns has become a must win since they are still under .500 and the team in the last play-in spot is still above .500. They do have some hope since the Mavericks have been sliding down the standings in the West and are almost under .500 now, but the Suns haven't been doing themselves any favors as they have looked terrible lately. They are coming off a win over the Clippers in their last one, a game they won by 2 points after outscoring the Clippers by 21 points in the 4th quarter, but they are still 3-7 in their last 10 games. The Nuggets have been the complete opposite as they are 7-3 in their last 10 games and are coming off a nice bounce back win over the Kings in their last one. The Nuggets have been rolling lately and they can take advantage of this struggling Suns team that has all the pressure on their shoulders to make a move in the standings. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Friday, March 7, 2025 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 122 Suns 107.

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Phoenix Suns: 26-47 ATS off a home win. 13-23 ATS versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 3+ per game. 26-50 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game. 15-8 UNDER off an upset win as an underdog. 24-15 1H UNDER after a win by 6 points or less.

Denver Nuggets: 17-8 ATS at home after a win by 6 points or less. 8-4 ATS at home when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%). 39-23 UNDER against Pacific division opponents. 30-21 UNDER after a win by 6 points or less. 43-26 UNDER versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing 13 turnovers/game or less.

Phoenix Suns:  B. Beal (SG) Day To Day - Calf. C. Martin (SF) Day To Day - Abdomen.

Denver Nuggets:  A. Gordon (PF) Day To Day - Ankle. J. Strawther (SG) Out - Knee. D. Holmes (PF) Out For Season - Achilles.

"I always wondered what booing is gonna do for your team. It actually makes no sense. If you really want to make your voice be heard, just get up and leave. We'll feel that more than you booing. We need energy, you know what I'm saying? When we down 20, we need y'all to get a little louder in there and cheer a little louder.” - Kevin Durant on the fans booing the team. 

“The best player on the court, in the world, is Nikola Jokic. So I’ll turn it over 20 times trying to pass him the ball. I don’t really care. It’s the reason why they’ve got five people in the paint. If I’m the other team, I’d try to do that too. It’s our job as a supporting cast to make sure we help make the game easier for him.” - Russell Westbrook after their win against the Kings in their game on Wednesday.

PG Devin Booker

SG Bradley Beal

SF Kevin Durant

PF Bol Bol

C Nick Richards

PG Jamal Murray

SG Christian Braun

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Peyton Watson

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: K. Durant (26.9)

APG: D. Booker (6.9)

Reb/G: N. Richards (8.6)

PPG: N. Jokić (28.8)

APG: N. Jokić (10.4)

Reb/G: N. Jokić (12.8)

Coaches:

Phoenix Suns: Mike Budenholzer (1st season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (10th season)