Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Preview and Odds - 03/05/2024

Game Time: 10:00 pm ET, Tuesday, March 5, 2024

Venue:  Ball Arena, Denver, CO

Where to Watch:  TNT, MAX

DraftKings:  Point Spread:  Suns +7.5, Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Bet365:  Point Spread:  Suns +7.5, Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

BetMGM:  Point Spread:  Suns +7.5, Nuggets -7.5; Over/Under:  223.5 points

Phoenix Suns:  35-26 (3rd place, Pacific Division)

Denver Nuggets:  41-19 (3rd place, Northwest Division)

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Phoenix Suns:  5-5 last 10

Denver Nuggets:  7-3 last 10

The Suns are entering this game with a 35-26 record overall and they are 15-13 in their road games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 2 game losing streak with losses coming against the Houston Rockets and the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game. Bradley Beal led the team in points in that game with 31 while Kevin Durant was next on the team with 20 points. Bradley Beal led the team in assists in that game with 6 while Jusuf Nurkić led the team in rebounds with 31. They were 44% from the field, 35.9% from 3-point range, and 88.9% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 117.1 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 114.4 PPG against them. The Suns have an ATS record of 24-35-2 this season and their O/U record is 27-33-1.

The Nuggets are entering this game with a 42-19 record overall and they are 24-5 in their home games this season where they will be in this game. They are entering this game on a 6 game winning streak with wins coming against the Washington Wizards, the Portland Trail Blazers, the Golden State Warriors, the Sacramento Kings, the Miami Heat, and the Los Angeles Lakers in their last game. Nikola Jokić led the team in points in that game with 35 while Michael Porter Jr. was next on the team with 25 points. Jamal Murray led the team in assists in that game with 11 while Michael Porter Jr. and Nikola Jokić each led the team in rebounds with 10. They were 58.7% from the field, 42.3% from 3-point range, and 71.4% from the free throw line with their shots in that game. Their offense is averaging 114.5 PPG and their defense is allowing their opponents to average 110.3 PPG against them. The Nuggets have an ATS record of 27-32-2 this season and their O/U record is 23-38.

The current betting odds have the Nuggets listed as a 7.5 point favorite in this game according to Draftkings Sportsbook. The Nuggets have looked really good in their games this season with their 42-19 record overall which has them right near the top of the West right now with one of the best records in the entire NBA. They have also looked great on their home court all year with their 24-5 home record. Meanwhile, the Suns have also looked good in their games this season with their 35-26 record overall, but they have been struggling a lot more as their record only has them in a play-in spot for the playoffs in the West. They have been a good road team this year but haven't been great in their games lately with their 15-13 road record. They have also been struggling a lot lately with their 5-5 record in their last 10 games and they don't have much momentum on their side either with 2 losses in a row now. The Nuggets have been the much hotter team lately as they are coming into this one with a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, but they also have a lot of momentum on their side with 6 wins in a row now too. The Nuggets have been really hot lately and they are clearly on a mission right now to surge up the standings in the West and into the number 1 seed. They are going to bring their best effort here to keep their streak alive against a good team like the Suns and they will be able to take advantage of the Suns not being at their best lately. The best way to place a bet here is on the Nuggets to cover the spread in this game. 

Suns Nuggets Prediction:  Our NBA Pick for Tuesday, March 5, 2024 (10:00 pm ET start time) is Nuggets 127 Suns 117.

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Phoenix Suns: 6-2 ATS off 2 or more consecutive home losses. 7-4 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses. 8-2 UNDER as a road underdog. 16-8 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220. 14-7 UNDER revenging a loss vs opponent.

Denver Nuggets: 4-8 ATS after a game where they made 55% of their shots or better. 27-39 ATS off a road win. 1-6 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 4 or more consecutive games. 18-7 UNDER when the total is 220 to 229.5. 33-20 UNDER as a favorite. 12-6 UNDER after a win by 10 points or more.

Phoenix Suns:  N. Little (SF) Ques Tues - Knee. J. Okogie (SG) Ques Tues - Hip. D. Booker (SG) Ques Tues - Ankle. D. Lee (SG) Out indefinitely - Knee.

Denver Nuggets:  K. Caldwell-Pope (SG) Ques Tues - Personal. B. Key (SF) Ques Tues - Personal. V. Cancar (SF) Out indefinitely - Knee.

“We stopped fouling. I was trying so hard to get Kevin involved instead of letting the game come to us.” - Frank Vogel after his team’s loss against the Thunder in their game on Sunday.

"We were coming out here thinking that there's no way he plays, but Jamal is one of the toughest cats I've ever been around. For Jamal to do what he did. He got off to a tough start. He stayed with it. He stayed with it." - Michael Malone after his team’s win against the LA Lakers in their game on Saturday.

PG Devin Booker

SG Bradley Beal

SF Grayson Allen

PF Kevin Durant

C Jusuf Nurkic

PG Jamal Murray

SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope

SF Michael Porter Jr.

PF Aaron Gordon

C Nikola Jokic

PPG: K. Durant (27.8)

APG: D. Booker (6.8)

Reb/G: J. Nurkic (10.7)

PPG: N. Jokic (25.9)

APG: N. Jokic (9.2)

Reb/G: N. Jokic (12.2)

Coaches:

Phoenix Suns: Frank Vogel (1st season)

Denver Nuggets: Michael Malone (9th season)